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STATE OF CALIFORNIA
Edmund G. Brown, Jr., Governor
CALIFORNIA NATURAL RESOURCES AGENCY
John Laird, Secretary for Natural Resources
Department of Water Resources
Karla Nemeth
Director
Cindy Messer Erich Koch Taryn Ravazzini Katherine S. Kishaba
Chief Deputy Director Deputy Director Deputy Director Deputy Director
Joel Ledesma Christy Jones Spencer Kenner
Deputy Director Acting Deputy Director Chief Counsel
Division of Flood Management
Jeremy Arrich................................................................Acting Chief, Division of Flood Management
MauryRoos..............................................................................................................State Hydrologist
Jon Ericson...........................................................................Chief, Hydrology and Flood Operations
Sudhakar Talanki.........................................................................................Chief, Hydrology Branch
Prepared by
Frank Gehrke...........................................................................................Chief, Coop Snow Surveys
DaveRizzardo..................................................................................................Chief, Snow Surveys
SeanDeGuzman........................................................................................................Engineer, W.R.
StephenNemeth.........................................................................................................Engineer, W.R.
JohnKing....................................................................................................................Engineer, W.R.
AndrewReising...........................................................................................................Engineer, W.R.
Matt Winston............................................................................................Senior Meteorologist, W.R.
COOPERATING AGENCIES
Public Agencies State Water Project Contractors
Buena Vista Water Storage District Municipalities
East Bay Municipal Utility District City of Bakersfield Water Department
Eldorado Irrigation District City,of Los Angeles Department of Water and Power
Friant Water Users Association City and County of San Francisco Hetch Hetchy Water and Power
Kaweah Delta Water Conservation District State Agencies
Kern Delta Water District University of California
Kings River Conservation District Central Sierra Snow Laboratory
Lower Tule River Irrigation District Scripps Institution of Oceanography
Merced Irrigation District California Department of Forestry&Fire Protection
Modesto Irrigation District California Department of Water Resources
Nevada Irrigation District Public Utilities
North Kern Water Storage District Pacific Gas and Electric Company
Northern California Power Agency Southern California Edison Company
Oakdale Irrigation District Federal Agencies
Omochumne-Hartnell Water District U.S.Department of Agriculture
Placer County Water Agency Forest Service(14 National Forests)
Sacramento Municipal Utility District Natural Resource Conservation Service
San Joaquin River Exchange Contractors Water Authority U.S.Department of Commerce
South Feather Water and Power Agency National Weather Service
South San Joaquin Irrigation District U.S.Department of Interior
Tri-Dam Project Bureau of Reclamation
Truckee River Basin Water Commission Geological Survey,Water Resources
Tulare Lake Basin Water Storage District National Park Service(3 National Parks)
Turlock Irrigation District U.S.Department of Army
Yuba County Water Agency Corps of Engineers
Private Organizations National Aeronautics and Space Administration
J.G.Boswell Company Jet Propulsion Laboratory
Kaweah and St.Johns River Association Other Cooperative Programs
Kings River Water Association Nevada Cooperative Snow Surveys
Tule River Association Oregon Cooperative Snow Surveys
E
i
Summary of Water Conditions
February 1, 2018
What a contrast in water years! Last year was one of the wettest; this water year seems to be
shaking out as one of the driest, although not quite as low as in 1977 or more recently in
2014. Residual watershed moiture from 2017 is helping to maintain base streamflows above
what would otherwise be expected with the low precipitation.
Forecasts of median April through July runoff are expected to be about 55 percent of
average compared to last year's 145 percent forecast on this date and an eventual actual 190
percent amount for the snowmelt season. Total statewide runoff in the 2017 water year was
estimated to be 215 percent of average.
Snowpack water content is quite low at about 25 percent of average for this date compared
to 185 percent a year ago. The pack is about 15 percent of the April 1 average, normally the
date of maximum accumulation. Regional February 1 amounts range from about 20 percent to
30 percent, with somewhat higher percentages at higher elevations and on the east side and
some lower elevation courses bare in the southern Sierra.
Precipitation from October through January was about 60 percent statewide compared to
180 percent last year. This year the lowest percentages are in the south and higher in the
north at around 80 percent.
Runoff to date has been about 55 percent of average statewide compared to 215 last year on
this date. Estimated January runoff was about 45 percent. Estimated runoff of the eight major
rivers of the Sacramento-San Joaquin region in January was 1.45 million acre-feet.
Reservoir storage is about 105 percent of average, compared to 115 percent last year
when many were in the flood control mode. Storage at Lake Oroville on February 1 was about
1.4 million acre-feet less than last year. If storage there was normal, it would raise the
statewide storage about 4 percent.
SUMMARY OF WATER CONDITIONS
IN PERCENT OF AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION FEBRUARY I FEBRUARY 1 RUNOFF APRIL-JULY WATER YEAR
HYDROLOGIC REGION OCTOBER 1 SNOW WATER RESERVOIR OCTOBER 1 RUNOFF RUNOFF
TO DATE CONTENT STORAGE TO DATE FORECAST FORECAST
NORTH COAST 80 15 100 40 45 50
SAN FRANCISCO BAY 60 - 85 10 -- -
CENTRAL COAST 45 -- 65 10 - --
SOUTH COAST 30 __ 85 5
SACRAMENTO RIVER 70 20 100 60 60 65
SAN JOAQUIN RIVER 60 15 120 65 55 60
TULARE LAKE 35 10 105 65 50 50
NORTH LAHONTAN 70 15 175 135 60 70
SOUTH LAHONTAN 40 20 100 120 55 65
COLORADO RIVER 35
STATEWIDE 60 15 105 55 55 60
1
FEBRUARY 1, 2018 FORECASTS
APRIL-JULY UNIMPAIRED RUNOFF
Unimpaired Runoff in 1,000 Acre-Feet (1)
HYDROLOGIC REGION HISTORICAL FORECAST
and Watershed 50 Yr Max of Min of Apr-Jul Pct 80%
Avg Record Record Forecast of Probability
(2) (10) (10)
Avg Range(1)
North Coast
Trinity River at Lewiston Lake 639 1,593 80 300 47% 200 - 420
SACRAMENTO RIVER
Upper Sacramento River
Sacramento River at Delta above Shasta Lake 295 751 39 165 56%
McCloud River above Shasta Lake 385 850 185 340 88%
Pit River near Montgomery Creek+Squaw Creek 1,020 2,098 480 910 89%
Total Inflow to Shasta Lake 1,756 3,525 711 1,440 82% 1,160 - 1,750
Sacramento River above Bend Bridge,near Red Bluff 2,421 5,117 943 1,720 71% 1,340 - 2,130
Feather River
Feather River at Lake Almanor near Prattville (3) 333 675 120 190 57%
North Fork at Pulga (3) 1,028 2,416 243 500 49%
Middle Fork near Clio (4) 86 518 4 35 41%
South Fork at Ponderosa Dam (3) 110 267 13 45 41%
Feather River at Oroville 1,704 4,676 378 880 52% 600 - 1,180
Yuba River
North Yuba below Goodyears Bar 279 647 51 160 57%
Inflow to Jackson Mdws and Bowman Reservoirs (3) 112 236 25 65 58%
South Yuba at Langs Crossing (3) 233 481 57 130 56%
Yuba River near Smartsville plus Deer Creek 968 2,424 151 580 60% 410 - 810
American River
North Fork at North Fork Dam (3) 262 716 43 140 53%
Middle Fork near Auburn (3) 522 1,406 100 310 59%
Silver Creek below Camino Diversion Dam (3) 173 386 37 90 52%
American River below Folsom Lake 1,199 3,074 185 670 56% 460 - 950
SAN JOAQUIN RIVER
Cosumnes River at Michigan Bar 125 446 8 60 48% 40 - 100
Mokelumne River
North Fork near West Point (5) 437 829 104 250 57%
Total Inflow to Pardee Reservoir 457 1,076 75 270 59% 210 - 370
Stanislaus River
Middle Fork below Beardsley Dam (3) 334 702 64 190 57%
North Fork Inflow to McKays Point Dam (3) 224 503 34 120 54%
Stanislaus River below Goodwin Reservoir(9) 682 1,710 116 370 54% 300 490
Tuolumne River
Cherry Creek&Eleanor Creek near Hetch Hetchy 315 727 97 190 60%
Tuolumne River near Hetch Hetchy 604 1,392 153 370 61%
Tuolumne River below La Grange Reservoir(9) 1,193 2,682 301 720 60% 590 - 940
Merced River
Merced River at Pohono Bridge 372 888 80 210 56%
Merced River below Merced Falls(9) 623 1,587 104 330 53% 270 - 430
San Joaquin River
San Joaquin River at Mammoth Pool (7) 1,026 2,279 235 580 57%
Big Creek below Huntington Lake (8) 91 264 11 45 49%
South Fork near Florence Lake (7) 201 511 58 120 60%
San Joaquin River inflow to Millerton Lake 1,228 3,355 193 680 55% 520 - 860
TULARE LAKE
Kings River
North Fork Kings River near Cliff Camp (3) 239 565 50 120 50%
Kings River below Pine Flat Reservoir 1,210 3,113 208 640 53% 470 - 810
Kaweah River below Terminus Reservoir 285 814 42 120 42% 90 160
Tule River below Lake Success 63 259 1 18 29% 11 30
Kern River
Kern River near Kernville 384 1,203 83 190 49%
Kern River inflow to Lake Isabella 458 1,657 57 220 48% 150 - 300
(1)See inside back cover for definition (5)36 year average based on years 1936-72
(2)All 50 year averages are based on years 1966-2015 (6)45 year average based on years 1936-81
unless otherwise noted (7)50 year average based on years 1953-2002
(3)50 year average based on years 1941-90 (8)50 year average based on years 1946-1995
(4)44 year average based on years 1836-79
4
FEBRUARY 1, 2018 FORECASTS
WATER YEAR UNIMPAIRED RUNOFF
Unimpaired Runoff in 1,000 Acre-Feet (1)
HISTORICAL DISTRIBUTION FORECAST
50 Yr Max of Min of Oct Water Pct 80%
Avg Record Record Thru Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Year of Probability
(2) (10) (10) Jan* 1 . 1 1 Forecast Avg Range (1)
1348 2990 200 135 100 151 125 120 45 10 3 1 690 51% 500 920
860 1,965 165
1,183 2,353 557
3,002 5,150 1,484
5,831 10,796 2,479 1,156 540 684 530 420 270 220 185 185 4,190 72% 3,590 - 4,850
8,544 17,180 3,294 1,582 760 968 645 490 335 250 235 235 5,500 64% 4,630 - 6,440
780 1,269 366
2,417 4,400 666
219 637 24
291 562 32
4,407 10,178 994 843 405 552 360 290 140 90 75 65 2,820 64% 2,190 - 3,500
564 1,056 102
181 292 30
379 565 98
2,268 5,604 369 488 210 289 245 240 75 20 12 11 1,590 70% 1,260 - 2,030
616 1,234 66
1,070 2,575 144
318 705 59
2,626 7,391 349 502 230 340 290 280 85 15 4 4 1,750 67% 1,350 - 2,280
379 1,253 20 43 35 57 33 20 6 1 0 0 195 51% 140 - 300
626 1,009 197
748 1,901 129 106 45 67 100 130 35 5 1 1 490 66% 400 - 640
471 929 88
1,149 3,078 155 154 65 114 145 160 55 10 4 3 710 62% 600 - 890
461 1,147 123
770 1,661 258
1,909 4,631 383 229 95 163 220 330 150 20 8 5 1,220 64% 1,040 - 1,530
461 1,020 92
992 2,787 150 73 45 77 115 150 55 10 4 1 530 53% 440 - 670
1,337 2,964 308
112 298 14
248 653 71
1,793 4,642 327 130 60 118 180 280 170 50 14 8 1,010 56% 800 - 1,250
284 607 58
1,702 4,287 359 116 45 95 170 285 145 40 15 9 920 54% 700 - 1,140
451 1,402 89 28 14 30 40 55 20 5 2 1 195 43% 150 - 260
147 615 10 13 5 9 9 7 2 0 0 0 45 31% 30 - 70
558 1,577 163
728 2,318 130 103 25 35 55 80 60 25 13 9 405 56% 300 - 520
(9)Forecast point names based on USGS gage names.Stanislaus below Goodwin also known as inflow to New Melones,Tuolumne River
below La Grange also known as inflow to Don Pedro,Merced River below Merced Falls also known as inflow to McClure.
(10)For the tributaries,the period of record over which the minimum and maximum values are found does not include years after Water Year 2011.
"Unimpaired runoff in months prior to forecast date are based on measured flows
5
FEBRUARY 1,2018 FORECASTS
APRIWULY UNIMPAIRED RUNOFF
Apr-Jul Unimpaired Runoff in 1,000 Acre-Feet(1)
HYDROLOGIC REGION HISTORICAL FORECAST
and Watershed 50 Yr Max Min Apr-JulEof,
C
Avg of of Forecasts(2) Record Record v
NORTH COAST
Scott River
Scott River nr Ft Jones(3) 173 398 22 65 38%
Klamath River
Total inflow to Upper Klamath Lake (4) 475 1,150 149 275 58%
NORTH LAHONTAN
Truckee River
Lake Tahoe to Farad accretions 250 713 48 130 52%
Lake Tahoe Rise(assuming gates closed,ft) 1.3 5.4 0.2 0.9 67%
Carson River
West Fork Carson River at Woodfords 52 135 10 35 67%
East Fork Carson River near Gardnerville 182 480 43 120 66%
Walker River
West Walker River below Little Walker,near Coleville 153 410 35 95 62%
East Walker River near Bridgeport 61 209 7 34 56%
SOUTH LAHONTAN
Owens River
Total tributary flow to Owens River (5) 231 579 84 119 51%
(1)See inside back cover for definition
(2)All 50 year averages are based on years 1966-2015 unless otherwise noted
(3)Forecast by National Weather Service Califomia-Nevada River Forecast Center. 30 yr average(1981-2010)
(4)Forecast by National Weather Service California-Nevada River Forecast Center,April through September forecast. 30 year average based
on years 1981-2010.
(5)Forecast by Department of Water and Power,City of Los Angeles,average based on years 1965.2015.
6
NORTH COAST REGION
Snowpack Accumulation SNOWPACK First of the month measurements made at
11 snow courses indicate an area wide snow water
Water Content in % of April 1 Average equivalent of less than 4.6 inches. This is 15 percent of the
250 seasonal April 1 average and 25 percent of the February 1
225 average. Last year this time the pack was holding
200 _ .._-:::
... ..
23.8 inches of water.
175
150 ..., ............ .. ...... ... ... ...... .... ................ ..... ..
125
100 ...
75
50
25
..._.
Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1
Precipitation PRECIPITATION Seasonal precipitation (October 1
October 1 to date in %of average through to the end of January) on this area was 80 percent
17---- ---- -- ---- -- ---- ---- -- - - --- ----- of normal. Precipitation last month was about average.
150-- - _ - - - - _ - - - - --- Season precipitation at this time last
12 year stood at 150 percent of normal.
100-
75--
50--
25-
0 7 5 -
2
Smith Klamath Trinity Eel Russian
®WY 2017 WY 2018
Reservoir Storage RESERVOIR STORAGE- First of the month storage
Contents of major reservoirs in %of capacity at 6 reservoirs was 2.11 million acre-feet which is 100
100-- ------ ----- -- ------ ---- -- --------- percent of average. About 70 percent of available capacity
80 was being used. Storage in these reservoirs at this time
____ _ ___ __ __ _ _ last year was 90 percent of average.
6 - - ---- - - -- - -- --
2 - - -
Klamath Trinity Eel Russian
®WY 2017 _WY 2018 A 10 Yr Avg
Runoff RUNOFF-Seasonal runoff of streams draining this area
October 1 to date in % of average totaled 2.03 million acre-feet which is 40 percent of
25 -- ----- -- ----- - ----- ------ -" average. Last year, runoff for the same period was 190
22 ---- - -- ------------- - -----
20 __ ___ _ _ ____ ____ ___ 7-
percent of average.
17 --� -- -- - - - -- -
15 ---- ----- ---
125-- - -- -- ----- - --
100- ---- -- --- ----- --
7 ---- ----- -----
2 - - -
Klamath,Copco Trinity Eel Russian
to Orleans
®WY 2017 _WY 2018
7
SACRAMENTO RIVER REGION^��OyyO�C� �rCUO0U|��.(]�
~ - ' '` ' `~Accumulation SNOWPACK- First ofthe month measurements made m1
Water Content iO % of April 1Average 68 snow courses indicate an area wide snow water
zm _ -.......... ...... ....... ............. ..... __ equivalent of4.Qinches.This is2Upercent ofthe
225 --'---. -' - _ ------ seasonal April 1average and 3Opercent ofthe February 1
um '� average, Last year this time the pack was holding
on -��- - —' ---' ~"'—'- - �� ���� ���-� -- ' 282inches ofwater.
150 - -- � �� ������� —� -------
z25 -�_�-~���� ��_�-- ............-.................. -- .....
um ----'-- --'-
n
50
25
n
Jan 1 Fem1 war I Apr 1 May
PreGipitation 3���0�3ea�ona| preuo�udon �Ookuber1
October 1 &odate in9�ofaverage PRECIPITATION""^" ''������ (October
through bothe end ofJanuary) onthis area was 7Opercent
uu
^ ofnormal. Precipitation last month was about 80percent of
^`- the monthly average. Season precipitation at this time last
- year stood atl80percent nfnormal.
150
100-
Upper Feather Yuba American Mnk,-Iumne
Sacramento
=w'mn, WY 2018
Reservoir Storage RESERVOIR STORAGE- Fintofthemonthotormge
Contents ofmajor reservoirs in% of capacity
o143 reservoirs was 10.49 million acre-feet which is 100
100
percent ofaverage. About G5percent ofavailable capacity
was being used. Storage in these reservoirs at this time
last year was 120percent nfaverage.
Sacra- Putah
mento '~""~' American ^="° Moke.umn^
WY 2017 *Y 2018 —A—'`ooAvg
Runoff
Do�ober1 �odm�w |n96o�averaga �������FF- seasonal runoff ufstreams draining this area
totaled 3.42million acre-feet which ioGDpercent of
400
average. Last year, runoff for the same period was 32O
xo percent nfaverage.
250-- - -------------E//
TheSacramento Region 4D-30'30 Water Supply Index |s
forecast to bo6.7assuming median meteorological
1
conditions for the remainder ofthe year. This o|ass�iesthe
year ms"below normal" inthe Sacramento Valley according
100- to the State Water Resources Control Board.
Shasta Inflow Feather Yuba American Mokalumne
WY 2017 WY 2018
8
SAN JOAQUIN RIVER AND TULARE LAKE REGIONS
Snowpack Accumulation SNOWPACK- First of the month measurements made
at 65 San Joaquin Region snow courses indicate an area
Water Content in % of April 1 Average wide snow water equivalent of 4.7 inches. This is
250 . . . 15 percent of the seasonal April 1 average and 20 percent
225 - ... ..... .... .............
200 - of the February 1 average. Last year this time the pack
175 was holding less than 37.2 inches of water. At the same
ISO.- .............. ..... ..... time 41 Tulare Lake snow courses indicate a basin-wide
125 snow water equivalent of 3.0 inches. This is 10
100 ............
percent of the seasonal April 1 average and 20 percent of
75 ......................... ...... .................... .................... the February 1 average. Last year this time the pack was
50 . ..... ....... .... ------- holding 33.1 inches of water.
25 ... ... .... ............
0
Jan I Feb 1 Mar I Apr 1 May 1
Precipitation PRECIPITATION-Seasonal precipitation (October 1
October 1 to date in % of average through to the end of January) on the San Joaquin
300--- - - - - -- - -- -- ------ - ----- -- --- - - ---- Region was 60 percent of normal. Precipitation last month
25G-- -- --------------- ----- -------- was about 80 percent of the monthly average. Season
20precipitation at this time last year stood at 200 percent of
0---
normal. Seasonal precipitation (October 1 through to the
150-
end of January) on the Tulare Lake Region was 35
100- percent of normal. Precipitation last month was about 55
percent of the monthly average. Season precipitation at
50-
this time last year stood at 225 percent of normal.
07' M7
Stanislaus Merced Kings Tula
Tuolumne San Joaquin Kaweah Kern
®WY 2017 WY 2018
Reservoir Storage RESERVOIR STORAGE- First of the month storage
Contents of major reservoirs in %of capacity in 34 San Joaquin Region reservoirs was 8.29 million
100--- -------------------- ------------- acre-feet which is 120 percent of average. About 70
80-------- ------------- - ---- ------ - percent of available capacity was being used. Storage in
these reservoirs at this time last year was 115 percent of
60---- --------- average. First of the month storage in 6 Tulare Lake
W4= Region reservoirs was 809 thousand acre-feet which is
40-- ------- 105 percent of average. About 40 percent of available
20-- capacity was being used. Storage in these reservoirs at
this time last year was 135 percent of average.
Slanislaus Merced Kings
Tuolumne San Joaquin Kern
=WY2017 IIIIIIIIIIIWY2018 A 10 Yr Avg
Runoff RUNOFF - Seasonal runoff of streams draining the San
October 1 to date in % of average Joaquin Region totaled 735 thousand acre-feet which is
350--------- --- - - --- -- - --------- ------- - 65 percent of average. Last year, runoff for the same
300- �/7/1-- -7
-------------------- period was 340 percent of average. Seasonal runoff of
250-
------- streams draining the Tulare Lake Region area totaled 259
20 ..... ... thousand acre-feet which is 65 percent of average. Last
0-
year, runoff for the same period was 230 percent of
ISO- average.
50- The San Joaquin Region 60-20-20 Water Supply Index
0- is forecast to be 2.3 assuming 75 percent of median
8tanislaus Merced Kings Tula meteorological conditions. This classifies the year as "dry"
Tuolumne San Joaquin Kaweah Kern
WY 2017 WY 2018 in the San Joaquin according to the State Water Resources
Control Board.
9
NORTH AND SOUTH U AHONTAN REGIONS
Snowpack ArcUOOU|at.(]n SNOWPACK- Firstnfthnmonthnxeanurnmnnt made at
11North LshontanRegion snow courses indicate mmarea
Water Content in % 0fApril lAverage wide snow water equivalent nf4.0inches. This is
uso -�' '--� -'----�----------' -� '-�-� -' -' ' �� ���� 15percent ofthe seasonal April 1average and 25
xua -!-' -- --� --------------� -�--�''���� .=c���� ����� ���� percent ofthe February 1average. Last year this time the
mm � -' '--�---...... ..... ..... ...... pack was holding 25.4inches nfwater. At the
175 -'----'--'--'— -~ —'--- .... ..... '.... - - same time 17South LuhontmnRegion snow courses
um �—' -~=��
! ' ���, -...'................'..... .............
---'--' - indicate ebasin-wide snow water equivalent of
125
100 | '-^' G.1inches.This ia2Dpercent nfthe seasonal Aph| 1
� - average and 3Opercent ofthe February laverage. Last
sn year this time the pack was holding 30.4inches
25
���.. ...... ....='=--^=...... '...' .... of water.
-
_'-
Jamz mmz mar I Apr I may
"-"^`-=^"-""AK���
�� Seaoona| pneo|pitadon (Octoberl
October 1 todaie |n %*faverage
through 0othe end nfJanuary) nnthe North Lmhontan
225- Region was 70 percent of normal. Precipitation last month
~^~ was about 6O percent ofthe monthly average. Season
175-
precipitation at this time last year stood at 205 percent of
150- normal. Seasonal precipitation (October 1through to the
�
- end of January) on the South Lahmntmn Region was 40
m
pencentof norma. Precipitation last month was about 95
percent ofthe monthly average. Beason precipitation at
� Al this dnin last year stood at 160 percent of normal.
Suprise Tahoe- Carson- Mono- Death Mojave
Valley Truckee Walker Owners Valley Desert
Reservoir Storage RESERVOIR STORAGE- First ofthe month storage
Contents of "m 'o,nenervoiro in 9& c�ompm�|ty
' in North LaMomtan Region reservoirs was 887 thousand
100
acre-feet which isl76percent cfaverage. About O5
percent ofavailable capacity was being used. Storage in
a'
these reservoirs e1this time last year was 90percent of
s average. First of the month storage in 8 South LaMontan
Region reservoirs was 273 thousand acre-feet which in
+ l8Opercent ofaverage. About 85percent nfavailable
capacity was being used. Storage in these reservoirs at
o this time last year was lOOpercent ofaverage.
01
Truckee ast Walker Mono Basin Owens Basin
WY 2017 WY 2018 &-',owAvg
Runoff
RUNOFF' Seasonal runoff ofstreams draining the North
October todate in %ofaverage
Lahmntan Region totaled 195 thousand acre-feet which in
35
136 percent of average. Last year, runoff for the same
ao period was 385 percent ofaverage. Seasonal runoff of
ua streams draining the South Lahontan Region area totaled
ao 63thousand acre-feet which is12Opercent ofaverage.
15Last year, runoff for the same period vvon80percent of
NO average.
1n
01
Truckee-Tahoe Carson Walker Owens
to Farad
WY 2017 WY 2018
10
SAN FRANCISCO BAY AND CENTRAL COAST REGIONS
Precipitation PRECIPITATION Seasonal precipitation (October 1
October 1 to date in%of average through to the end of January) on the San Francisco Bay
20 __ __. __ -. - -- -- - - --- --- ---- - --- --- -- - - Region was 60 percent of normal. Precipitation last month
17 --- ---- --- - --- - -- - - was about 95 percent of the monthly average. Season
150-- - -- - - - - - - - -- - -- --- precipitation at this time last year stood at 180 percent of
12 ___ _ -_ _ __ _ _ -_ normal. Seasonal precipitation (October 1 through to the
10 - -- _- ---- - -- --- ---- end of January) on the Central Coast Region was 45
- - -- __ _ -- - - -- percent of normal. Precipitation last month was about 85
50-- _. . _ . _ __ - _ - -_ _ ___ percent of the monthly average. Season precipitation at
25-- - - - this time last year stood at 170 percent of normal.
San Francisco Pajaro Salinas Santa Maria-
Bay Santa Ynez
®WY 2017 _WY 2018
Reservoir Storage RESERVOIR STORAGE- First of the month storage
Contents of major reservoirs in % of capacity
in 17 San Francisco Region reservoirs was 397
10 --- ------- --- -- ---------------- thousand acre-feet which is 85 percent of average. About
s _ __ _ _ ___ ____ 55 percent of available capacity was being used. Storage
in these reservoirs at this time last year was 125 percent of
6 -- - - - -- ---- --- - average. First of the month storage in 4 Central Coast
Region reservoirs was 386 thousand acre-feet which is 65
4 - -- - - _-- percent of average. About 40 percent of available capacity
2 was being used. Storage in these reservoirs at this time
last year was 75 percent of average.
North Bay Southeast Peninsula Salinas Santa Ynez
Bay
®WY 2017 I♦WY 2018 — 10 Yr Avg
Runoff RUNOFF- Seasonal runoff of streams draining the San
October 1 to date in %of average Francisco Region totaled 3.4 thousand acre-feet
30 ------ ------ --- --- -------- -- --------- which is 10 percent of average. Last year, runoff
25 _ _-_ _ ..__. ..__ _ - . __ __. .. _ - . _ _ __ _- for the same period was 225 percent of average. Seasonal
20 ...... runoff of streams draining the Central Coast Region area
totaled 11 thousand acre-feet million acre-feet which is 10
150-- -- --- - ---- ----- percent of average. Last year, runoff for the same period
100-- ------- --- --- was 280 percent of average.
54
Napa near Arroyo Seco Nacimiento
St.Helena near Soledad
®WY 2017 _WY 2018
SOUTH COAST REGION
PRECIPITATION- October through January (seasonal) precipitation on the South Coast Region was 30
percent of normal. January precipitation was 80 percent of the monthly average. Seasonal precipitation at this
time last year was 190 percent of normal. Seasonal precipitation on the Colorado River-Desert Region was 35
percent of normal. Last year seasonal precipitation on the Colorado River-Desert Region was 175 percent of
normal. Precipitation in January was 95 percent of average.
RESERVOIR STORAGE- February 1 storage in 29 major South Coast Region reservoirs was 1.2 million
acre-feet or 85 percent of average. About 55 percent of available capacity was being used. Storage in these
reservoirs at this time last year was 90 percent of average. On February 1 combined storage in Lakes Powell,
Mead, Mohave and Havasu was about 27.1 million acre-feet or about 70 percent of average. About 50 percent of
available capacity was in use. Last year at this time, these reservoirs were storing 65 percent of average.
RUNOFF- Seasonal runoff from selected South Coast Region streams is 3 thousand acre feet which is 5
percent of average.
COLORADO RIVER
The April -July inflow to Lake Powell is forecast to be 3.4 million acre-feet, which is 47 percent of average. The
February 1 snowpack in the Colorado River basin above Lake Powell was 65 percent of average, highest in the
Upper Green at 105 percent and lowest in the Price/San Rafel at 40 percent.
12
MAJOR WATER DISTRIBUTION PROJECTS
RESERVOIR STORAGE
(AVERAGES BASED ON 1966-2015 OR PERIOD RECORD)
AVERAGE STORAGE AT END OF January
RESERVOIR CAPACITY STORAGE 2017 2018 PERCENT PERCENT
1,000 AF 1,000 AF 1,000 AF 1,000 AF AVERAGE CAPACITY
STATE WATER PROJECT
Lake Oroville 3,538 2,292 2,842 1,408 61% 40%
San Luis Reservoir(SWP) 1,062 840 1,026 762 91% 72%
Lake Del Valle 77 31 40 26 82% 34%
Lake Silverwood 78 66 68 67 102% 86%
Pyramid Lake 180 163 165 166 102% 92%
Castaic Lake 325 267 260 255 95% 78%
Perris Lake 131 102 50 70 69% 53%
CENTRAL VALLEY PROJECT
Trinity Lake 2,448 1,685 1,461 1,776 105% 73%
Lake Shasta 4,552 3,034 3,546 3,349 110% 74%
Whiskeytown Lake 241 205 215 205 100% 85%
Folsom Lake 977 500 408 582 116% 60%
New Melones Reservoir 2,400 1,414 1,013 1,981 140% 83%
Millerton Lake 520 331 343 372 112% 71%
San Luis Reservoir(CVP) 971 733 674 973 133% 100%
COLORADO RIVER PROJECT
Lake Mead 26,159 19,139 10,521 10,642 56% 41
Lake Powell 24,322 16,985 11,359 13,672 80% 56%
Lake Mohave 1,810 1,674 1,712 1,641 98% 91%
Lake Havasu 648 551 567 539 98% 83%
EAST BAY MUNICIPAL UTILITY DISTRICT
Pardee Res 204 179 204 182 102% 89%
Camanche Reservoir 417 246 271 316 128% 76%
East Bay (4 res.) 159 124 146 125 101% 7817c
CITY AND COUNTY OF SAN FRANCISCO
Hetch-Hetehy Reservoir 360 184 311 317 172% 88%
Cherry Lake 268 159 228 39 24% 14%
Lake Eleanor 29 11 17 10 93% 35%
South Bay/Peninsula(4 res.) 238 156 178 133 85% 56%
CITY OF LOS ANGELES(D.W.P)
Lake Crowley t83 122 123 125 102% 68%
Grant Lake 48 29 24 23 81% 49%
Other Aqueduct Storage(6 res.) I I 1 1 100% 100%
13
TELEMETERED SNOW WATER EQUIVALENTS
February 1,2018
INCHES OF WATER EQUIVALENT
BASIN NAME APRIL 1 PERCENT 24 HRS 1 WEEK
STATION NAME ELEV AVERAGE Feb 1 OF AVERAGE PREVIOUS PREVIOUS
TRINITY RIVER
Shimmy Lake 6400' 40.3 4.1 10.1 4.3 3.5
Crowder Flat 5100' - 0.3 - 0.4 0.4
Highland Lakes 6030' 29.9 4.2 14.0 4.2 3.2
Mumbo Basin 5650' 22.4 0.8 3.4 0.8 0.5
Bonanza King 6450' 40.5 - - - -
Red Rock Mountain 6700' 39.6 11.7 29.5 11.7 9.9
Big Flat 5100' 15.8 2.3 14.4 2.3 1.6
Scott Mountain 5900' 16.0 1.0 6.0 1.0 0.7
Peterson Flat 7150' 29.2 3.6 12.4 3.6 3.0
Middle Boulder 3 6200' 28.3 2.5 8.9 2.5 2.3
SACRAMENTO RIVER
Blacks Mountain 7050' 12.7 1.1 8.5 11.2 1.0
Cedar Pass 7100' 18.1 5.8 32.0 5.7 5.3
Medicine Lake 6700' 32.6 9.4 28.7 9.5 9.2
Sand Flat 6750' 42.4 4.8 11.3 4.8 4.1
Slate Creek 5700' 29.0 3.0 10.3 3.1 2.0
Adin Mountain 6200' 13.6 2.7 19.9 2.8 2.4
Stouts Meadow 5400' 36.0 3.6 10.0 3.6 2.2
Snow Mountain 5950' 27.0 5.5 20.4 5.5 3.6
FEATHER RIVER
Kettle Rock 7300' 25.5 5.2 20.3 5.2 4.2
Gold Lake 6750' 36.5 7.7 21.0 7.7 7.4
Bucks Lake 5750' 44.7 3.8 8.6 3.8 2.6
Harkness Flat 6200' 28.5 4.1 14.4 4.2 3.6
Four Trees 5150' 20.0 4.3 21.6 4.6 3.1
Humbug 6500' 28.0 - - - -
Grizzly Ridge 6900' 29.7 3.0 10.1 3.0 2.6
Rattlesnake 6100' 14.0 3.0 21.4 3.1 2.6
Lower Lassen Peak 8250' - 20.3 - 20,8 22.3
Pilot Peak 6800' 52.6 3.0 5.6 3.0 2.5
EEL RIVER
Noel Spring 5100' - 1.0 - 1.0 0.8
YUBA&AMERICAN RIVERS
Carson Pass 8353' - 10.5 10.4 9.9
Lake Lois 8600' 39.5 - - -
Fomi Ridge 7600' 37.0 -
Silver Lake 7100' 22.7
Blue Canyon 5280' 9.0 - - - -
Schneiders 8750' 34.5 16.8 48.8 16.7 15.0
Meadow Lake 7200' 55.5 - - - -
Robbs Powerhouse 5150' 5.2 1.8 35.0 1.9 1.4
Robinson Cow Camp 6480' - 5.0 - 5.0 3.9
Cent Sierra Snow Lab 6900' 33.6 5.0 14.9 4.9 3.2
Caples Lake 8000' 30.9 4.8 15.5 4.7 5.0
Alpha 7600' 35.9 3.2 8.8 3.1 1.9
Robbs Saddle 5900' 21.4 2.3 10.9 2.4 1.4
Huysink 6600' 42.6 3.0 7.0 3.0 2.2
Van Vleck 6700' 35.9 4.5 12.5 4.5 3.8
Greek Stare 5600' 21.0 3.2 15.4 3.2 2.0
MOKELUMNE&STAN ISLAUS RIVERS
Highland Meadow 8700' 47.9 14.9 31.0 14.7 13.8
Gianelli Meadow 8400' 55.5 6.6 11.9 6.8 6.1
Bloods Creek 7200' 35.5 1.9 5.3 1.9 1.8
Blue Lakes 8000' 33.1 6.7 20.1 6.7 6.4
Mud Lake 7900' 44.9 - - - -
Black Springs 6500' 32.0 1.8 5.6 1.8 1.4
Stanislaus Meadow 7750' 47.5 8.6 18.1 8.7 7.9
Deadman Creek 9250' 37.2 9.0 24.2 9.0 8.6
Lower Relief Valley 8100' 41.2 6.3 15.2 6.6 7.1
TUOLUMNE&MERGED RIVERS
Dana Meadows 9800' 27.7 8.4 30.4 8.5 8.4
Horse Meadow 8400' 48.6 19.7 40.6 19.9 18.1
Tuolumne Meadows 8600' 22.6 6.9 30.5 6.9 7.1
Slide Canyon 9200' 41.1 14.1 34.4 14.1 13.7
Ostrander Lake 8200' 34.8 5.1 14.7 5.0 5.3
Gin Flat 7050' 34.2 1.5 4.4 1.5 1.2
Tenaya Lake 8150' 33.1 6.7 20.4 6.9 6.4
White Wolf 7900' - 4.1 - 4.2 3.4
Lower Kibble Ridge 6700' 27.4 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.0
Paradise Meadow 7650' 41.3 7.9 19.1 8.0 7.3
14
SAN JOAQUIN RIVER
Volcanic Knob 10050' 30.1 6.1 20.3 6.1 5.8
Tamarack Summit 7550' 30.5 1.2 3.9 1.3 0.4
Kaiser Point 9200' 37.8 9.0 23.8 9.0 8.9
Huntington Lake 7000' 20.1 1.2 6.0 1.2 0.8
Green Mountain 7900' 30.8 3.6 11.7 3.8 3.6
Poison Ridge 6900' 28.9 1.0 3.3 1.1 1.1
Graveyard Meadow 6900' 18.8 0.5 2.6 1.0 0.4
Agnew Pass 9450' 32.3 9.0 27.7 9.2 9.4
Devils Postpile 7569' - 0.0 - 0.0 0.6
Chilkoot Meadow 7150' 38.0 1.2 3.2 1.1 1.0
KINGS RIVER
Bishop Pass 11200' 34.0 3.5 10.3 3.5 3.3
Blackcap Basin 10300' 34.3 - - -
Mitchell Meadow 9900' 32.9 9.8 29.7 9.8 9.0
Upper Burnt Corral 9700' 34.6 6.1 17.7 6.3 6.1
State Lakes 10300' 29.0 5.7 19.7 5.9 5.8
West Woodchuck Meadow 9100' 32.8 2.3 7.1 2.5 0.9
Big Meadows 7600' 25.9 - - - -
Charlotte Lake 10400' 27.5 1.2 4,3 1.2 1.3
KAWEAH&TULE RIVERS
Farewell Gap 9500' 34.5 - - - -
Giant Forest 6650' 10.0 0.5 5.4 0.6 0.5
Quaking Aspen 7200' 21.0 2.9 13.9 2.9 1.7
KERN RIVER
Tunnel Guard Station 8900' 15.6 - - - -
Beach Meadows 7650' 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
Upper Tyndall Creek 11400' 27.7 2.8 10.2 2.8 2.8
Casa Vieja Meadows 8300' 20.9 3.0 14.3 3.3 2.0
Pascoes 9150' 24.9 1.7 6.7 1.7 1.6
Wet Meadows 8950' 30.3 2.7 8.9 2.8 -
Chagoopa Plateau 10300' 21.8 6.7 30.8 6.7 7.5
Crabtree Meadow 10700' 19.8 - - - -
SURPRISE VALLEY AREA
Dismal Swamp 7050' 29.2 10.1 34.6 10.0 8.5
TRUCKEE RIVER
Independence Camp 7000' 21.8 3.6 16.5 3.6 3.1
Independence lake 8450' 41.4 10.1 24.4 10.1 9.6
Squaw Valley Gold Coast 8200' 46.5 - - 18.7 13.4
Truckee 2 6400' 14.3 2.2 15.4 2.2 1.8
Independence Creek 6500' 12.7 1.3 10.2 1.3 0.2
Big Meadows 8700' 25.7 9.6 37.4 9.4 8.6
LAKE TAHOE BASIN
Rubicon Peak 2 7500' 29.1 2.2 7.6 2.2 2.0
Tahoe City Cross 6750' 16.0 1.4 8.8 1.6 1.4
Echo Peak 5 7800' 39.5 9.4 23.8 9.2 8.7
Hagans Meadow 8000' 16.5 1.3 7.9 1.3 1.2
Fallen Leaf Lake 6250' 7.0 1.0 14.3 0.9 0.$
Ward Creek 3 6750' 39.4 7.5 19.0 7.5 7.3
Mount Rose Ski Area 8900' 38.5 16.0 41.6 16.0 15.5
Heavenly Valley 8800' 28.1 10.4 37.0 10.4 9.9
Marlette Lake 8000' 21.1 3.3 15.6 2.9 4.0
CARSON RIVER
Spratt Creek 6150' 4.5 0.5 11.1 0.8 0.8
Horse Meadow 8400' 48.6 19.7 40.6 19.9 18.1
Burnside Lake 8129' - 7.0 7.0 6.1
Monitor Pass 8350' - 4.0 4.0 3.9
Poison Flat 7900' 16.2 2.5 15.4 2.5 2.7
FOrestdale Creek 8017' - 10.9 - 10.6 8.8
Ebbetts Pass 8700' 38.8 - - - 7.8
WALKER RIVER
Sonora Pass Bridge 8750' 26.0 3.5 13.5 3.5 3.2
Virginia Lakes Ridge 9300' 20.3 4.1 20.2 4.0 3.6
Lobdell Lake 9200' 17.3 4.8 27.7 5.0 4.8
Summit Meadow 9313' - 5.5 - 5.5 5.4
Leavitt Meadows 7200' 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
Leavitt Lake 9600' - 18.9 - 18.9 18.6
OWENS RIVER/MONO LAKE
Cottonwood Lakes 10150' 11.6 4.6 39.5 4.7 3.5
Gem Pass 10750' 31.7 7.1 22.4 7.1 7.2
Rock Creek Lakes 9700' 14.0 1.3 9.0 1.2 1.0
South Lake 9600' 16.0 3.1 19.5 3.0 3.0
Big Pine Creek 9800' 17.9 2.3 13.1 2.4 2.2
Sawmill 10200' 19.4 3.6 18.4 3.7 3.4
NORMAL SNOWPACK ACCUMULATION EXPRESSED AS A PERCENT OF APRIL IST AVERAGE
AREA JANUARY FEBRUARY MARCH APRIL MAY
Central Valley North 45% 70% 90% 100% 75%
Central Valley South 45% 65% 85% 100% 80%
North Coast 40% 60% 85% 100% 80%
15
February 1 Statewide Conditions
Department of Water Resources
250 - -California Cooperative Snow-Surveys _ -_-
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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Snowpack ate. - Precipitation � Runoff to Date Reservoir Storage
SNOWLINES
Registration is now open for the 86th annual Western Snow Conference to be
held in Albuquerque, NM April 16-19, 2018. We expect to have a full agenda of
informative and interesting presentations related to snow hydrology, meteorological
measurement techniques, and water resource management.
Meeting Information:
http://www.westernsnowconference.org/meetings/201-8
The Conference will begin Monday, April 16th with a short course "Communicating
Complex Environmental Information to Broad Audiences". Tuesday and Wednesday
will include formal paper and poster presentations on a variety of topics, including
climate variability, climate change impacts on snow and runoff, water management,
water supply forecasting, and modeling and climatology of snow. Thursday will
include a technical tour of the nearby Rio Grande Valley.
Depicted on this month's cover is a view from the Tioga Road bridge looking out at
Tuolumne Meadows taken on June 6, 2017.
16 9EN' OSP 18 144626
SNOWPACK-Snow data is a major index of spring and summer runoff from Sierra Nevada
watersheds. April 1 data historically reflects the magnitude of the snowpack at or near the maximum
seasonal accumulation. Averages are based on April 1 data for the period 1966-2015 (50 years,
except for data sites established after 1951).
PRECIPITATION-Averages for stations are based on the source of the data and varies from a 30 year
to a 50 year period.
RUNOFF AND FORECASTS -Runoff data and runoff forecasts are shown as unimpaired values.
Unimpaired runoff represents the natural water production of a river basin, unaltered by upstream
diversions, storage, or by export or import of water to or from other watersheds. Forecast of runoff
assumes median conditions subsequent to the date of forecast.
Runoff probability ranges are statistically derived from historical data. The 80 percent probability range
is comprised of the 90 percent exceedence level value and the 10 percent exceedence level value.
This means that actual runoff should fall within the stated limits eight times out of ten.
Runoff averages for most streams are based on the period 1966-2015.
Reservoir storage averages are based on the period from 1966 (or beginning of operation) to 2015.
For more details contact California Cooperative Snow Surveys, P.O. Box 219000, Sacramento, CA
95821-9000, (916) 574-2983 or daver@water.ca.gov.
INDICES OF WATER AVAILABILITY
The Sacramento River water year unimpaired runoff is the sum of: Sacramento River above Bend
Bridge, Feather River Inflow to Lake Oroville, Yuba River near Smartville and American River Inflow to
Folsom Lake.
The Sacramento Valley Water.Year Hydrologic I ifi -30-30 Index). The values 40-30-30
represent the percentage weight given to the three variables in the formula for the index. The first
variable is the forecasted unimpaired runoff from April through July (40 percent). The second variable
is the forecasted unimpaired runoff from October through March (30 Percent). The third variable is the
previous year's index with a cap to account for required flood control releases during wet years. The
basins used in this computation are those used in the Sacramento River water year unimpaired runoff.
The San Joaquin Valley Water Year HydrQlogic Classification (60-20-20 Index). In a similar manner
the values 60-20-20 represents the percentage weights on April through July runoff, October through
March runoff and previous year's index. The San Joaquin River unimpaired runoff is the sum of:
Stanislaus River Inflow to New Melones Lake, Tuolumne River Inflow to New Don Pedro Reservoir,
Merced River Inflow to Lake McClure and San Joaquin River Inflow to Millerton Lake.
Runoff of the eight_major rivers of the Sacramento and San Joaquin Regions is the sum of the runoff in
the eight major rivers used in the two above indices.
State of California — The Natural Resources Agency
DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES FIRST CLASS MAIL
P.O. Box 942836 U.S.POSTAGE
Sacramento, CA 94236-0001 SACRAMENTO CA
PERMIT NO 424
BUTTE COUNTY
ADMINISTRATION
FEB 2 6 2018
OROVIUF,CALIFORNIA
BUTTE COUNTY
CHAIRMAN-'BD OF SUPERVISORS
25 COUNTY CENTER DR
OROVILLE CA 95965-3316
yrst Class
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