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HomeMy WebLinkAbout79 - 107 A (7)In addition to these: r,taJor reachos, t,hU ftsign 100 -year W rocurrence -interval l; .00df,Lows forproject tributaries are as follows: South Sycamore Creek; approve. 800 cfs* 46 North Sycamore Creek: 1,800 cps Sheep 1-tollow 1,400 cfs Mud Creek (above Sycamore Cr.) 51500 cf's *by difference - no attenuation These 100 -year recurrence-intervial floodflows were developed by the Corps of Engineers in 1956 utilizing the limited flood -data base that existed at the time. Of particular interest is the 100 -year design discharge developed for Big Chico Creek, as the precision to which it was developed is pivotal to the capabilities of the existing downstream channi-ils. Accordingly, this 0 would be of paramount importance to the feasibility of this study (i.e., conveying additional floodwaters from Rock Creek,) Proceeding, with the advantage of retrospect and an expanded data base, the flood hydrology of Big Chico Creak may be updatedi The original design value of lk, 000 cfs for a 100 -year peak discharge was developed for the then -existing period -of -record from 1.931 to 1956. This 26 -year period had a maximum peak -of -record of 8,260 cfs, which occurred in the 19,38 water year. In the subsequent 22 years (or 23 years) through the .1978 (or 1979) water year, 'two flood peaks exceeded the previously -recorded maximum peak of 8,260 cfs. These were the 1965 peak of 9,580 cfs and the 1970 peak of 9,270 cfs. These data combine to provide a 48= --year (cr 49"year) data base from which a re-evaluation of the pointfrequency peak -flood distribution of Big 'Chico Creek -23-- may be made. This longer I)Oriod- of-recorca will also, lona ® to a substantial iMpMveP1011t in Lha confidence lovel of the re,suIts (by limiting the offocts of "last" degrees of freedom) , Accordingly, the revised 100• -,year peak discharge developed by the Log Pearson Typo III dist- i-0 but:ion would be 12,540 cars utilizing a reclional coeffi- cient-of�-skewness (see Appendix 7), or, about 9,500 cfs utilizing a natural. coefficient--of-skewness. Considering -the above analysis, the actual. 100 -year recurrence -interval peak discharge .for Big Chico Creek is more realistically about 12,600 cfs, rather than the 1.6,000 cfs value utilized in the original project design. This would serve to suggest -that the downstream flood - control facilities were commensurately overdesigned, based on the 1.00 -year design criterion that was employed. The effects of this original hydrologic overdesign on the capacities of the downstream channels may be traced, by reach-, as follows: l) Big Chico Creek Below the diversion structure is limited to a peak discharge of 1.,500 cfs by a hydraulic inlet control, and would not be affected substantially by the magnitude of the upstream flood discharge. 21) Undo Channel (Sandy Culch) is . similarly Limited by an inlet control, and would not exceed the original design peak discharge of 6,000 cfs. 3) The diversion channel to South Sycamore Creek would be substantially affected by the upstream peak discharge as it receives the excess floodwaters remaining 'after Big Chico Creek and tindo Channel are at capacity.,accordingly, with an actual 100 -year peak discharge of 12, Goo cfs, the peak discharge in the diversion channel would be _12,600 cfs less the amounts discharged to lower Big Chico Creek and Lindo Channel (assuming,no attenuation), or 12.,600' cfs less 1,500 cfs, less 6,000 cfs,'for a maximum -24- peak discharge cif 5,100 cfs. This '-.11110ur1-ts to an actual dischargo of 3,400 cfs less :than the design discharge capacity of 8,500 ods provided for this diversion channel, 4) The South Sycamore Creek channel, originally designed for a capacity of 8,800 ofs, would have an actual discharge of 5,400 cfs (assuming minimal attenuation) which amounts to 3,400 cfs of excess capacity. 5) Sycamore Creels above Sheep Hollow would convey ,the combined discharges of 5,400 cfs from South Sycamore Creek and 1,800 cfs, per origi- nal design, from North Sycamore Creek, ;Less about 6% attenuation*, for a -total actual dis- charge of about 6,800 cfs. This amounts to about 3,200 cfs of excess -capacity remaining in this reach. 6) Sycamore Creek above Mud Creek would then convey the combined discharges of 1,400 ofs, per original design, from.Sheep hollow and 6,800 cfs from Sycamore Creek above Sheep Hollow, less about 4% attenuation, .for a total actual discharge of about, 7,900 cfs. This amounts to about 3,100 cfs of excess capacity. 7) Mud Creek below Sycamore Creek would receive the combined discharges of 5,500 cfs, per original design, from Mud Creek above Sycamore Creek and 7,900 cfs from Sycamore Creek ^move Mud Creek, less about 10t attenuation, a total actual discharge of 12,200 cfs indicates that there is about 2,800 c.: .%cess capacity remaining in the original channel design capacity of 15;000 cfs The above actual -operating flood discharges for this flood control project schematically in Figure 8, by reach, along with the commensurate excess -channel capacities that remain. *Note This attenuation was approximated from the original design data for these reaches', which indicated that an 8,800 cfs flow from South Sycamore Creek would combine with an 1,800 cfs flow from North Sycamore Creek, and result in a flow of 3.0,000 cfs in Sycamore Creek above Sheep Hollow, or a peak attenuation of about 6%. 25 '•. E I; ACTUAL OP`E RA FINE SEQUENCE MUD CREEKFLOOD-CONTROL FACILITIES FIGURE 8' N.T.S . GFS SCHEMAT[C GSC' 1 Oma Q CHICO I' AIRPORT S`fp Npf1� CF..-cEK 0^0 L--_-_--__-- r3�J0� 0- p cF _ OUT,,R�EK 0 0 K c, 6 800 CF (3,pp01 a 400 CF-,gOp� (3,40g� 3 � Nl G4�� 9 9 vi N t]D G GES. 'm NOTES,- 0,x00 f . 1. ACTUAL 100 -YR. DISCHARGES IN CFS C.), 2. EXCESS CAPACITY REMAINING IN o CHANNEL. IN PARENTHESIS! `� -27- Elements Q9 particular int:nrstr resulting frotri t 110 excess c1lanilal capacitios that r0amin, as related to the feasibility or, conveying additional floodwateipst, from Rock Crack, are focused on. -three reaches Of channel. TJIeso are Mud Creak below Sycamore Creek, Sycamore Creek above Mud Creek, and Mud Creek above Sycamore Creek. These elements of interestare summarized below by reach: Mud Creek Below Sycamore Creek This reach will serve as the ult. male outfall for any floo4waters diverted from, Rock Creek. Accord- ingly, the excess capacity remaining in this reach is of primary importance, The previous analysis depictedthat the actual 100 -year peak discharge expected is 12,201, cfs (as opposed to design discharge of 15t000 cfs) and that an. excess capacity of 2f800 c.Es remains in this reach. It was pro- viously determined (see Figure 6) that the peak discharge of the flood diversion from Rock Creek would be 2,700 cfs, with accompanying total flood volume of Ij070 acre feet. Purther considerations developed in a later section of this report indicate that the combined effects of attenuation and tribu- tary drainage for a diversion channel from Rock Creek would only ,slightly reduce the peal, discharge but increase the total flood volume to 1,11.0 acre .feet. Neglecting the attenuative effects of conveyance (through the channel of Mud Creek above Sycamoi�e Creek) it is apparent that the peak discharge of 2,700 cf8 is well within the excess caps, City Of 2,800 cfs that remains in this ultimate outfall channel. Sycamore Creek above Mud Creek Although this reach will not di4ectly receive flood - Waters originating from Rock Creek,, it will be subject to backwater effects induced by stage increases down- stream in 14ud Creek. The net effect of backwater effects are readily discounted when the excess capacity of 3,100 cfs remaining in -this rea.10h is folly considered. This serves to demonstrate that, the channel of this roach would be capable of conveying the combined peak ,flow of the reach plus that of the Rock Creek diversion. Accordingly, backwater effects Would provide a sub- stanti4lly-108ser problem that: would be localized to the immediate area upstream of the confluence with Mud Creek,. Purthor.moroj backwater effects would -27- rapidly 0-iminish (contn!rge Lo normal :Glow Conditions) further upstream. .; 1 ud Qrre'^ above Sycamore Creels This reach will serve as the immediate outfall and UQnvLY^ nq 011annel for diverted Rock Creek 4loodwate.rs , Accordingl.Y, it .'I s the reach of major cQn,oern, especi- ally considering that it is or,7.,T tAftimally affected by the hydrologic overdesign. inherent t•o the previous reaches. The original design for this rea.;h envisioned a 100= -gear peak discharge- of 5,500 cfs. Thi.: compares favorably with results obtained via the peak=flood model developed for this study (Appendix l) which resulte,l in a 100 -year peak discharge of 5 t 400 cfs. This indicates that, this channel is currently at full capacity and could not receive additional floodwaters I ithout conveyance improvements. d ► The combinecl peak flow from Mud Creek (5 , 500 cfs) and from the mock creek hiversion (2,700 o:I:s) would be about 8,000 cfs for a 100 -year event. This peak was developed considering the effects of temporal peak lagging (,translational) as well as minor attenuation. Conveyance studies indicate that this increased peak discharge will necessitate heighten- ing the levees on this reach an average of about 1.75 feet downstream from the point of -the diversion out- fall to the confluence with. Sycamore. Creek. In addi- tion, back -levee heightening would ;,e required- upstream, diminishing to zero from a 1;75 foot maximum height at the point of the dive- i.on outfall. Substitution of channel. widening (e.L -ealignment o£ one levee) or other equivalent coma, ,ions of channel -conveyance improvements, represents an alternate to levee construction. Conveyance studies of the outfall for this reach (i.e,., Mud Creek below sycamore Creek') indicate that the at -age decrease realized from the 2,800 cfs excess capacity, less the addition of diverted floodwaters from Rock Creek, would be inconsequential (about 0,25 foot). Preliminary backwater studies (Bakhmeteff/Chow Method) indicate that this stage decrease would only extend about 1,500 feet upstream on Mud Creek above Sycamore Creek (Pring to' convergence to normal depth conditions). Accordingly, there would not be any substantial improvement in the slope of the hydraulic gradeline upstream, which limits options to improvement:` of channel conveyance properties if additional flood:- waters are to be accomodated. 28= Based on this analysis, L -11P irlClQsion of addition4i, 4'100dWatOrS from Rock Creek by the Mud Crack Plood-con-ti.-ol Facilities would be immediately feasible with respect to the as -built capabilities of lower Mud Creek and Sycamore Creek, The hydraulic -conveyance properties of upper Mud Creek (above Sycamore Creek) would require improvement- if the Rock Creek flood diversion was implemented. The effects, and incremental effects, of the proposed flood- water diversion on -these existing facilities are schemati- cally depicted in. Figure 9. Design Criteria The 100 -year reourrence interval design criterion., with a 1% -chance of being equ.aled-or-exceeded in any given year, has been assumed appropriate for this study, as per the original Corps of Engineers design. Generally, this frequency is utilized for design purposes in agri- cultural areas and other areas where -the expected loss - Of -life or danger to the public health and sai:ety is not a. factor. Accordingly, the Original design of the.levees and channels utilized this frequency, with the incorporation of 3 -feet of levee and channel, freeboard as a safety Zactor, Many agencies, including the Corps of 2n9ineers, do not consider the 100 -year recurrence interval to be adequate for levee design in areas of residential development, and recommend useage or the Standard Project Flood. OPERATING SEQUENCE WITH ROCK CREEK DIVERSION MUD .CREEK FLOOD -CONTROL FACILITIES , Mui FIGURE 9 N.T.S SCHEMATIC Doi h r-� 7 t p t o ► CHICO clico N AIRPORT K i NpR�G L ------------ OC 8p , I+3x1(}01 p , Syc MpgE SYCA �� Fps cRF M0 G } sou CREAK GF Ek (�t 800 CF -200 Zi 5.0 CF (4-40 S ro _ 3 � S C+ qtr, 9 o .; \ 1 R G� o aN E N'OTES=" aNsp00 cFS 1. ACTUAL 100 -,YR, DISCHARGE IN CFS t 2. EXCESS CAPACITY REMAINING IN o 0 CHANNEL IN PARENTHESIS. MINUS SIGN 4) INDICATES EXISTING CHANNEL WILL BE OVER CAPACITY e,'.foots of those variables, The lands adjacent to the t�xirttinq Mud Creek, flood -control ch,annel,s, as well as those riparian to the proposed stock Creek :Good -diversion channel, are undergoing or planned for various levels of development. ror example, much of the lands between Rock Creek and Mud Creek are currently being considered in the contemporary planning process for development to 1 -acre minimum suburban -residential land use. Should such developmental patterns continue and/or be implemented, a revisiva of the applicable design criteria (including frequency of occurrence and factors -of -safety for freeboard,) would be appropriate in order to isolate the degree(s) of risk acceptable. The level of risk associated with the 100 --year recurrence interval has, and will continue to be assumed, appropriate (as per the original Corps of Engineers design) for the development of thia planning report, in lieu of more definitive information; -- Potential Location of Flood -Diversion Structure '£r Channel The best location for the required flood -diversion structure and attendant diversion Channel from Rock. Creek to Mud Creek was developed, on a preliminary basis, considering numerous physical (and economic) features. These features included natural topography, hydraulic gradients, maximization of flood protection afforded, land.use, parcel sizes, isolation, apparent availability of rights-of-way, existing structures, soils, existing natural channels, and limitation of cut and fill requirements. To this end, several alternates wero proposed and evaluated, resulting in the location and align- G Ina It ion - A profile of this preliminary alignment, along with subdivision by reach, is shown on Plate 2 (in pocket) Details of the nock Craek diversion structure, per the preliminary location on Plate 1, are necessarily indeter- minate at this conceptual-plahning stage. However, certain apparent features at this time include the following considerations: 1) The standard project flood should be used as a. basis of design; 2) An engineered-earthfill embankment, approXimately 1,000 feet in length, would be required: This structure may also require an interceptor channel, upstream and -to the northeast, to provide channel- ization for the naturally -braided stream channels in this area; 3) The inlet control, for regulating downstream discharges in Rock Creek, can probably be pro- vided via multiple culverts; 4) The control structure for the diversion of flood- waters to the south could possibly be developed using -the natural outlet control of a protected diversion channel (channel control), or�the employment of an ogee or broad -crested weir may be necessary. Preliminary hydraulic channel sections were developed :dor each reach of the proposed, divex8ion-ochannel alignment. Standard channel -design criteria, applicable to all reaches, included the use of a Manning's roughness coefficient of' 0.085, and the presumption of a trapezoidal cross-section with l:3 side slopes. Freeboard or equivalent floodway requirements, crown and maintenance -road widths, and land - side slopes were left 'Indeterminate at this time,. of these, the concept of a trapezoidal channel would probably be subject to the most revision during preliminary & final design phases, but was selected as an appropriate apbroxi- 0 -32- mation :for the pirposes ot; this fetisibilit~y stuffy. Information part-icLjjar to (-)ach ,roach (sea Lna"t'L 2) fellows: Reach 1 Rock Creek to Keefer Road Design Discharge = 2,700 C.fs Depth = 6.0 foot Channel Width 0 Base = 38.5 feet Slope of Channel 0.00190 Length of Channel _ 1,940 feet; 'Transitions - a) Convergence to 33 -foot base downst7.^eam b) Drawdown :from steeper downstream grade possibly Reach 2: Keefer Road to Hicks Lane Design Dischargo = 2,700 cfs Depth = 6.0 :feet Channel Width @ base = 33.0 feed Slope of Channel = b�00627 Length of Channel = 1,435 feet + Transitions a) Expansion to 36 -.foot base downstream b) Backwater from flatter downstream graCe possible _ leach 3 Hicks Lane Downstream in Existing Channel Design Discharge = 2,700 cfs Depth = 6.0 feet Channel Width @ Base = 36.0 feet Slope of Channel - 0.00554 Length of Channel = 1,715 feet + Tkansitions a) Expansion'to 45 --foot base downstream: b) Backwater from flatter downstream grade possible -,3 3 -, - Reach 4 Lower Reach, Modified Existing Channel Design. Discharge = 2,720 cfs Depth = 6.0 :Cent Channel Width 0 Base = 45.0 feet Slope of Channel = G.00375 Length of Channel - 980 feet + Transitions - done Reach 5; In Excavation section Design Discharge '= 2,730 cgs Depth = 6.0 feet Channel Width @ Base = 45.0 feet Slope of Cannel = 0.00375 Length of Channel - 2,600 ;feet + Transitions •- None - - beach 6: In Excavation Section upstream from Mud Creek. Outfall Design nischarge = 2,730 cfs Depth = 6.0 feet to 9.3 .feet ('variable) Channel Width @ Base = 45.0 feet Slope of Channel = 0.00375 Length of Channel. = 1,600 feet Transitions a) In backwater ,from Mud Creek Potential Transient Effects of Diversion, if the proposed diversion of floodwaters from Rock Creek to Mud Creek is implemented, several operational transient effects; are anticipated. These should not be considered insurmountable, or even atypical,, but constitute some of the effects unique to 'this project. Accordingly, they would need to be considered in detail, along with any other similar effects whish may arise, in the preliminary and final design phases, As such, discuss�'lon of these effects -34- T . _. is s0l"Qwha h premature at t_W.8 early -planning s tagO but is presented to insure disclosure, The basic elements of these operational effects are l) The proposed diversion will cause transient backwater effects on upper Mud Creek and on lower Sycamore Creek. This will require levee improvements on upper Mud Creek (above the diversion outfall) however Sycamore Creek as -]wilt facilities are currently below design capacity and will not: require modification; 2) The downstream reach of Mud Creek, westerly of State Highway'32j was originally designed for a frequency of protection o.0 only 2% (50 - year recurrence interval) under certain con- ditions* The potential effect of routing additional floodwaters through this reach is currently obscure (particularly considering the original hydrologic overdesign and the substantial attenuation expected of the com- bined flood crest) but should be evaluated, along with the original rationale :for the 2% - design frequency, before proceeding with design studies; 3) The existing operations of the Mud Creek flood - Control facilities have been suspected of caus- ing backwater -flooding problems in the Xusal slough area, where it parallels the Sacramento River. The effect of backwater resulting from conveying additional floodwaters in Mud Creek, as well as the elfec''s of the amelioration of the magnitude and fregoency of floods in Rock Creek (a portion of which is currently re-routed to the upstream reaches 'of Icusal Slough), should be considered; 4) The unprotected lower reaches of Sig Chico Creek: and Lind:o Channel have been experiencing pro- blems from backwater flooding above their con- fluence with Mud Creek. This problem is currently being studied, on a preliminary basis, by the Corps of Engineers. The effect of additional floodwaters in Mud Creek would need to be con- sidered for this area; 5) increased and/or induced flood heights in the Mud Creak, and lower Sycamore creek will affect tho gxadient.s, "available for urban-storn, dr,1111- ago outfalls. %',ho temporal. pattarns of fIood- ing should, minimize these problems, but could be of consequence in low gradient areas. Adclitionally, the areas to tba east of the pro- posod diversion channel alignment may need alternate drainage. outfalls; 6) Shallow ground -water, seepage from the proposed diversion channel could adversely affect the use of adjacent agricultural. lands for some purposes. Major Improvements Major improvements and acquisitions required for implement- ation of the proposed flood diversion, include the following: J.) Diversion Structure on Rock Creek - This would include the embankment,, spur embank- ments and control, sections, interceptor channels and channel re -alignment, flood pool excavation., downstream erosion -control improvements, emet- genoy-overflow spillway or bypass channel and attendant maintenance roads and security fencing. 2) Diversion channel from Rock Creek to Mud Creek - The diversion channel would utilize approximately 4,200 feet of existing channel. that would require modification -to improve hydraulic capacities, get the requirements of a previous section* Another 6,000 feet of channel would need to be excavated to depths of up to about lQk feet, averaging about 6k feet. LevOe maintenance roads; access and security fencing would also be required. Two existing box culverts would requite replacement, in all probability, by bridges. 3) Upper Mud Creek The conveyance of the upper Mud Creek channel will require improvement to accommodate the flood waters diverted from nock Creek. This :Would include either raising levees about 1.75 4:,rsm4l, uii'Agri i nel 1-hn_ entistinO channel,, or a combi, excavation- MICY levees will bo required up- stream fronj tho diversion outfall.. 4) Rocl* Creek some channel alignment and conveyance improve- ments may be necessary both upstream and. down- ' stream of the proposed diversion stricture. 5) night-of"Way Land will need to be acquired for the the diversion structure, the diversion channel., and for the levee improvements or channel ;widening on upper Mud Creek. Additional sands or ease- ments will be required for intermediate mainte- nance-access roads, access -to severed lands, and for any improved channel areas contiguous to 'the diversion structo e on Rock Creek. Additional right"oat'-way may ha required if; during the course of this project, Hicks Lane were to be realigned to the east of the proposed diversion channel. This action would improve the poor, existing alignment of flicks Lane while the costs would be offset by savings realized in eliminating one bridge along the route of the diversion channel. (at the existing flicks Lane) . Detailed costs estimates for the development of this pro - Posed flood--di*,ersion project are not a pari: of this physi- cal -feasibility study, however a budgetary estimate was developed for initial consideration and to serve as a guide for future project planning. Actual costs will depend in large, upon the particular options selected, however the magnitude of costs should be in the $1,500,000 to $1,900,000 range. This would include the cost of land acquisition` construction, engineering, legal. and miscellaneous expenses as of early -1979. -37- M 2.1 ALTBRNATIVES Several alternatives to tho proposed flood diversion, as presented, May be worthy Of consideration. These include upstream storage, channel imprOVeMntt ground- water recharge, flood meadows, and no project combined with f'loodl-plain zoning. - Upstream Storage A preliminary topograph.ic reconnaissance of the lower Rock Creek basin indicates that several, good sites for the construction of a small f-lood-control dam may be available. 'lable Several potential sites on Rock Creek above Anderson Fork (about 4-5 miles opstream from the currently 'proposed diversion) appear to be topographically and geomorphically suited. These sitas may have the potential of storing approximately 4,000 acre feet, which is almost four -fold the 1,070 acre feet of storage requiredi These sites are also isolated and uninhabited, but do serve to Support habitat for a sport fishery. Another site of limited potential, exists:On Anderson Fork (about 5 miles upstreaii from the proposed diversion). This site is also uninhabited, but does not appear to maintain a pa ' rticularly-valuable fishery habitat. The impoundment storage of this site appears to be limited to about 1,400 acre feet. it would also require careful hydrologic 'study to fully assessthe I impact it would have on flood magnitudes on lower Rock Creek. This is due to the relatively small size Of the, Anderson Fork basin,as compared to the total area of the Rock Creek basin. A M4-vjO--,' Irawback to the of any of -these sites appears to center about foundation adequacy. These sites are all M Z] 0 E located on the Tuscan formatiol-1. Which is generally comprised Of ineOVVOningj near. -horJzon,L,,1l layers of mudflow breccias, andositos and intervolcanio residual soils. This Tuscan bedrock is frequently fractured by faults or joint systems in the general area of study. More importantly, occasional layers of increased permeability are often interbedded Within the matrix of the Tuscan formation. Such permeable zones can be difficult to locate and may require extensive grouting during foundation preparation. While the limitations on foundation adequacy may be of some concern, they would be of least concern for a flood - control dam8ito due to the limited periods of impoundment expected. This is in contrast to a water -supply damsite than would. be expected to have perennial aznpoundments, 11-hus subjecting the foundation materials -to continual, saturation. Major advantages in utilizing a flood -control dam would be QD the relative isolation of the structure and the additional downstream lands protected, by virtue of its upstream 100a - tion. Channel Improvement The use of levees and conveyance improvements to curtail overbank flooding would not appear feasible for Rock Creek., This is due to the long distance these types of improve- ments would need to traverse in order to prevent flood.ing' of downstream lands. Accordingly, such improvements would need to extend to the mouth of Rock Creek, a total distance of at least seven milestven though much of the adjacent lands are agricultural, allowing the use of higher design frequencies, it is doubtful that the benefits received would Justify the costs. 0 A rather 'unique solution to the flood . control problem may beavailable. This would be in the form of a aomb.t- nation flood -water disposal and qrQund-wator recharge ,prop- ro- ject at the site of the abandoned sand and gravel pit jec between Garner and Nicks Lanes (see Plate 1). The diversion - channel, alignmentf as proposed, could be re -rout od to this pit, serving to decrease the channel length as well as eliminate most of the required channel excavation (see Plato 2). The current volume of this pit is estimated to be approxi- mately 750 acre feet. This amounts to about 68 percent of the 1,110 acre feet volume of the flood -diversion hydro- grap I h, including tributary drainage. Assuming that up to four feet of infiltration could occur during the eight- hour duration of the flood -diversion hydrograph, there wnuI6 be a volume deficit of about 160 acre feet remaining. This amounts to only about 14 percent of the total required volume. Accordingly, it may be feasible to acquire adjacent lands for excavation, or to deepen the pit within the current limits, to provide the additional volume required. This excavation process could be geared -,.)ward the pro- dqction of sand and gravel, a marketable commodity, to offset the development costs. Since the floodwaters of Rock Creek are substantially non- urban in character, the water quality should be acceptable for grouftd-watet recharge. Sediment, and other Boil -clogging agents, should be substantially less than that existing in the natural floodwaters of Rock Creek. 'phis would be due to skimming action of the diversion weir, which Would minimize the introduction of the stream-s6diment traction load to the diversion channel. Excessive rates of ground- water recharget and the attendant rise in ground- -40- water levels, could be a Potential (but inZrequent) problem. Those factors,, and others, would need 'to be l:horoughly evaluated. Flood Meadows This concept of floodwater management: involves the use of shallow, widespread ponds or "flood. meadows" to provide retention storage for attenuation of the flood crest. The diverted floodwaters eventually return to the source stream, loss some infiltration and evaporation, but after the normal flood crest has passed and the stream is at a Lower stage. In this sense, "flood meadows:" are similar i- operation to conventional flood -control res--,-Yoi.rs, except, that. the depth of storage is much less. since the depth of storage is shallower, commensurately larger areas of land are required. Thus, a necessary prerequisite for application of the f=lood -meadow concept is a large expanse of relatively -flat, inexpensive land in close proximity to the stream. Relatively flat land is required to avoid the construction of numerous smail levees (or contour cheeks) in order to maintainshallow storage depths. The large areas of land also serve as sedimentation basins that can improve the agricultural capabilities of the soil substrate. This, along with added moisture afforded the soils, frequently serves as a land -reclamation project for soils of limited productivity. The subsequent late - season vegetative growths are similar to those of natural s tream meadows,;and can provide valuable grazing lands as as a by-product. A review of the Rock Cree}N basin topography shows there is lack of grade with which ick convey diverted floodwaters. This lack of grade. subse5JUQntly limits the useable land area to about; 300 acres, which would not appear to be sufficient for the flood volumes expected, A manor ridge serves es to isolate hack Creek from most of this available land that would; appear to be acceptable for use as flood meadows. A near breach in this .ridge exists about Vi miles upstream from the ourrently-proposed diversion location. if this saddleback ridge could be excavated to the elevation of Rock Creek: approximately 1,200 acres of land could potnnt,ially be developed to flood meadows and other off -stream storage fac,*.iities. The res.ia1'1- .ng storage depths for a divers ot, of 1,070 acre feet would be approximately 1 -foot average, or per- haps depths of 2 to 3 feet net, after contour check construction and elimination of unsuitable areas. This depth range would be the correct order -of -magnitude for a "flood meadow". Since this location, if excavated and developed, would � appear to allow the use of "f lood meadows" as well as to provide Protection for a larger area (since the diversion would be .Located further upstream), a brief feasibility study was conducted. The excavation required at the saddleback ridge would be nn the order of 65,000 cubic yards. This would be classed as moderately -difficult e xcavation and would extend a distance of about 3,500 feet. The cost of this, along with the required diversion structure, right-of-way, land preparation and ;flood easaments (if legally feasible) for the"flood meadows" suggest ggest that it could be competitive with the Proposed pro" However, sodio-political factors would be expected to increase, and engineering would be state-of-the-art since the "flood meadow" concept is usually applied at a smaller scale. -429- ,- Flood 'lain Zoning and :1,nsuranco This is a non-structural, alternative that combines flood- plain delineation and floQd-plai«, zoning with Federally - subsidized flood insurance. The objective of this type program is to regulate development within identified flood plains by appropriate zoning and land use. Existing, non- conforming land uses would be allowed to remain and would be provided the opportunity to purchase flood insurance at subsidized premium rates. These non -conforming land uses are then eliminated via the various processes of attrition, such as fire, flood or retirement after economic - life service. Expansion of these non -conforming uses is forbidden. Flood insurance has generally been unavailable from the private sector due to the high premium cost. The economic Justification for the extensive federal premium subsidies required; is to reduce the need for and dependence on public flood -disaster appropriations. The program is administered by the Federal Insurance PxIministzaLlons Department pf Housing and Urban Development, as authorized by the National Flood Insurance Program of 1968 and the Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1913. This program is usually administered on a community -wide basis, meaning that all the Lands of the local political jurisdiction of an eligible community must be included. This would r° t� that all the unincorporated area of Butte County be to the program. The.histori. of a community relying on Federal flood -disaster aipk,opriations (sans structural flood improve- ments or participation in the flood --insurance program) has been effectively,precluded via the provisions of the Disaster Relief Act of 1974. This Act reinforces the -43- l• UNDXNG SOURCES whereas the proposed diversion project, or one "of the alternatives, appears to be physically feasible; the out- look for locating suitable funding sources within a reason. -- able time frame is less than optimistic. This poor outlook is a joint product of the general austerity policy in govern- ment, backlogs of approved projects, and the incapability of the proposed project to satisfy all aspects of funding agency criteria. Possible exceptions to this outlook may exist with the Corps of Engineers, for the proposed project; or with the Department- of lious'ing and Urban Development, if the flood -insurance program alternative was to be selected. A summary of applicable funding sources for the project, as currently proposed follows: County/Local funding Capital amortization for the proposed project would be on the order of $150,000 annually. This annual amoun', exclu- sive of operating costs, would probably stress the - revenue -generating abilities of the area of benefit (exclusive of agricultural lands) The relatively low tax base of the benefiting area would necessarily result in high, assessment ratios, and consequently, high assessments. The formation of a local assessment district would be further complicated by the restrictions imposed by Proposition 13 and the subsequent dissolution of the County Public -works t?nt�nl tri nn rllin A i n flim nf4-ai 4-h Xlefnn°rrii nfrl -,r f hr3 i9aea of El Corps of Bnginoers, U.S. Army The Corps of I:,nqineers would be the logical entity for, developing the proposed PrOJOct, since they devoloped the Chico -Mud Cree% facilities. They Would also ultimately need to approve (via the State Reclamation Board) the pro- posed project details, Additionally, this project may qualify for funding under the provisions of the Flood Control Act of 1936 (subject to Congressional approval), however a long implementation time may be expect�.d- if funding via the Flood control, Act is sought, the Board of Supervisors would need to provide 1st District Congressman, Harold T. "Bizz" Johnson, with a resolution requesting the introduction of a resolution *to the House of 'Representatives authorizing -the Corps of Engineers to study flood -protection measures on Rock Creek: Since prow- jects under this Act are generally limited to the peak -flow criterion of 800 cf$ for a 10 -year recurrence interval flood, the resol,ution(s) should include the 10-t 50 - and loo -year peak -flood discharges for Rock Creek. Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service Historically this agency has administered small ' flood -control projects, primarily in agricultural areas. Howevert congres- sional and executiveactions have effectively circumventea. much of the flood -control funding for the programs I of -this agency. Little improvement in.this ,outlook is expected in the near ftiture, as most programs are currently centered about range improvement and irrigation efficiency. Soil conservation Service The Soil consprvation Service (SGS) 18 involved in small flood-dontrol projects through Public Law 8i3-566 of 1954. Under the provisions of this law, such, project I s are under- -46- taken cooper, atjvejy with local sponsors i:rx the form of resource conservation district, and are financed partly by' local funds. Also, projects are generally Jimit:ed to drainage areas of 400 square miles or less, and are subjoct, t -o cost -benefit; analysis and Congressional approval. The prospect: of obt.a3,ning cooperative funding under this Act is immediately complicated by the lack of a resource conservation district for this area. Such x district is a necessary condition -to obtain :funding under this program. A resource conservation distract could be formed, pursuant to the provisions of the California Public Resources Code of 1970, but the requirements of C.E.Q.A. (environment tl Impact) and L.A.F.C.04 serve to indicate this would be a time-consuming process. f 47w - - I RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS 1) The limiting channel czIpacity of Rock Creek, in tile, area of study is approximately 3j200 cfs. This channel capacity is equivalent in magnitude to a peak -flood discharge with a recurrence interval of Oig'At years, 6be elXpOcted to (The, existing channel capacity WOUIr be equaled -or- exceeded once every eight years, On th"'� average). Considering that the lCo-yer ,Ir y*oourrence- interval peak dischetge is estimated to be 5,500 Of's, may be conrtluded that a poLentially-zha. ardous flood lev jf�l Oxist. d diversion of excess Rook Creek floodwaters the improved facilities of Mud Creek is reasonably feasible, from a physical and engineering standpoint. The cost/benefit and economic feasibility is subject to question. 3) The project, as proposedi and applicable alternatives should be carefully reviewed for economic and political feasibility. 4) The feasibility of applicable alternatives; 'which include upstream storage, gtound-water recharge, flood moadoWsi and flood -plain zoning -ombined with the flood - insurance program; should be considered and evaluated. The flood insurance alternative appears to have parti- cular economic and physical merit, and warrants care- ful consideration. 5) This report should be submitted to into -rested agencies and organizations for comment. These should include the corps of Engineers,, State Reclamation 13oard, Department of Fish and Game, Butte county planning 48'- CA 0 11 U M Departmont, and the socramento Valley r,4andowners Association, among OtbOrs- 6) if, the project recoives favorable review, as proposedr and a funding source is developed, Phase TI of -the feasibility study (preliminary design) should !-.Ie initiated. This phase should include such features as a determination of the area of 'benefit; cost -benefit analysis! photogrammetric surveys; test borings; route and site surveys; preliminary design of hydraulio structures and channels; right-of-way requirements; construction quantity take -offs; cost estimates for construction, operations and maintenance; and develop- ment of funding sources as well as payback and assess mens procedures. Additionally, any further studies should include the institution Of a streamflow data collection program. This program should; as a minimum, provide peak flow and hydrographic information for Rook Creek below Anderson ForXf and Mud C.eek at Hicks Lane, combined wi-i--h the determination of annual peak flows on Xeefer Barnes, Il.11. , Jr. 1967; Roughness Characteristics of Natural Channels; U.S. Geological Survey Water -Supply Paper 1819, 213p Chow Ven T., 1959 open -Channel Hydraulic$; McGraw- Hill, New York, 680p. Corns of Engineers, Sacramento District; :1.963; As --Built Plans for Chico and Mud Creeks and sandy Gulch Channel Improvement, Levee & State Highway embankment Construction; U.S Army, 54 sheets. Corps of engineers, Sacramento District:; 1957: Ilydro,logy - Design Memorandum No. 1 Sacramento River and Major and Minor Tributaries, California; U.S. Army, 31p. Corps of Engineers, ,Sacramento District; 1957 General Design. Memorandum No. 2 - Little Chico and Butte Creeks; U.S. Army, plus addenda. Corps or engineers, Sacramento District; 1961; Design Memorandum No. 5 - Chico and Mud Creeks and Sandy Gulch General Design; U.S. Army, 37p. Corps of engineers, Sacramento District; Operation and Maintenance Manual, for Chico and Mud Creelts and Sandy Gulch; U.S. Army, 3,8p. + Exhibits-. Corps of engineers, Sacramento Distract; 1975: Unpublished Preliminary Data --- mock Creek and pane Creek Plood Hazard; U6S. Army, miscellaneous unbound pages. Dalrymple, T. and Benson, M.A.; 1967: Measurement of Peak Discharge by the Slope -Area Method; U.S. Geolog- ical Survey, Techniques of Water -Resources Investigations, Book 3 - Chapter A2', 12p. Dalrymple, T. and Benson, M.A.; 1967: General Field vies for Indxect Discharge e measurements? and Office- Procedures :� U'.S. Geological Survey, Techniques of Water -Resources< Investigations, Book 3, Chapter Al, 30p. ��nabook of Hydraulics ; Ringo . PHand r13 I wl McGra-llill, New York, 13sections. Moore, Donald 0. , 1964: TechnigIues for Synthesizing liydrographs; U.5. Geological Survey, 92p. 50-- IM Pot�cr, P—G- t eG al., 1967: Saaramento Valloy Fast Sicle Investigation California: Department of Wattor Resources, Bulletin No. 137, 299p. U -S. Geological Survey, 1961-76; Water Resources Data for California, U -S. Geological Survey Annual Open -File Reports. U.S Geological Sjxrvey, to 1960: Compilation of Recor s of Surface Waters of the United States, .Part I!; U.S Geological Survey Water -Supply Paper 1735; 715p. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, 1976: Design Basis floods for Nuclear Power Plants; USNRC Office of Standards Development Regulatory Guide No. 1.15, 79p. U.S. Water Resources Council; 1977 Guidelines for Deter- mining Flood Flow Frequency; Bulletin too. 17A, USWRC Hydrology Commit -Lee, 8 section t tables Waananen Arvi, 0. , 1973: Floods from Small Drainage Areas in California -- A Compilation of Peak Data 1958-73 U.S. Geological. Survey Open -Filo Report, 26op. Waananen, A.O. and Crippen, J.R., .1977 Magnitude and Frequency of Floods in California; U.S. Geological Survey, Water -Resources Investigation 77-21, 96p. Young, L.F. and CruffR.W., 1967: Magnitude and Frequency of Floods in the United States, art 11, Pacific Slope Basins in California, Volume 2, Klamath and Smith River Basins and Central. -Valley Drainage from the Fast; U.S; Geological Survey Water -Supply Paper 1686, 3089.. t N M. ANOCRSON P+ OWIMNO UIM4 CNETINCQR 4N.UYC,' 7Ei.1;1�I1fjNl;,' Pbflfil �rlClr'/,"aSld 10 0# VA,41(ORNIA 195976 1 5;S �, t k+ i �:4aJ � �. to t`.t Baa 1 +.. r } J J, att �, •4� J'9r�R �i�.. � �, ..�, 7 _ �C. ,r• ,3.�rR �. .. �.t Y i__.. .a �� :.�_. +.,_• � __. �.. .J ..��? <.. ... ..a c-�.._�.r�, L:, c;_ .':1.',...�-�� . ate.. k �J p Ct UGkI MYRT41r AV �H AE REGIONAL FLOC JC0r ap Ro Butte c4; t N M. ANOCRSON P+ OWIMNO UIM4 CNETINCQR 4N.UYC,' 7Ei.1;1�I1fjNl;,' Pbflfil �rlClr'/,"aSld 10 0# VA,41(ORNIA 195976 1 5;S �, t k+ i �:4aJ � �. to t`.t Baa 1 +.. r } J J, att �, •4� J'9r�R �i�.. � �, ..�, 7 _ �C. ,r• ,3.�rR �. .. �.t Y i__.. .a �� :.�_. +.,_• � __. �.. .J ..��? <.. ... ..a c-�.._�.r�, L:, c;_ .':1.',...�-�� . ate.. k Regional Model Devolopmont - On the prooijmption thnt this ;,rec, O:r. 13utto County may warrnnt Z"'EllYsir, On ;the Of a separate Jjy�.jroloqjc region for 1.) a r -I I C - f 10 o d c h a r a c t. o, r it; 1-. J c ,i, -111 O-Ra"nill0tiOn OF; exinting .�;trOaMfloiv datn in 'the immocliato area wcip:, initiated. pril"11,-Iry criteria for the melccti011 Of potenti-Etlly-correlable -streams included: PX-OxiMitY to the Rock Creek drainage basin This was tentatively outlined, as being within a radiu6 Of approximately 27 miles fXOM the centroid or the Rock Crook Basin. - 2.) Similarity Of geologic framework - The Primary criterion for selection in this regard was location on Cascadian extrusivo volcianics (more Particularly, the Tuscan. fOrmation). 3v) br-linage area classification as a small stream This was subjectively determined to be within a range of aPPrOximat0lY 0.10 'to 250 square miles, with particular emphasis on areas of similar size to ROCk Creek (20 to 50 square miles), 4.) Similarity of flood regime This Criterion requires that the primary cause of Flooding on -the stream should be induced by frontal rainstorms, instead of- thunderstorms or more particularly, snOWM01tv This can be doterMined by examination of hirtorical records to determine the season Of flooding. An additional guideline is that significant snowmelt flooding in this . area generally will not occur at e levations less than about 5,000 feet. 5-) Natural flow regime This requirement excludes streams with m1ajor storage reservoirs and/or diversions upstream from the gaging site. 6.) Length of Record Since the primary objective Of the 'developed model would be for prediction Of flood peaks with recurrence interval of up to 100 years i the .minimum length of record should exceed, or be correlable to a10 -year period. On application of these critorila to existing strea_mflo4ql data stations, it was readily appprent that only a, few' streams Would qualify in all re,spectr,. According] some streamflow' I data that obvi.ola.aly did riot. �l"al�.r.Y in some tispoots or thn criteria, were included in tht. ini.ti al data bale, with the gvialificration that; they could be el.imin.aLed after additional tonal analysi.s, if nocessary. `I,'he streams selected for this ini- tial data base are listed ;in Table A. The data base of Table,A was compiled from the records of the U.S., Geological ,survey, with the exception of data for Little; Chico Greek near Chico, which was obtainedfrom the records of the California Depart ,ent of Water Resources. All data were updated in -so --far as :possible.., to include preliminary, ;unpublished data for the 3.977 and 1978 water years. Correlations between similar stations were performed in an attempt to loccte potentially spurious data(f'or later consideration). This process was particularly necessary for some of the crest -gage stations, where hydraulic ratings tend to be poor. Some estimates of instantaneous -peak discharges were required for Little Chico Creek near Chico, since existing records are determined separately for the creek and for the flood. diversion ( the timing of ;the individ- ual peak discharges seldom coincide). Some of the data from short -record stations were extended, for a maximum of tour ears if a years, good correlation with a nearby station existed. in addition, the initial data base includes two stations that do not conform to the initial proximity limits estab- lished. These were included to improve the limited irforma- tion available for very -small streams (Shingle Creek near, Shingletown and Wyman Ravine Tributary, .located to the north and to the south of the proximity radius, respectively), Examination of this initial data base of potentially correlable streams shows that it consists of 18 streams (stations) ranging in drainage area from 0.62 to 208 square miles. The number of station ears of data tot � y als, 410 years, or 423 yoa,ts of extended station years. Unit _2-- I m C Tablo. A -- Sunimary of Potontiaj,ly Correlative Streams MaximtIIII Drainage Y04rs Pon% of USGS No.Stream , �111M-� ------(si) Area _ Record Of R-Ocord (Of-s/mj2) 11-3900,.45 Little Chico Cr. Trib. 0.62 ll (14) 145.2 11-4033.40 Granite Cr. C-1) Tobin 0.79 11 200.0 11-3829.50 No. cork Calf Creek 1.26 5 (12) 27.0 11-3902-00 Gold Run Tributary 1,31 13 193.1 11-4074,,00 Wyman Ravine Trib. 1.72 13 151.2 11-3762.00 Summit Cr. nr. mineral 1.80 13 122.2 11-3740,60 Shingle Cr. nr. ShingletoWn 3.25 13 187 11-3896.50 Scotts John Creek 3.76 9 (12) 54.8 11-4040.00 Grizzly Cr. nr. Storrie 5.20 14 30119 ---DW.R--- Little Chico Cr. @ Chico 25.4 15 155.4 11-3897.00 Butte Cr. Q Butte MPadows 44.4 14 96.6 11-3825.50 Doer Cr. Below Slate Cr. 69.4 9 (13) 113.8 11-3840400 Big Chico Cr, nr. Chico 72.4 48 132.3 11-4053.00 West Branch Feather R. 110 21 239.1 11-8790-00 Antelope Cr. nr Red 81f. 123 37 139.8 11-3315400 Mill Ct. nr Los Mol'nos 131. 50 277.9 11-3900400 Butte Cr. nr. Chico 147 48 144.2 11-3835-00 Deer Creek nr. Vina 208 62, 114.4 Extended Period -3- rr,%nge from 27.0 to Sol .0 cubic-2oot per of ,.cond per squire milo (c:ctm). roint Vrequency Analyois - Loq Pearnon Type III distributions ware devolopod. for the -IM!Uial pealk-flow data ieries of each t in Table A,? , , ji r, a tio n pQr8uant to the PrOcedUres recommended by Bullotip 171 of the U48. Water Ro5ources Council. This process generated Skew coe:Mcion 't'--- (natur-,11 skews) for each station, which were retained for further analysisi Since the procedures recommended by the u. Water Ae8ources Council indicate that regionalized skaw,+ or a Particular region are preferable, to individual natural sltew,,3, an investi- gat-ton was Conducted -to determine if the use of a regionalized 31 "I'010 value would be aPPrOprinta- ',> IU. proce3,r. ilicludod development of geographical plots of natural ,3tjtior) -,kews (Plotted at, the centroids of the respective basins) -to investigate areal skew variation; correlation analy.,A,. of natural skei,,Tj as a function of basin drainage area, mean basin elevation and percentage of basin area above 5,000 feet elevation; and a graphical analysis of natural station skews as a function of the period of record of the station. The geographical plots generally depicted an east -west variation in naturc-.,l from positive in the east to negative in. the west. A correlation of mean basin elevation and percentage of basin area above 5,000 feet vs.: natural Station Sjcet.j revealed a general trend toward positive skewness with increasing eleva-bion(s)., However, the results of this correlation also coincided with the geographical plots (in that elevation generally increases to the east). Accordingly, the physical -significance of the results from thi.s rolatiol-i8hip are some -- what obscure due to a possible cross -correlation of the variables. A correlation of drainage area vs. natural station; Skew generally indicated a convorgence of- 55E w at the _0.5 to -1.0 t~'kwq intoa,v tl with inca.oa.sing drair,ago area. However, it Waa iw misod that thin was aDJO alba oct to bias, hs the: prob- ability of the drainage; basins having „omo portion of the basin Above s,000 .(,eat elevation could,, not readily be accounted for. Also, the influence of the larger drain- age basins having the longer period($) of r000rd needed to be considered to eliminate the possibility of parameter cross correlation,o subscribing to the premise that a regional skew does exist for the area., and that -rhe best or most probable achievement of 'this regional skew would be indicated by the natural station skews of the long-term gaging stations, a graphical analysis of -the variation in natural station ,ikewness with period of station record was employed. mile initial relationship indicated that the natural skewness values for -the stations in Table A tended to converge at a value of about -1.0, This relationship was somewhat obscured., as several interpretations could be developed from the ,same graph. To partially ameliorate this problem, each station in ".able A was .sub•- jectively weighted (on a scale of poor., fair, good or excel- lent) based on its similarity with hack. Creek and the reliability of the gaging data. These weightings were ass ghed -to each station considering drainage area, geology, cli.matol.. og,y, proximity, flood regime, storage & diversion,%, type of gage and gage rating, period of ;record and reference to; the east -west geographcial trend, previously discussed. The natural skewness data were then re -plotted, with the letter corresponding to the suhjecti.ve weighting superimposed on the point in the coordinate field. This graph is shown in Vigure A. With the weighted graph of rigure n greatly facilitating the analysis, the following interpretations were possible: -5— COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS + vs. PERIOD OF RECORD 1.. ) The 000fficient of skecnerss Probably convergos to a value of -1.0 as the period of rrcord approachos 00 or 1.00 years. 2.) The coafkicion't, of, ske�tina ss CoUld.�possib:l"y converge to a value of -0.9 ars the pl-riod og record aj)proachr_s1.00 years- 3.) ears.3.) the coca `,f is i Drat u skewne,s, dotal d po t on tiall (minor prota- ability) convorge to a value cif about �-c_.0 as tile period of record approaches 130 years or more. ,j,his results in the obvious conclusion that a genuine -regional skew does exist, with a value most assuredly ranging between the values of -0.6 to =-1.,.0, in order, 'to arrive jt a value that would best represent the actual value of the regional skew, the following- evaluiat;ion procedure was utilized: l.) Tasting of the five longest period -of -record skewnesses for statistical significance indicated that they were all sig- nificantly different from zero (90% confidence level) . Ac- cordingly, these pivotal points on the convergence diagram all represent viable skew values. 2.) The skewness coefficient for Big Chico Creek ( weighted "ex- cellent" on the convergence diagram) was statistically sig- nificantly different from zero at the 99% confidence l+.�vel. 3.) The anomalous positive skewnesses for Little Chico Creek Tributary and Wyman Ravine Tributary (weighted "good„ on the convergence diagram) were both statistically 'it - significant from zero, at the 00% level, and d.o not represent viable skew values. 4.) The average and median of the skewnesses for the four long-term stations weighted "good" and "excellent" were determined to be -0,71 and -0.79, respectively.. These were subsequently tested and determined to be g statistically significant at the 990 � confidence level. Considering the above evaluation along'with the convergence trend depicted. in Figure 11, a regional skew value of -0.75 was selected as being appropriate for application of regional analysis to Rock Greek. Although the data might indicate Y that a smaller value of skewness 'would be appropriate (ie: -0.9 or --1. 0) , the larger value of -0,,75 was utilized for conser vatism, in that larger skewnesses produce larger flood magni-- I tudes in the Log Pearson Type Ill dis,tribuLion. Additional evidence toward conservatism in skew 'selection is realized when full consideration is given to the natural skews of the 7» 3 Little Chico Creek and B'A.,j Chico Creek (the two mosL- similar sreafas Lo Rock Creek), which w( -.,r,. -1-34 and -1„27, respoctively, Had r.-qwnal skew selection boon limited to ,these two station. -3, � �mmonsurately lower flood magnitudes would result. Peak streamflow characteristics (2,5,10,25,,50,100 & 200 year recurrence interval) were determined by Log-Peargon Type :III point -frequency analysis for all tho stations shown in Table A, utilizing a regional skew value of -0-75. 11hese charac- teristics were reduced to un it discharges (in cfr;o per square mile) and related to a function of drainage area for evalu- ation. Utilizing this information alony with the mapped geographical trend of station skew variation and historical information on peak -flood seasons at each strA­*.on, all obvious snowmelt flood streams were eliminated from the flood data base. Theze included Granite Creek, North Fork Calf Creek, Summit Creek, Scotts J'ohn creek., Grizzly Creek, Butte Creek Ca Butte Meadows, Deer Creek below Slate Creek, and West Branch Feather River. The elimination of f -hese, substantially reduced the variance of the remaining streamflow characteristics (as related to drainage area). Purtber analysis of -the re- maining data indicated that most of the residual variance was produced by one stream, Gold Run Tributary. Since the soils and geomorphic framework of this valley -stream basin was anomalous to that .of the other reifiaining streams (and Rock Creek), it was deleted from the flood -data base. Evaluation of the relationship between unit, peak discharge. (in cfsm) and drainage area for the remaining ttation8r depicted algeneral agreement with hydrologic theory in that as the drainage area increase4i unit peak discharge decreases. This was generally true for all station,,,,, except the three smallest,-, Little Chico ,reek Tributary# Wyman Ravine Tributary, and Shingle Creek. This ihcongtuitYp counter to theory,could 'not be explained on 'the basis of any regional or basin characteristic, othor than sj,�Ill drainage area (0,62 to 3,,25 square miles)- Further invoOticintion suggested that this jtjcojjqrtjity could probably bo attributed to a combination of the short period--ref-record for Uleae $Lre,-IMS (II to 13 years) and the method of gaging (crest -Stage gv-1900- 0 Since those stations represent the bulk of the data avail- able for very -small streams (the next smallest being Little Chico Creek with a drainage area of 25.4 sq. miles), it was decided to retain these streams in the data base for the ensuing 40 model and to attempt to apply an unbiased adjustment factor to the individual station date. After, several failures in locating such an unbiased adjustment factor; it was noticed -that the application of natural station skews to the Point - frequency analyses for these three stations improved the results dramatically (ie- towards, accord with hydrologic theory). Accordingly, the point -frequency analysis for -those stations utilized natural skewnesse8 (ranging from +0-43 to +0466) instead of the regional skewness of -0-75 employed for the remaining, larger streams. The latitude for this cavalier,adjustment , was deemed reasonable and pru- dent in that it: 1.) Would increase the magnitude of a poak-flood event via the employment of larger skewriesses; 2.) Would be in general agreement with hydrologic theory, in that the smaller drainage basins would produce'the larger unit.discharges; and 3.) The resulting data generated for those very-smoll streams could later be eitber disregarded or reco,,iciled for in application, since the .drainage areas. of the points -of -interest on nock Creek are in fact much larger4 The resulting revised flood -data base consists of the streams listed in Table B. These nine streams provide a.combifted gaging history ,of 300 station, I -years (including extended data), and range in period -of -record from l3 to 62, years, individ- ually. I Table Dx ainage Araa. ,rte � . —1-Al—'r(�Gacr. Yeas o Mi.) Little Chico Cr, Tx� bul;a.ry 0.62 rt ate 1'7YMan Ravine Tributary 1.72 .66 Shingle Crock d-0,43 13 3.25 Chico CJ eok •t•0. S2 13Little 25.E Big Chico Creek, -1-34 � 721.4 Antelope Creel -,123 --1.2 7 48 Mill Creek -0.89 87 131 Butte/�y.L C�ree -0.46 50 147 Deer a e); . Dl, ^0.65 4� 208 -A.52 62 Avorage: 79.2 Median: 72.4 33 3 37 N'atu3 a1 skcivs presented nor information only. neier text �'o., actual skeiv(s) utilized in LoPearson 9 to Distribution Type III ( ) --- ,extended period lop -a0- The hydrologic region containittt these stroams is fairly vjjjgorin, ar, all. are prodom.inately rain-flood itraamr, dzr i;Lncj 0 btv,sJ.nn of a rAmilar gooloqic, goomorphic, and L-opogrlphic f,r�,jmo,j,jor%. Nome of: the larger basins probably have occanion el mixod-flood regimor, (combinod rain-Flood and onowmalt flooding) as the h.oadwaters frequently originate cat eleva- 0 tions in excess of 5,000 feet. The geologic framework- of the streams is reasonably constant', since they drain (with the exception of Shingle Creek and Wyman Ravine Tribu- tary), areas predominantly consisting of Pliocene extrusive 0 volcanics of the TU81can f . ormation. Shingle Creek also drains extrusive volcanics, except they are basalts of goologically Recent age. Wyman Ravine Tributary e',nbibits the greatest geologic departure, in that it drains Recent alluvial de- 4D posits 4 It was retained because it produced the largest 100-year unit-peak discharge of all the remaining streams, and lent to conservatism. Otbei, basin characteristics, such as mean basis elevation, percent area above 5,000 feet, main channel slope, ond mean annual precipitation, were variable, but generally, clustered about a regional norm without excessive departure. These characteristics are shown in Table C. Table C-- Summary of Basin. Characteristics Drainage Mean, Area above Main Channel ;dean Annual, Stream Area Elevation 5,000 ft. Slo-oe Precipitation Little Chico Creel: Trib.. 0.62,m!2 2,500 ft. 0./ 290ftjm -i 65 inches layman. Ravine: Tributary 1.72; 100 0 10' Shingle Creek, 3.25 2,800 0 330 35 Little Chico Creek 25.4 1;400 0 150 Big Chico Creek 72.4 2,300 4 i4o 63 U Antelope Creek 123 2,300 16 l50 36 imill Creek 131 2,800 31 120 43 Butte Creek 147 2,700 28 15.0' Dee: Creek 2:08 2,800 34 100 47 The various relationships were then evaluated to determine Development of Model - Peak streamflow characteristics (by recurrence interval) for each stream in Table B wore initially related to the respec- Live drainage areas by various forms of linear-regro8sion modeling techniques. Drainage area was initially selected as the independent variable since numerous &tudies have shown this to be the predominantly significant basin charac- teristic. Model forms included logarithmic peak vs. log- aritbmic drainage area; logarithmic peak vs. arithmetic drainage area; arithmetic peak vs, logarithmic drainage area; and arithmetic peak vs., arithmetic drainage area. Those relationships were prepared for peak streamflow charac- teristics on a unit discharge basis (ie: cubic feet per second -per square mile). The various relationships were then evaluated to determine the best model form, resulting in the eventual selection of the logarithmic peak vsarithmetic drainage area format. The equation-of-bost-fit was then determined for the 100 -year recurrence interval model and correlation statistics deter- mined (since this is the peak event of particular interest for this study). Graphical forms were deemed adequate for determining peai characteristics at lower recurrence inter- vals. The resulting model equation for the 1'00 -year peak flow is: 8100 =2 243 exp (-0.004 D.A. where, 8I00 = the 100 -year peak flow in cubic feet per second per square Milo (cfsm) and; D.A. = the basin dr,ainacje area in square miles (mi2)., 3- 11 El 0 a (r2) of a co OX*Ml-k Or' 0-0190 lOgEnrit-11miC unit -r,, or +4.50,4 and -4-150% (III)Por al -10 IOWOr bounds)., Tba rpther liigh cora-olition coo:zf-icient and low 1,-t&nCj"J,-d OrrO37 are unusually good for thin, tYPO 09 Modeling process. 0enerally, cOrrOla.tiOn coefficionta on the Order of 0.85 and standard errors of + 20% Would be considered =cellei-It.. Those results can probably be attributed to the homogeneity of the hydrologic region, and the various model forms evaluated (eg. oemi-logarithmic). 111, retrospect however, the low o-tandnrd error obtained is probably superfluotis in a strict statistical sensO, as normal stream -gaging procedures are limited to an accuracy of about five percent or greater. Calibration of this model (iereversing the prediction process) With the 100 -Year ricak flows ;For 'the ,,,treams listed in Table B, resulted in very low percentage error: N, as ex- pocted. The model predicted the 100 --year peal- fj o vis w i t h i n 2 percent (for Little Chico Creek Tributary) to 9 percent (for Butte Creek), with the .Iveracjc percentage error being, 4 . 11 A b Vl.ith the lovi standard error produced b the model using ing only drainage area as the single independent variable, attempts to ref-ine the accuracy of the model via inultiple-regres4:;ion techniques and addit-ional variables would not be Warranted. However, in 'the interest Of completenesso additional correla- tion, with other basin characteristics were investigated (see Table C). This process did not result in any additional, significant torralablo basin characteristics. The r0ZuItinCU 100"Year recurrence --interval pealt-flood model is shown on rigute .8. a 171 11) 77: r' I Q 0 d qu. ncy for UncJogecl I'latcrObOdS A Litaratuj:e Evaluation; .U.�. Do),'iaa:t-ijjej*jt Of Agricultu).-o 136P. Aron, G. and MiIler, 1978: Adaption of plood 'peal, 'Ind Design Nydrographs :CrOM Gaged to NeLirby Unq,,:LjL, Water - Shod,", ; Wat er Resources Bulletirl, Vol. 14, No. 2, PP. 313-321 Chow, Van. T. (editor) ; 1964: Handbook of j1pplie4 I-lydrology; McGraw-nill, Now York, 29 sections Haan, Charles T.; 1977: statjsticaj .Iothods in I 1_1ydrologyi Iowa state Univex";-4ty Pre8s, Ames, Iowa, 378p. Hardison, Clayton z1.; 1974: Gener.-Ilizod Skew C OcEficients of Annual FlOOdr, in the United gta tes and Their iq�,plication* T,7, Re5OUrC0,9 Recearch Vol. 10, No. 4, pp 745-752 "%proy:)zj-9, 'C'rV7in' 1970: Bruin; introductory Mathematical St LTOhh Wiley & woo nt,,, New York I 470p, Potter, R.G. I et -11; 1967: Sacramento Val ley D, ast Sic, "'Ve8t'gationi California De Bullotin No. 137, 299p. Partnt ent Of W ater I Resourc'es Riggs, H -C.; 1968 Frequency Curves; U.S. Oe.010gical Technique,-,OfSurvey, Water -Resources InIvestig--it-ions, Book 4, chapter A2, 15P. Riggs; 8-C-0- 1973: Regional Analyses o:e Streamfl Ow Charac, toristicsf* U.S. Geological Survey, Techniques of Water_ Resources Investigations, Book 4, Chapter 133, 15P. -16- *WAR= $oil conservation service, 1076: New Tables, of Percentage Points or, the Pearson Type :01 Distribution; U.S. Department of Agriculture, Technical Release No. 380 17p. Thomas# C*A.j Haronburq, W.A., and Anderson, a.M.; 1973., Magnitude and Frequency of Floods in Small Drainage Basins in Idaho; U.S. Geological Survey, water Resources Investi- gations Series Noy 7,73, Glp., 3pls. 'U.S. Geological Survey, 1961-76: Water Resources Data for California, U.S. Geological Survey Annual Open -Pilo Reports U.S, Geological Survey, to 1960: Compilation of Records of Surface Waters of the United States, Part 114 U.S. Geol" ogical Survey Water -Supply Paper 1735, 715p. tJ.S. Water Resources Council; 1977: Guidelines for Deter- mining Flood Flow, Frequency; Bulletin No. 17A, U8WRC Hydrology Commit -tee, 8_ -sections + tables Waananen, Arvi 0.- 1973: Floods from Small Drainage Areas in California -- A Compilation of Peak Data 1958-73; U.S. Geological Survey open -File Report, 260p. Waananen, A.0. and. Crippen, 1917-6 Magnitude and Frequency of Floods in California; U.S. Geological Survey, Water -Resources Investigation 77-21, 96p, Young, L.F. and Cruff, R.W.; 1967: Magnitude and Frequency of Ploods in the United States, Part II, Pacific Slope Basins in California, Volume 2, Klamath and Smith River Basins and Central Valley Drainage from the Past; U.S* Geological Survey Water-8tpply Paper 11686, 308p. 17-66 fi r. 1. 1. f. rl 1. YI ni fr fi Vi I= w I w a' r a- 7=7 '4 41 1. yV is PI • l it wr X1 fi td 'A "T"tea W7, ;�-'•. • 1i. 1 y 7, q -p , I . , ­ . :. " � ­ V� . , "I , 1, � , � , , I.. 1 1, 1, ". - .., '. , ,, , ", " , . I 1�1 �t I .. - . � . I . 1 .1 - �. �. � I , , . � .1, .. p 11 , 1, � 1 .1, , " . , �. I . . ­ ;." . , ..j �, .1 1 . I 1� ""I I" '. I., , , '' A, 14: 71 21 "lip '4 ....................... W0111111111im . . . . . . . . . . ELEVATIONS IN FEET (USGS DATUM) 205 LEGEND --ORIGINAL GROUND 200 FINAL CHANNEL BED (D o 0 100 -YEAR FLOOD ELEVATION '(FOP PROPOSED CHANNEL DIM 195 190 .12,000 11,000 10,000 IN, 1111r, -,i j" ­ X1. �•LtAL 0 : 1 M ,. 1 r ,r .. - 7 • , r, : i �. ,, 1 r r ILS •V 1 - , a i .. r.n... i-. :.. r.. ..... t. f� :, 7 ♦ ... Y! .., r .. A' , -. .ir :. , �.. ._ ..:. J .. :tl .. 1 L. A. ..'C�,. ,f+ ', fin ... .. :., r„ .:. ,m.• 1. ... ,. ! .. ... ....,,�. „a, . ,i,. •.,, ,,,:. ..n....c\.. ;a 4. , •:4 �' t ,y t A to t'/ • ° ° i�,,Srll 11• f a4 i ROCK CREEK FLOOD- DIVE'RStON ALIGNIMENT PROFILE: INIUD CREEK to POCK CREEK • e 1 \' • �.0 PLATE • , i •r d� ,r ' ® 11 fr •,: , . i I,• f♦, r 1 \ REACH 1 w + r Y , e' r .:v. : . r i. .� :i. '.. 4 :,: .. ,' .• ,. .1 ti... ,. f •'. ': C,n. i ,r, I. 1 U :, r : , '; ,'' a -.,. i. ., —,, v • .: � y ,. .. .. .. ,,, .. ,. , Y -. �:- h. ,. 1. .. n :. , r •. 'Yt. h :. r--. 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Precipitation ........ 1-7 «.,. ... ... hydrological Rami:Cica'tions 1- ........... l -S DESIGN CRITERIA ... ..... ..i........ 1-10 HYDROLOGIC ANALYSIS ................ 1-•lG General .. ......... • .. • .... .... �.-X2 Hydrologic Y gic- Methods .................... Empirical Models............ x...1.3 .....Y 1-14 REFERENCES ..............:.. .. 1-18 PART II: Upper Mud Creek Master Plan ........... 2-1 INTRODUCTION . . .. ... ... 2-1 CONCEPTUAL, CONSIDERATIONS ...... TECIINICAL FEATURES ........ .. ......... 2-.3 Typical Channel sections` 2--3 . • • .:...... ; Reefer Slough Design Discharges 1_3 ...... Outfall Channel ........ 2-5 ... Collection Manifold .. . ... Drainage Channel System 2- Drainage Structures ... 2-9 .......... Project Cost Estimates .:; 2.12 ... ....... Project Staging 2-15 •.:...,. Preliminary, Assessment•Program 2•-27 ...... 2-,24 PART III; Meridian-Munjar .Master Plan .. i ...... . 3-1:, INTRODUCTION.... ,....'................. 3-1 CONCEPTUAL CONSIDERATIONS ...... 3-f r�RC%INICAL FEATURES , ... • . • ...,.... , , 3-4 Diversion Channels ..,............ 3- Improved Natural. Channels .........ii• 3-6 Channel Construction -S� Realignment .. 3-.8 Drainage ,Structures ..:.,w . s . • 3-5 a . • . •. .Drainage Out,fi'alls......... .. Project Cost, Estimates ....: ....... 3-12 3-15 . Project Staging ....;...:.......... 3-21 Preliminary Assessment urogram .... , .. 3-23