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HomeMy WebLinkAbout04.30.2024 Butte County Board of Supervisors embraces UNs Climate Action PlanFrom:lance dreiss To:Senator.Dahle@senate.ca.gov; Assemblymember.Gallagher@assembly.ca.gov; District Attorney; davidhollister@countyofplumas.com; pcbs@countyofplumas.com; Durfee, Peter; sheriff@pcso.net; Kimmelshue, Tod; Pickett, Andy; Angela Casler; Connelly, Bill; Ring, Brian; JULIE THREET; Waugh, Melanie; Ritter, Tami; Teeter, Doug; Clerk of the Board; Congressman Doug LaMalfa; Stephens, Brad J. Subject:Butte County Board of Supervisors embraces UNs Climate Action Plan Date:Tuesday, April 30, 2024 5:05:31 PM Attachments:2021%20Butte%20County%20Climate%20Action%20Plan%20%28CAP%29%20%28PDF%29.pdf .ATTENTION: This message originated from outside Butte County. Please exercise judgment before opening attachments, clicking on links, or replying.. Public Record https://www.buttecounty.net/DocumentCenter/View/2255/2021-Butte-County-Climate-Action-Plan- CAP-PDF?bidId= diana dreiss 2021 Climate Action Plan December 14, 2021 BUTTE COUNTY 2021 CLIMATE ACTION PLAN December 2021 Prepared for: County of Butte 25 County Center Drive Oroville, California 95965 Prepared by: This project primarily was funded by the Senate Bill 2 Planning Grants Program. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS B OARD OF S UPERVISORS Bill Connelly - District 1 Debra Lucero - District 2 Tami Ritter - District 3 Tod Kimmelshue - District 4 Doug Teeter - District 5 P LANNING C OMMISSION Tammy Flicker - District 1 Peter Hansen - District 2 Henry Schleiger - District 3 Rocky (Daniel) Donati - District 4 Ruby Roethler - District 5 C OUNTY S TAFF Paula M. Daneluk, AICP – Director of Development Services Pete Calarco – Assistant Director of Development Services Dan Breedon, AICP – Planning Division Manager Tristan Weems, AICP – Associate Planner Michal Hanson – Administrative Analyst Skyler Kriese – CivicSpark Fellow 2020 to 2021 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Table of Contents || Page i TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Abbreviations .....................................................................................................................v Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................ES-1 Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Forecast ......................................................................................... ES-1 Greenhouse Gas Reduction Strategies ............................................................................................. ES-5 Plan Implementation ......................................................................................................................... ES-10 Introduction .............................................................................................................................1 Butte County’s Geography ........................................................................................................................ 1 Climate Change Globally and in Butte County ....................................................................................... 3 Regulatory Framework ............................................................................................................................ 19 Climate Action Plan Preparation ............................................................................................................ 23 What’s Next In this CAP ........................................................................................................................... 28 Butte County GHG Emissions ................................................................................................29 Background and Methodology ............................................................................................................... 29 Units of Measurement ............................................................................................................................. 30 Emission Factors ....................................................................................................................................... 30 GHG Emissions Inventories ..................................................................................................................... 32 GHG Emissions Forecast ......................................................................................................................... 54 GHG Reduction Targets .........................................................................................................65 Background ............................................................................................................................................... 65 2014 CAP GHG Reduction Targets ......................................................................................................... 65 2021 CAP GHG Reduction Targets ......................................................................................................... 66 Existing GHG Reduction Strategies ......................................................................................73 Calculating Credit ..................................................................................................................................... 73 Progress Towards 2021 CAP GHG Reduction Goals ............................................................................ 74 New GHG Reduction Strategies ............................................................................................77 Progress to Targets ............................................................................................................................... 106 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page ii || Table of Contents CAP Implementation Strategy ............................................................................................109 Implementing the Climate Action Plan ............................................................................................... 109 Implementing the 2021 CAP in Other Planning Documents ........................................................... 110 Implementation Strategies .................................................................................................................. 110 Work Plan ............................................................................................................................................ 112 Glossary .................................................................................................................................129 Works Cited ..........................................................................................................................131 Appendices Appendix A – Technical Appendix Appendix B – Community and Stakeholder Engagement Tables Table ES-1. Butte County Community-wide GHG Emissions between 2006 and 2019 ............ ES-2 Table ES-2. Butte County Community-wide GHG Emissions Forecast 2006 to 2050 by Sector ES-4 Table ES-3. Butte County Historic and Projected Future Per-Capita GHG Emissions ............... ES-5 Table ES-4. List of 2021 CAP GHG Reduction Strategies ................................................................ ES-6 Table ES-5. GHG Reduction Progress with Butte County 2021 CAP Implementation (MTCO2e per capita) ........................................................................................................ ES-8 Table ES-6. List of Implementation Strategies ............................................................................... ES-10 Table 1. Summary of GHG Emissions Risk to California ................................................................. 6 Table 2. Major Recent Regional Wildfires ....................................................................................... 10 Table 3. Change in Emissions Factors between 2006 and 2019 ................................................. 31 Table 4. Change in Global Warming Protocols by Greenhouse Gas ........................................... 33 Table 5. Original 2006 and Revised Baseline Inventory Results .................................................. 34 Table 6. Proportions of Annual GHG Emissions by Sector in 2006 and 2019 ........................... 36 Table 7. Percentage Change in Community GHG Emissions between 2006 and 2019 by Sector ............................................................................................................................... 38 Table 8. Community Agriculture Activity Data and GHG Emissions ........................................... 40 Table 9. Community Transportation Activity Data and GHG Emissions .................................... 41 Table 10. Community Residential Energy Activity Data and GHG Emissions .............................. 42 Table 11. Community Nonresidential Energy Activity Data and GHG Emissions....................... 43 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Table of Contents || Page iii Table 12. Community Solid Waste Activity Data and GHG Emissions .......................................... 44 Table 13. Community Off-road Equipment Activity Data and GHG Emissions ........................... 44 Table 14. Community Water and Wastewater Activity Data and GHG Emissions ...................... 45 Table 15. Proportions of Annual County Operations GHG Emissions by Sector ........................ 49 Table 16. Percent Change in Total County Operations GHG Emissions between 2006 and 2019 by Sector ..................................................................................................................... 50 Table 17. County Operations Energy Activity Data and GHG Emissions ...................................... 51 Table 18. County Operations Employee Commute Activity Data and GHG Emissions ............. 52 Table 19. County Operations Fleet Activity Data and GHG Emissions ......................................... 52 Table 20. County Operations Solid Waste Activity Data and GHG Emissions ............................. 53 Table 21. County Operations Water and Wastewater Activity Data and GHG Emissions ......... 54 Table 22. Butte County Community-wide Demographic Projections ........................................... 57 Table 23. Butte County Community-wide GHG Forecasted Emissions ........................................ 58 Table 24. Potential Annexations in Butte County ............................................................................ 60 Table 25. Butte County Community-wide Forecasted GHG Emissions with Annexations ......... 61 Table 26. County Operations Demographic Projections ................................................................ 62 Table 27. Butte County’s County Operations GHG Emissions ....................................................... 63 Table 28. Butte County’s Adopted GHG Emission Reduction Targets and Equivalent Emissions .............................................................................................................................. 65 Table 29. Regional GHG Emission Reduction Targets ..................................................................... 68 Table 30. Butte County’s Per-Capita GHG Targets and Reach Goals ............................................ 69 Table 31. Butte County’s Per-Capita GHG Reach Goal Calculation Approach ............................. 70 Table 32. Butte County Historic and Projected Future Per-Capita GHG Emissions ................... 76 Table 33. Strategy 1 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................... 80 Table 34. Strategy 2 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................... 82 Table 35. Strategy 3 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................... 83 Table 36. Strategy 4 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................... 84 Table 37. Strategy 5 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................... 86 Table 38. Strategy 6 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................... 88 Table 39. Strategy 7 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................... 90 Table 40. Strategy 8 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................... 92 Table 41. Strategy 9 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................... 93 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page iv || Table of Contents Table 42. Strategy 10 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................. 94 Table 43. Strategy 11 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................. 96 Table 44. Strategy 12 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................. 97 Table 45. Strategy 13 GHG Reductions ............................................................................................. 99 Table 46. Strategy 14 GHG Reductions .......................................................................................... 101 Table 47. Strategy 15 GHG Reductions .......................................................................................... 104 Table 48. Progress Toward GHG Emission Targets and Goals (MTCO2e per capita) .............. 106 Table 49. Strategy Implementation Table ...................................................................................... 115 Figures Figure 1. Butte County Planning Area ................................................................................................ 2 Figure 2. The Greenhouse Effect ......................................................................................................... 3 Figure 3. Global Temperature Increase .............................................................................................. 5 Figure 4. PM2.5 Levels Before, During, and After the 2018 Camp Fire ....................................... 11 Figure 5. Five-Step Climate Action Planning Process ..................................................................... 24 Figure 6. Gap Between Forecasted Emissions and Reduction Targets ........................................ 71 Figure 7. Progress Toward Targets and Goals with BCE (MTCO2e per capita)......................... 107 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 List of Abbreviations || Page v LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS °C degrees Celsius °F degrees Fahrenheit AB Assembly Bill BCAG Butte County Association of Governments BCAQMD Butte County Air Quality Management District BCE Butte Choice Energy Caltrans California Department of Transportation CAP Climate Action Plan CARB California Air Resources Board CCA community choice aggregation CDBG Community Development Block Grant CEQA California Environmental Quality Act CH4 methane CNG compressed natural gas CO2 carbon dioxide CO2e carbon dioxide equivalent EIR Environmental Impact Report EOP Emergency Operations Plan EV electric vehicle GHG greenhouse gas GWP global warming potential HERO California Home Energy Retrofit Opportunity HVAC heating, ventilation, and air conditioning IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change kWh kilowatt-hour LCFS Low Carbon Fuel Standard LGOP Local Government Operations Protocol 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page vi || Table of Contents LHMP Local Hazard Mitigation Plan MTCO2e metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent MMTCO2e million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent MPO metropolitan planning organization N2O nitrous oxide PACE PG&E Property Assessed Clean Energy Pacific Gas and Electric Company PHEV plug-in-hybrid electric vehicles PV photovoltaic RPS Renewables Portfolio Standard RTAC Regional Transportation Advisory Committee PSPS Public Safety Power Shutoff SB Senate Bill TCRE Transient Climate Response to Cumulative Carbon Emissions TDM transportation demand management U.S. EPA United States Environmental Protection Agency VMT vehicle miles traveled 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Executive Summary || Page ES-1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The 2021 Climate Action Plan (CAP) is Butte County’s strategic plan to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the unincorporated county. The 2021 CAP allows Butte County (County) decision makers, staff, and the community to understand the sources and magnitude of local GHG emissions, reduce GHG emissions, and prioritize steps to achieve reduction targets. The 2021 CAP is an update of the 2014 CAP, providing updated information, an expanded set of GHG reduction strategies, and a planning horizon out to 2050. The 2021 CAP contains an inventory of the community’s GHG emissions from the agriculture, transportation, energy, solid waste, off-road equipment, water and wastewater, and stationary source sectors. The 2021 CAP also includes informational GHG emissions from the land use and sequestration sector and the wildfire and controlled burn sector. The 2021 CAP also presents a work plan and monitoring program for the County to track progress over time. The 2021 CAP allows community members, County staff and officials, and other stakeholders to understand the County’s existing planning efforts and strategies to achieve its GHG reduction goals. It builds on several earlier efforts, including General Plan 2030, the 2014 CAP, and several other local accomplishments to date. GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORY AND FORECAST A GHG inventory is a summary of the GHG emissions generated by activities that take place within a community. The GHG emissions inventories and forecasts lay the groundwork for the 2021 CAP, which seeks to align the County’s GHG reduction efforts with state-recommended targets. The County is committed to reducing emissions to 6.0 metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MTCO2e) per person by 2030 and 2.0 MTCO2e per person by 2050 with an interim target of 4.0 MTCO2e per person by 2040. The 2021 CAP contains GHG inventories for community-wide and County operations sources. Both the community-wide and County operations GHG inventories include the years 2006 and 2019. The 2006 GHG inventories were updated to take into account the latest science in GHG accounting, new best practices, and updated emissions factors. The community-wide inventory assesses emissions produced by the agriculture, transportation, energy, solid waste, off-road equipment, water and wastewater, and stationary source sectors, as well as emissions associated with wildfires and controlled burns and emissions reductions attributable to biomass sequestration. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page ES-2 || Executive Summary The County operations inventory assesses emissions produced by the energy, employee commute, fleet, solid waste, water and wastewater, and refrigerant sectors. As shown in Table ES-1, GHG emissions declined by 13 percent between 2006 and 2019 when accounting for GHG reductions from biomass sequestration. In the base year of 2006, Butte County emitted approximately 748,850 MTCO2e (8.38 MTCO2e per person). By 2019, total GHG emissions decreased to approximately 649,870 MTCO2e (8.45 MTCO2e per person). Table ES-1. Butte County Community-wide GHG Emissions between 2006 and 2019 Sector 2006 MTCO2e 2019 MTCO2e Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Agriculture 521,650 501,630 -4% Transportation 264,420 229,110 -13% Residential energy 133,350 90,730 -32% Nonresidential energy 58,670 37,350 -36% Off-road equipment 56,070 59,310 6% Solid waste 40,830 61,120 50% Water and wastewater 20,190 16,960 -16% Total Annual MTCO2e (not including land use and sequestration) 1,095,190 996,210 -9% Land use and sequestration -346,340 -346,340 0% Total Annual MTCO2e (including land use and sequestration) 748,850 649,870 -13% Informational Items Stationary sources* 3,960 — — Wildfire and controlled burns** 8,280 15,730 90% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. *Stationary source data for 2019 was not provided at the time the inventory was completed. **Wildfires in 2006 include the Skyway, Woodleaf, and Philbrook fires. The wildfires counted in 2019 include the Swedes and the Forbestown fires. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Executive Summary || Page ES-3 Although total community-wide emissions decreased 13 percent from 2006 to 2019, the number of residents in the unincorporated area decreased 14 percent because of annexations and migrations from wildfires. As a result, per-capita emissions increased slightly from 2006 to 2019 because the decrease in the population of the unincorporated area was larger than the decrease in total emissions attributed to the unincorporated area. A GHG emission forecast uses estimates of future community population and job growth to predict how emissions would grow over time if no action is taken at the federal, state, or local or regional level to reduce them. The 2021 CAP includes a GHG forecast for the calendar years 2030, 2040, and 2050, relying on growth assumptions from the US Census, the California Department of Finance, and the Butte County Association of Governments. Note that the Butte County Association of Governments projections include consideration of population distribution because of the recent wildfires. As shown in Table ES-2, Butte County’s GHG emissions are expected to increase by approximately 15 percent between 2006 and 2050 if no action is taken to reduce emissions. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page ES-4 || Executive Summary Table ES-2. Butte County Community-wide GHG Emissions Forecast 2006 to 2050 by Sector 2006 2019 2030 2040 2050 Percentage Change 2006 to 2050 Residential energy 133,350 90,720 119,070 127,760 137,140 3% Nonresidential energy 58,670 37,350 38,180 41,520 45,160 -23% Transportation 264,420 229,110 261,560 298,740 341,330 56% Solid waste 40,830 61,120 65,820 72,580 79,070 94% Water and wastewater 20,190 16,960 19,190 20,540 21,980 9% Agriculture * 521,650 501,620 501,620 501,620 501,620 -4% Off-road equipment 56,070 59,310 118,510 77,290 83,350 49% Total (without land use and sequestration) 1,095,190 996,190 1,123,950 1,140,050 1,209,650 10% Land use and sequestration ** -346,340 -346,330 -346,330 -346,330 -346,330 0% Total (with land use and sequestration) 748,850 649,860 777,620 793,720 863,320 15% Informational Items Stationary sources 3,960 108,259 108,259 108,259 108,259 - Fires *** 8,280 15,730 - - - - All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Note: Data shown for 2006 and 2019 reflect GHG emissions inventories and are provided as a reference to see change over time. The data shown for 2030, 2040, and 2050 are GHG emission forecasts that predict future emissions. The forecast numbers for 2030, 2040, and 2050 are based on projections from the 2019 inventory. * GHG emission projects for the agriculture and for the land use and sequestration sectors remains constant due to the variable nature of each sector and the activities within them. For example, annual amount of agricultural burning is highly variable, impacting overall GHG emissions from the agriculture sector and activities such as restoration efforts. As reliable forecasts of county-specific agricultural activity are not available, these emissions are held constant. ** The forecast assumes that new development in unincorporated areas will take place on infill sites or on previously developed land, such as reconstruction following wildfires, and that development occurring on previously undeveloped land will occur after annexation to an incorporated community. As a result, the forecast does not assume a change in the average annual amount of carbon sequestered by natural lands. *** Due to significant uncertainty about the amount of fire in any given year, emissions from fires are not forecasted. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Executive Summary || Page ES-5 GREENHOUSE GAS REDUCTION STRATEGIES To evaluate the County’s current progress toward meeting its emissions reductions targets, this 2021 CAP acknowledges the County’s existing climate policies and programs, planned future actions, and actions already and soon-to-be implemented at the state level and estimates GHG emissions reductions associated with the implementation of these actions. As shown in Table ES-3, with the implementation of existing state and local programs, the community’s GHG emissions are projected to be at:  10 percent below 2006 baseline levels by 2030, or 8.04 MTCO2e per capita.  16 percent below 2006 baseline levels by 2040, or 7.11 MTCO2e per capita.  14 percent below 2006 baseline levels by 2050, or 6.82 MTCO2e per capita. Table ES-3. Butte County Historic and Projected Future Per-Capita GHG Emissions 2006 MTCO2e “Baseline” 2019 MTCO2e 2030 MTCO2e 2040 MTCO2e 2050 MTCO2e Inventoried GHG emissions 8.38 8.45 - - - Forecasted GHG emissions without existing and planned actions - - 8.93 8.52 8.67 Forecasted GHG emissions with existing and planned actions - - 8.04 7.11 6.82 All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Note: Existing and planned actions include anticipated annexations. Although GHG emissions declined from 2006 to 2019, the unincorporated population declined by a greater percent, hence per-capita emissions increased over this period. While implementation of existing state and local actions will help the county meets its GHG reduction targets, these actions are insufficient on their own. Thus, the 2021 CAP identifies future strategies that, if implemented, will allow the community to achieve its emissions- reductions targets. Refer to Table ES-4 for a list of the 2021 CAP strategies, explained in more detail in Chapter 5. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page ES-6 || Executive Summary Table ES-4. List of 2021 CAP GHG Reduction Strategies 2021 CAP GHG Reduction Strategies Strategy 1: Continue efforts to promote energy conservation and efficiency opportunities for all residents, building/property owners, and renters in the unincorporated county, including support and promotion of programs for lower- income and disadvantaged populations. Strategy 2: Continue efforts to promote energy conservation and efficiency opportunities for all nonresidential uses in the unincorporated county, including County facilities, office space, commercial space, and industrial space. Strategy 3: Work with property owners and property management groups to increase overall building electrification and adoption of modern, efficient appliances in residential rental properties. Strategy 4: Support efforts to increase renewable and carbon-free energy generation, including wind, solar, and biomass, and to ensure customer access to such renewable energy. Strategy 5: Continue efforts to promote water conservation for all residents, building/property owners, and businesses in the unincorporated county, including support and promotion of programs for lower-income and disadvantaged populations, and large water users. Strategy 6: Pursue Transportation Demand Management (TDM) strategies, implemented through local land use decisions and through partnerships with local employers, that reduce vehicle miles traveled (VMT) countywide. Strategy 7: Prioritize bicycling and walking as safe, practical, and attractive travel options countywide. Strategy 8: Reduce carbon emissions from transportation by facilitating a transition to efficient or clean-fuel vehicles. Strategy 9: Encourage hybrid and clean-fuel construction and landscaping equipment countywide. Strategy 10: Reduce the amount of solid waste sent to local landfills through innovative programs and partnerships. Strategy 11: Reduce emissions from disposal and decomposition of organic waste. Strategy 12: Work to reduce GHG emissions associated with agricultural equipment, in partnership with regional partners, agencies, and members of the agricultural community. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Executive Summary || Page ES-7 2021 CAP GHG Reduction Strategies Strategy 13: Track trends in agricultural operations and encourage existing and new farming techniques that reduce GHG emissions from crop cultivation. Strategy 14: Work with farmers and local and regional agencies to explore techniques to maximize carbon sequestration of the county's natural and working lands. Strategy 15: Implement projects and programs to reduce GHG emissions associated with Butte County operations. The County’s goal is to reduce GHG emissions from energy, transportation, water, solid waste, and agricultural sources in the unincorporated county 40 percent below 1990 equivalent levels by 2030 and continue to reduce emissions toward carbon neutrality, reducing emissions to at least 80 percent below 2006 levels by 2050. Each sector then has its own individual goal, as follows:  Energy goal: Butte County is home to energy-efficient and resilient homes, businesses, and operations that rely on carbon-free electricity or other low-carbon, clean energy sources.  Water and Wastewater goal: Homes, businesses, and operations throughout the unincorporated county practice sustainable and efficient indoor and outdoor water use.  Transportation and Land Use goal: Residents, workers, and visitors rely on a low carbon, connected, and efficient transportation network that provides equitable access to motorized and non-motorized mobility options.  Solid Waste goal: Butte County residents, businesses, and visitors minimize waste sent to the landfill.  Agriculture goal: Butte County is a state leader in maximizing the efficiency and sustainability of natural and working lands countywide.  Government Operations goal: Butte County is an established leader in rural climate action and GHG reduction. Collectively, the strategies in the 2021 CAP achieve significant GHG emission reductions. If these strategies are implemented to the level specified in the 2021 CAP, and if Butte Clean Energy (BCE) is enacted, Butte County is projected to achieve its state-recommended GHG reduction targets. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page ES-8 || Executive Summary At current projections, the 2021 CAP sets Butte County on a path to achieve the County’s targets for 2030, 2040, and 2050 with the implementation of BCE. It is likely that there will be new technologies, policies and regulations, and personal and economic behaviors and preferences, and other factors that will emerge in future years and contribute to additional GHG emission reductions in a way that cannot be accurately forecasted in the 2021 CAP. Future updates to Butte County’s CAP will be able to more accurately assess emerging trends, along with any unexpected changes in GHG emissions, and will revise Butte County’s GHG emission- reduction strategy, as appropriate. Table ES-5 and Figure ES-1 show progress toward Butte County’s GHG reduction targets and reach goals. Table ES-5. GHG Reduction Progress with Butte County 2021 CAP Implementation (MTCO2e per capita) 2030 2040 2050 State-recommended target 6.0 4.0 2.0 Local reach goal - 3.6 1.2 Emissions with 2021 CAP implementation, without BCE 6.04 4.00 1.98 Emissions with 2021 CAP implementation, with BCE 5.95 3.94 1.98 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Executive Summary || Page ES-9 Figure ES-1. Progress Toward Targets and Goals with BCE (MTCO2e per capita) 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 2006 2019 2030 2040 2050 MT C O 2e p e r c a p i t a Baseline emissions Forecasted emissions Emissions with existing and planned actions 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page ES-10 || Executive Summary PLAN IMPLEMENTATION Implementing the 2021 CAP will require County leadership to put the strategies identified in the 2021 CAP into effect and report progress. To ensure that the implementation process is efficient and transparent, this 2021 CAP includes a work plan that identifies responsible departments, partners, time frames, and relative costs associated with each strategy. Implementation strategies are shown in Table ES-6. Table ES-6. List of Implementation Strategies 2021 CAP List of Implementation Strategies Implementation Strategy 1: Monitor and report progress toward 2021 CAP target achievement on an annual basis. Implementation Strategy 2: Continue collaborative partnerships with agencies and community groups that support implementation of the 2021 CAP. Implementation Strategy 3: Secure necessary funding to implement the 2021 CAP. Implementation Strategy 4: Continue to update the community-wide and County operations GHG emissions inventories and evaluate the effectiveness and applicability of the 2021 CAP every five years. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 1 INTRODUCTION A Climate Action Plan (CAP) functions as a blueprint for cities and counties to reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that contribute to climate change. Many jurisdictions across the state, nation, and the globe are prioritizing climate action and ensuring their day-to-day activities and future planning efforts consider changing climate conditions and the opportunity to lessen contributions to those changes and the impacts from them. This chapter will introduce Butte County, provide an overview of climate change from a global to a local level, describe the regulatory framework, and describe climate action planning in Butte County. BUTTE COUNTY’S GEOGRAPHY Butte County lies in north-central California at the northeastern end of the Sacramento Valley and extends into the Northern Sierra Nevada foothills and mountains that rise to the east of the Sacramento Valley floor. Elevations range from approximately 60 feet in the southwest corner of the county, adjacent to the Sacramento River, to 8,100 feet in the northeast corner, near Butte Meadows. The total land area of Butte County is approximately 1,680 square miles (1,073,000 acres)1 and can be divided into three general topographical areas: a valley area, a foothill region east of the valley area, and a mountain region east of the foothills. These topographic areas comprise approximately 45 percent, 23 percent, and 31 percent, respectively, of the county’s land.2 Butte County is a rural community, with most of the county’s lands used for agriculture, open space, and public uses. Urban land constitutes a proportionally small share of total land area in the county. In 2021, incorporated areas of the county accounted for only 3.7 percent of all county land3 and developed land within those incorporated areas occupied 72.9 square miles or 4.3 percent of all county land.4 Approximately 14 percent of the land in Butte County is owned by federal agencies, largely the U.S. Forest Service, which owns and manages Lassen and Plumas National Forests, along with some land owned by the U.S. Bureau of Land Management. These lands, along with bodies of water, and incorporated lands, are shown in Figure 1.5 Aerial view of Butte County 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 2 || Introduction Figure 1. Butte County Planning Area Source: Butte County, 2012; PlaceWorks, 2021 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 3 CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBALLY AND IN BUTTE COUNTY Overview of Climate Change Climate is the long-term average of weather conditions, such as temperature and precipitation. While it is normal for Earth’s climate system to experience long-term shifts in these average conditions, human activity is causing global climate change at a much faster pace than has occurred in the past. These activities, predominately the burning of fossil fuels, emit heat- trapping gases called GHGs that build up in the atmosphere. As GHG levels increase, Earth’s atmosphere traps more heat, triggering changes in the global climate system that may have serious and potentially catastrophic impacts on people, physical assets, and natural systems. To fully understand global climate change, it is important to recognize the naturally occurring “greenhouse effect” and to define GHGs that contribute to this phenomenon. The temperature on Earth is regulated by this greenhouse effect, which is so named because the Earth’s atmosphere acts like a greenhouse, warming the planet in much the same way that an ordinary greenhouse warms the air inside its glass walls. Like glass, the gases in the atmosphere let in light yet prevent heat from escaping. This process is shown on Figure 2. Figure 2. The Greenhouse Effect Source: Climate Central6. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 4 || Introduction GHGs are naturally occurring gases, such as water vapor, carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O) that absorb heat radiated from the Earth’s surface. GHGs are transparent to certain wavelengths of the Sun’s radiant energy, including visible light, allowing sunlight to penetrate deep into the atmosphere or all the way to Earth’s surface. Clouds, ice caps, and particles in the air reflect about 30 percent of this radiation, but oceans and land masses absorb the rest (70 percent of the radiation received from the Sun) before releasing it back toward space as infrared radiation. GHGs and clouds effectively prevent some of the infrared radiation from escaping; they trap the heat near Earth’s surface where it warms the lower atmosphere. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC’s) Sixth Assessment Report 7 states that if this natural barrier of atmospheric gases was not present, the heat would escape into space, and Earth’s average global temperatures could be as much as 61 degrees Fahrenheit (°F) cooler. In addition to natural sources, human activities are exerting a major and growing influence on the climate by changing the composition of the atmosphere and by modifying the land surface. Particularly, the increased consumption of fossil fuels (e.g., natural gas, coal, gasoline) has substantially increased atmospheric levels of GHGs. The IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Report summarizes the most recent scientific understanding of global climate change and projects future conditions using the most comprehensive set of recognized global climate models. The report, released in 2021, considers all impacts that human activities have on global temperature, and states that “it is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean, and land” and that “human-induced climate change is already affecting many weather and climate extremes in every region across the globe.”8 The Sixth Assessment Report projects five different temperature scenarios, all of which project 2021–2040 temperatures 2.16°F to 3.2°F warmer than the 1986–2005 average temperature, and potentially over 10.26°F by 2100 under the highest emissions scenario. As noted in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, if trends remain unchanged, continued GHG emissions above current rates will induce further warming changes in the global climate system and pose even greater risks than those currently witnessed. Figure 3 shows the effects of additional warming on global temperatures. Given the scientific basis of climate change and expected trends, the challenge remains to prepare for and mitigate climate change through deliberate global and local action. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 5 Figure 3. Global Temperature Increase Source: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2019. The information presented in Figure 3 includes information from ESMs and EMICs, which are various types of climate models, of which, includes the CMIP5. This figure also includes reference to Transient Climate Response to Cumulative Carbon Emissions (TCREs) ranges, which indicates how much temperatures could change per unit of emissions. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 6 || Introduction Climate Change Impact to California In California and western North America, observations of the climate have shown:  A trend toward warmer temperatures with an increase in extremely hot days and nights.  Increase in the area burned by wildfires.  A smaller fraction of precipitation falling as snow.  An increase in frequency of drought and an increase in consecutive dry years.  A shift (5 to 30 days earlier) in the timing of spring flower blooms. Overall, California has become drier over time, with five of the eight years of severe to extreme drought occurring between 2007 and 2016, and unprecedented dry years in 2014 and 2015. Statewide precipitation has become increasingly variable from year to year, with the driest consecutive four years occurring from 2012 to 2015. The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report estimates that even with aggressive global action to dramatically reduce GHG emissions by 2025 and achieve net-zero GHG emissions by 2055, global surface temperatures at the end of the twenty-first century are likely to result in 2.5 °F of warming relative to the timeframe between 1850 and 1900. With less aggressive global action, temperatures at the end of the twenty-first century are likely to be warmer, potentially as high as 7.9°F if no significant action is taken. Consequently, some impacts from climate change are now considered unavoidable. Table 1 summarizes global climate change risks to California. Table 1. Summary of GHG Emissions Risk to California Impact Category Potential Risks Land use and population growth Increased property damage/destruction, injury, and loss of life in hazard-prone areas. Economic impacts from increased insurance and reconstruction costs. Equity and social vulnerability Increased air pollution in frontline communities. Higher costs of water. Compounded risk from existing inequities. Public health and wellbeing Increased risk of harm from extreme heat. Air quality impacts from wildfire smoke. Increased spread of vector-borne diseases. Higher stress and mental trauma from extreme events, economic disruption, and residential displacement. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 7 Impact Category Potential Risks Water infrastructure Reduced water availability from drought and low snowpack levels. Loss of reservoir capacity from higher runoff. Damage to water systems from natural hazards. Energy systems Higher energy demand placing stress on delivery infrastructure. Damage to electrical grid from natural disasters. Reduced hydropower from drought. Damage to fossil fuel refineries and pipelines. Transportation infrastructure Increased damage to roads and railways, causing delays and reducing safety. Inundation of transportation infrastructure in low-lying areas. Greater wildfire impacts on transportation infrastructure. Agriculture Water shortages and higher temperatures make some crops and livestock less viable. Increased development pressure from relocation. Biodiversity and ecosystems Increased levels of water pollution from higher runoff and warmer temperatures. Population decline and shifts in distribution. Increased physiological stress on plants and animals. Interruptions in life cycles. Greater spread of invasive species. Forest health Increased heat and drought stress. Damage from wildfire, increasing risk of forest ecosystems transitioning to shrubs or grasslands. Increased pest activity. Ocean and coast Damage to fisheries from warmer temperatures and ocean acidification. Loss of coastal ecosystems from sea-level rise. Potential loss of nutrient upwelling. Sources: California’s Fourth Climate Change Assessment, Statewide Summary Report: 2018 9 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 8 || Introduction Climate Change Impact to Butte County Although much of the attention to the topic of climate change is global in scale, it is important to realize that climate change affects every community at the local level, including Butte County. Potential consequences of climate change for unincorporated Butte County include more frequent and intense instances of several natural hazards:  Agricultural pests and diseases  Drought  Extreme heat  Human health hazards  Severe wind  Severe storms  Wildfire Climate change is currently affecting Butte County and is projected to lead to more severe conditions in the future. In recent years, Butte County has been affected by several significant natural disasters that are linked to climate change. In February 2017, heavy rainfall in the Feather River Basin caused a significant amount of water inflow into Lake Oroville in Butte County, which impounds the Feather River. Staff at the Department of Water Resources, which operates the Oroville Dam, ordered water to be released from the dam but noticed disturbances on the spillway on February 7. When the release was halted, staff noticed that sections of the spillway had eroded away. As water continued to flow into Lake Oroville, staff resumed the water release from both the main spillway and the emergency spillway, but erosion continued at a faster-than-expected rate. This created concerns that the weir at the top of the emergency spillway would collapse, causing sudden and substantial flooding for downstream communities. On February 12, incident commanders ordered the evacuation of approximately 188,000 people living in the inundation zone of the dam, including Biggs, Gridley, and parts of Thermalito. Although no collapse occurred, the water further damaged the main spillway and eroded the bare slope of the Smoke from the Camp Fire above the Upper Ridge. Photo from the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection. Burn area in Lower Paradise Pines 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 9 emergency spillway, forcing extensive repair activities.10 Climate change is expected to lead to an increase in intense storms, creating more heavy rainfall events like those that brought on the Oroville Dam crisis. Although wildfires naturally occur in the Butte County landscape, climate change has brought warmer temperatures and drought conditions that have ravaged forested land within the county, creating ideal conditions for major wildfires. In recent years, the 2018 Camp Fire, 2020 North Complex Fire, and 2021 Dixie Fire have all affected Butte County. These fires were fueled by dry timber and extreme winds, which not only burned wildland areas, but also traveled into the wildland-urban interface, destroying homes, and causing fatalities. Increases in the frequency and intensity of wildfires are expected as a result of climate change. The Camp Fire began on November 8, 2018, near the unincorporated community of Pulga in the Feather River Canyon, sparked by Pacific Gas and Electric Company’s (PG&E’s) electrical transmission line, and rapidly spread west toward the town of Paradise and the Upper Ridge. The fire destroyed most of Paradise and the unincorporated community of Concow, as well as causing significant damage to the unincorporated communities of Magalia and Pulga. Although the smallest of the three recent major fires, it killed more people (most of whom were senior citizens) and destroyed more structures than any other fire in California’s recorded history by far.11 The main spillway at Oroville Dam in operation on February 10, 2017. The erosion damage to the spillway is clearly visible. Photo from the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services. Damage from the North Complex Fire. Photo from the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 10 || Introduction The North Complex Fire began on August 17, 2020, when lightning strikes sparked several wildfires in the Plumas National Forest in Butte and Plumas Counties. Although most of these fires were extinguished, two of them were still burning in early September when the fires merged and grew rapidly from strong winds. The resulting combined blaze sparked evacuations around Lake Oroville and in the Feather River Canyon.12 The Dixie Fire started on July 13, 2021, in the Feather River Canyon near the community of Cresta. Although it caused little damage in Butte County, it grew into the single largest wildfire in California’s recorded history, burning over 963,000 acres. It caused extensive damage to several communities in nearby counties, including destroying most of the town of Greenville in Plumas County.13 Table 2 shows the acres burned, structures destroyed and damaged, and fatalities caused by these recent major wildfires in and surrounding Butte County. Table 2. Major Recent Regional Wildfires Fire Name Acres Burned Fatalities Structures Destroyed Structures Damaged Camp Fire 153,336 * 87 14,500 589 North Complex Fire 318,935 † 16 2,455 113 Dixie Fire 963,309 1 1,329 95 * Includes 141,271 burned acres in unincorporated Butte County † Includes 150,715 burned acres in unincorporated Butte County. This includes total damage and harm from each wildfire. The North Complex and Dixie summaries include damage that occurred outside of Butte County. Sources: Butte County District Attorney, The Camp Fire Public Report: A Summary of the Camp Fire Investigation, June 16, 2020, https://www.buttecounty.net/Portals/30/CFReport/PGE-THE-CAMP-FIRE-PUBLIC- REPORT.pdf?ver=2020-06-15-190515-977 U.S. Forest Service, Plumas National Forest. 2020. North Complex. https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/6997/, accessed February 18, 2021. California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection. 2021. 2020 Fire Siege. https://www.fire.ca.gov/media/hsviuuv3/cal-fire-2020-fire-siege.pdf. Firefighters construct a firebreak to try and slow the spread of the Dixie Fire. Photo from the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 11 In addition to the direct risk of property damage and destruction, injury, and death from wildfires, they can contribute to poor air quality, even in communities far away from the burn site. Smoke from wildfires contains very small particles, known as PM2.5, which can be inhaled deep into peoples’ lungs and create acute respiratory illnesses such as bronchitis and pneumonia as well as chronic conditions. Smoke from fires that burn in developed areas may also contain particles of toxic materials such as lead. During the Camp Fire, concentrations of PM2.5 in Chico reached over 412 micrograms per cubic meter (µg/m3) of air 14 (anything over 250 µg/m3 is considered hazardous). Figure 4 shows the concentrations of PM2.5 in various locations during the Camp Fire and normal conditions. The dark blue line in this figure represents PM2.5 levels in Chico. Figure 4. PM2.5 Levels Before, During, and After the 2018 Camp Fire Source: California Air Resources Board. Note that this figure shows PM2.5 monitoring stations by location and the “SDP” location refers to the Sacramento Del Paso monitoring station. The global impacts and risks explained previously will affect economic systems throughout California, with likely ramifications to Butte County. To refrain from action is costly and risky; the California Fourth Climate Change Assessment, released in 2018, estimates that no action to address the potential impacts of climate change will lead to statewide economic losses of “tens of billions of dollars per year in direct costs” and “expose trillions of dollars of assets to collateral risk.” 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 12 || Introduction The County prepared a Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment in 2021, which looks at how people, structures, natural systems, and other community assets may be affected by climate change. Out of the 71 populations and assets Butte County analyzed, 50 are highly vulnerable to at least one hazard condition. Wildfire is responsible for the highest vulnerability scores, followed by severe storms, severe wind, and extreme heat. Some of the key findings of the assessment include:  Populations and assets in the eastern portion of the county are most vulnerable to wildfires and populations in the western portion of the county are most vulnerable to severe storms.  Outdoor workers and low-resourced ethnic minorities are the most vulnerable populations, and highly vulnerable to all climate change hazards.  Electrical transmission infrastructure and energy delivery services are highly vulnerable to damage or Public Safety Power Shutoff (PSPS) events from extreme heat, severe wind, severe storms, and wildfire. Energy delivery services are a key supporting factor for everyday activities, economic drivers, and key services.  Water and wastewater serving both the county and other areas of California can be disrupted from drought, severe wind, severe storms, and wildfire.  Major roads, highways, and single-access roads can become impassable because of severe wind, severe storms, and wildfire, isolating populations in remote areas of the county and disrupting services to those areas.  Recreation infrastructure and recreation on regional, state, and federal land can be disrupted by all climate change hazards.  Agriculture is the most vulnerable economic driver in Butte County.  Conifer forests and open water ecosystems are the most vulnerable ecosystems. The 2021 CAP focuses on reducing GHG emissions so that Butte County can reduce its contributions to climate change and decrease the risk of harm from these events. However, efforts are also needed to protect people and assets in the community from harm, since, as previously stated, some level of climate change is already unavoidable, and Butte County has already experienced significant harm from disasters that are linked to climate change. The The Butte County Fire Safe Council (BCFSC), formed in 1998, provides wildfire preparedness education and assistance in coordination with local, state, and federal fire agencies throughout Butte County. BCFSC is a non-profit community organization, consisting of local councils and representatives of public and private stakeholders, funded by grants and community donations. The BCFSC mission is to provide safety in Butte County through wildfire hazard education, mitigation, and wildfire recovery with a vision of creating communities resistant to the devastating impacts of wildland fires. Butte County Fire Safe Council 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 13 County’s General Plan and Local Hazard Mitigation Plan (LHMP) will help to improve adaptation to climate change. Climate Action Planning in Butte County Climate action planning in Butte County, like in many other communities, occurs in two areas: (1) GHG emission-reduction (climate mitigation) and (2) climate adaptation and resiliency. Climate mitigation is the reduction of GHGs from sources within the County’s control and influence. Climate adaptation activities include increasing resilience to the hazards posed by the changing climate, such as sea-level rise, wildfires, extreme weather, and drought. Climate Mitigation in Butte County The 2021 CAP serves as the County’s strategic plan to reduce GHG emissions that cause climate change in the unincorporated county. The 2021CAP is an update of the 2014 CAP to ensure the document is responsive to current State of California guidance and best practices. The 2021 CAP includes the following:  Long-term GHG reduction goals for 2030 and 2050.  Past and current GHG inventories and forecast.  GHG reduction strategies to achieve 2030 and 2050 reduction goals.  An implementation program. Climate action is not only about reducing GHG emissions, but also contributing towards the County’s mission of providing high-quality services and facilities to its residents in an equitable, sustainable, transparent, responsive, and friendly manner to foster an inclusive, safe, and healthy community now and in the future. The County’s climate action strategies not only result in a reduction of GHG emissions countywide, but they increase overall sustainability and quality of life in the county by facilitating increased access to transportation and services, upgrades to infrastructure that build resiliency for the entire community, energy independence and affordability, and supporting broader economic development initiatives. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 14 || Introduction 2014 Climate Action Plan In 2014, the County Board of Supervisors adopted the 2014 CAP to reduce GHG emissions in a manner consistent with California guidelines and regulations at that time. The 2014 CAP describes specific strategies, actions, and cost-effective opportunities for the agricultural community, existing and future residents, businesses, and development projects. The 2014 CAP also outlines ways to increase economic, social, and environmental resiliency under a changing climate. The 2014 CAP serves as a qualified GHG reduction strategy under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA). The strategies and actions in the 2014 CAP simplify development review, provide greater consistency between county agriculture, sustainability, and renewable energy programs, and sets a work program for the County. A key component of the 2014 CAP is to establish a baseline of community and County operations GHG emissions to measure future changes against and to inform actions the community could take in the coming years to reduce such emissions. To track the future progress of strategies, the County developed the 2006 community-wide and 2006 government operations inventories using data from everyday activities such as the electricity used in homes, miles traveled in vehicles, and natural gas used in government facilities to estimate GHG emissions. The 2006 baseline was selected for consistency with state guidelines and the General Plan 2030. This baseline information revealed the major sources of emissions caused from community activities and provided a basis of comparison for the 2014 CAP and future assessment reports. The 2014 CAP also includes GHG emissions forecasts for both community and government operations activities, which project anticipated GHG emissions for the years 2020 and 2030. In response to the findings of the Inventory, the 2014 CAP adopted a GHG reduction target of 15 percent below the baseline 2006 GHG emission levels by 2020. The County chose this reduction target to affirm the County’s commitment to developing and measuring GHG reduction strategies and to remain consistent with the state-recommended reduction target of 15 percent below present levels by 2020, which is the local equivalent of the state’s own adopted reduction target of reducing emissions to 1990 levels. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 15 The 2014 CAP included 33 strategies to reduce community GHG emissions. These strategies were developed through work with County government staff, the community, and the Board of Supervisors. Measures addressed GHGs from agriculture, energy use, transportation, land use, water, solid waste, off-road equipment, and activities that the County government undertakes. The County implemented these strategies through a work plan that included inter- departmental County projects and programs and in conjunction with partner agencies and community organizations. County staff documented progress towards achieving the goals in the 2014 CAP through monitoring reports in 2015, 2016, and 2017. Natural disasters in Butte County, such as the damage to the Oroville Dam spillway, multiple wildfires, and the COVID-19 pandemic shifted County priorities and resources that limited staff’s availability to prepare CAP monitoring reports in 2018, 2019, or 2020. 2021 Climate Action Plan As a continuing leader in climate action planning, the County prepared this 2021 CAP to update the community’s strategic path to reducing GHG emissions. Specifically, this 2021 CAP does the following:  Identifies and updates the sources of GHG emissions within both the unincorporated county and the operation of the County government, and estimates how these emissions may change over time, as presented in Chapter 2.  Identifies GHG reduction targets, as presented in Chapter 3.  Provides information on existing and planned local and state initiatives (see Chapter 4) for various sectors to meet or exceed the state targets of reducing emissions 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030 and 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050 consistent with the direction of the State of California via Assembly Bill (AB) 32 and Governor’s Executive Order S-03-05 and California Public Resources Code Section 21083.3.  Provides substantial evidence that the emission reductions estimated in the 2021 CAP, in addition to the existing and planned local and state initiatives presented in Chapter 4, are feasible, as presented in Chapter 5 and the supporting technical appendix included in this document as Appendix A.  Serves as the programmatic tiering document for the purposes of CEQA for use by projects for review of climate change impacts. If a proposed development within unincorporated Butte County is consistent with the emission-reduction strategies included in the 2021 CAP and the programs are developed as a result of the 2021 CAP, the project would have a less- than-significant impact on climate change and emissions consistent with the direction of the California Attorney General (Climate Change, CEQA, and General Plans, Revised March 6, 2009) and California Public Resources Code Section 21083.3. The CEQA Guidelines encourage the adoption of policies or programs as a means of addressing comprehensively 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 16 || Introduction the cumulative impacts of projects (see CEQA Guidelines, Section 15064, subd. (h)(3), 15130, subd. (c)). The County conducted an environmental review of this 2021 CAP and prepared an Addendum to the County’s General Plan Environmental Impact Report (EIR) summarizing the results of the environmental review.  Provides an implementation program in Chapter 6, including a direction to update the community’s GHG inventory and 2021 CAP every five years or more frequently as needed to respond to changes in science; effectiveness of emission reduction strategies; and federal, state, regional, or local policies to further strengthen the County’s response to the challenges of climate change. Adaptation and Resiliency in Butte County Another priority to addressing climate change, and one of Butte County’s most important roles, is to prepare for and respond to various hazards that threaten human life, property, and environmental integrity regardless of the current state of GHG emissions released community- wide. While the reduction of GHG emissions can lessen the impacts of climate change, the damage done by human activities to date are already causing impacts to the climate in the county, and therefore, the community must engage in adaptation planning to ensure the community is resilient to hazards. Hazards are natural or human-caused events or physical conditions that have the potential to cause fatalities, injuries, property and infrastructure damage, agricultural losses, damage to the environment, interruption of businesses, or other types of harm or loss. They range from everyday occupational hazards, including simply driving to work, to infrequent natural or climate change-related disasters, such as large floods or wildfires. Rising temperatures and changes in precipitation patterns from climate change will increase the frequency and intensity of many natural hazards. The 2014 Butte County Climate Action Plan provided adaptation strategies to help increase resilience to these hazards. However, new state laws require the Safety Element of the General Plan to be updated to include an evaluation of vulnerability to climate change hazards and adaptation measures to address those vulnerabilities in the goals, policies, and actions. The County prepared a Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment in 2020, as part of the 2040 General Plan Update. To be consistent with state law, and to ensure that climate adaptation is addressed as comprehensively as possible in the County’s long-term planning documents, most information and strategies related to climate adaptation have been removed from the CAP and included in the General Plan. The 2021 CAP includes a summary of expected climate change impacts, a discussion of recent climate change-related hazards, and strategies that help to improve climate adaptation as a benefit of reducing GHG emissions. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 17 Planning for climate change-related hazards largely occurs through several short- and long- range planning documents, including the County’s General Plan, LHMP, Emergency Operations Plan (EOP), and 2014 CAP. These documents each serve a specific purpose and are described herein. General Plan 2030 The Butte County General Plan 2030 provides direction on how the County will fulfill its community vision and manage its future growth over a 20-year period. The General Plan represents the basic values, ideals, and aspirations of the community, and addresses all aspects of development, including land use, circulation and transportation, open space, natural resources and conservation, public facilities and services, safety, and noise. Several of these General Plan elements are relevant to climate change. The Butte County General Plan 2030 primarily addresses climate change and climate adaptation in the Health and Safety Element, which provides information about risks in the unincorporated county from natural and human-made hazards and includes goals, policies, and actions designed to protect the community and its property from hazards, including those induced by climate change. The Health and Safety Element is largely informed by a Vulnerability Assessment that identifies unique vulnerabilities in Butte County and informs policies to protect those vulnerabilities. Other elements in the General Plan include policies and actions that peripherally impact climate adaptation and resilience, such as:  The Land Use Element, which encourages development around transit to reduce vehicle miles traveled (VMT).  The Housing Element, which encourages the development of energy-efficient housing for all populations in the county, including vulnerable or marginalized residents.  The Agriculture Element, which addresses sustainable agricultural practices to ensure success of the industry in the county.  The Water Resources Element, which addresses water supply and quality.  The Circulation Element, which accounts for vulnerabilities and needed improvements to the county’s transportation system.  The Public Facilities and Services Element, which identifies important public service infrastructure in the county that may be vulnerable or need improvements. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 18 || Introduction Each of these elements plays a role in enhancing the overall sustainability and resilience of the community. The General Plan references the 2014 CAP, recognizing the County’s climate action planning efforts must be updated on a more regular basis than the General Plan to be responsive to changing regulations, guidance, technology, best practices, and science. This 2021 CAP serves as an update that ensures Butte County is operating under a CAP that is up to date with changed regulations, guidance, technology, best practices, and science. Note that at the time of publication of this 2021 CAP, the County was in progress with an update to the Butte County General Plan 2030, with an anticipated adoption date in late 2022. This 2021 CAP will be incorporated into the General Plan Update, as applicable. Local Hazard Mitigation Plan The LHMP is meant to reduce or eliminate long-term risk to people and property from hazards in the community through short-term actions, such as projects and programs. The LHMP demonstrates the community’s commitment to reducing risks from future hazard events and is a tool to help decision makers direct mitigation activities and resources. The LHMP is multi-jurisdictional in that it includes each incorporated city, various unincorporated communities, and important facilities and districts in the planning process to ensure cross- collaboration. The content of the LHMP includes an identification assessment of hazards within the county, goals to mitigate those hazards, and strategies on how to implement and accomplish each goal. The Butte County LHMP was most recently updated in 2019. Emergency Operations Plan The Butte County Operational Area EOP serves as the official emergency plan for Butte County. It includes planned operational functions and the overall responsibilities of each County department in addressing emergency situations. The EOP is designed to focus on potential large-scale disasters, rather than daily emergencies that are regularly handled by local law enforcement and protection agencies. The EOP defines the County’s planned response to emergency situations associated with natural disasters, hazardous materials incidents, and terrorism defense operations. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 19 2014 Climate Action Plan The 2014 CAP is an implementation mechanism of the County’s General Plan that was adopted in 2010, providing strategies to reduce GHG emissions, address climate change adaptation, and improve quality of life in the county. Chapter 5 of the 2014 CAP provides a list of adaptation and resilience measures to address vulnerabilities created or worsened by climate change. Each adaptation strategy includes a set of actions to implement the strategy. These strategies include the following:  Adapt to increasing wildfire frequency and severity.  Prepare for changing precipitation patterns and reduced water supply.  Anticipate increases in flooding frequency and severity.  Prepare and quickly respond to more frequent and intense extreme heat events.  Enhance the economic viability of local agriculture in a changing climate.  Support resilient ecosystems.  Sustain a thriving economy that capitalizes on changing conditions.  Account for climate change effects in existing government operations.  Work with partners to prepare for climate change. When approved by the County Board of Supervisors, this 2021 CAP will replace the 2014 CAP, and climate change-related adaptation and resilience will be addressed by the 2040 General Plan. REGULATORY FRAMEWORK State of California Regulations California law first directly addressed climate change in 1988, when AB 4420 directed state agencies to prepare a GHG inventory and study the impacts of climate change. Since then, California has adopted several laws to assess climate change, analyze GHG emissions and their effects, reduce emissions, and prepare for the impacts of climate change. Many of these laws and associated regulations affect local governments, although only some create specific requirements for individual communities. These laws and associated regulations are briefly summarized here. Executive Order S-03-05 and Assembly Bill 32: California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 In 2005, Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger issued Executive Order S-03-05, which established the first statewide GHG reduction goals for California: reduce emissions to 2000 levels by 2010, 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 20 || Introduction reduce emissions to 1990 levels by 2020, and reduce emissions 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050. AB 32, the California Global Warming Solutions Act, was approved by the legislature and signed by Governor Schwarzenegger in 2006. The landmark legislation required the California Air Resources Board (CARB) to develop regulatory and market mechanisms to reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels by 2020, codified in Executive Order S-03-05. AB 32 also directed CARB to identify early action items that could be quickly implemented, to develop a scoping plan to identify the most technologically feasible and cost-effective strategies to achieve the 2020 target, and to create and adopt regulations requiring major emitters to report and verify their emissions. The Climate Change Scoping Plan (Scoping Plan), adopted in 2008 and updated in 2014 and 2017, employs a variety of GHG reduction strategies that include direct regulations, alternative compliance mechanisms, incentives, voluntary actions, and market-based approaches like a cap-and-trade program. The plan identifies local governments as strategic partners to achieving the state goal and translates the reduction goal to a 15-percent reduction of “existing” emissions by 2020. Although “existing emission levels” is not formally defined by the Scoping Plan, state, regional, and local agencies interpreted it as referring to emissions occurring between 2005 and 2008. Senate Bill 375: Sustainable Communities and Climate Protection Act of 2008 In 2008, Senate Bill (SB) 375, the Sustainable Communities and Climate Protection Act, was adopted to connect the GHG emissions-reductions targets established in the 2008 Scoping Plan to local land use decisions that affect travel behavior. Its intent is to reduce GHG emissions from light-duty trucks and automobiles (excludes emissions associated with goods movement) by aligning regional long-range transportation plans, investments, and housing allocations to local land use planning to reduce VMT and vehicle trips. Specifically, SB 375 required CARB to establish GHG emissions-reduction targets for each of the 18 metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs). The Butte County Association of Governments (BCAG) is the MPO for Butte County and its jurisdictions. Pursuant to the recommendations of the Regional Transportation Advisory Committee (RTAC), CARB adopted per-capita reduction targets for each of the MPOs rather than a total magnitude reduction target. The reduction targets for BCAG are 6-percent reduction in per-capita vehicle-related emissions for 2020 and 7 percent for 2035, relative to 2005 levels. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 21 Executive Order B-30-15 Executive Order B-30-15, signed April 29, 2015, sets a goal of reducing GHG emissions within California to 40 percent of 1990 levels by year 2030. Executive Order B-30-15 also directs CARB to update the Scoping Plan to quantify the 2030 GHG reduction goal for the state and requires state agencies to implement strategies to meet the interim 2030 goal as well as the long-term goal for 2050 in Executive Order S-03-05. It also requires the Natural Resources Agency to conduct triennial updates of the California adaption strategy, Safeguarding California, to ensure climate change is accounted for in state planning and investment decisions. Senate Bill 32 and Assembly Bill 197 In September 2016, SB 32 and AB 197 were signed into law, making the Executive Order goal for year 2030 into a statewide mandated legislative target. AB 197 established a joint legislative committee on climate change policies and requires CARB to prioritize direct emissions reductions rather than the market-based cap-and-trade program for large stationary, mobile, and other sources. Executive Order B-30-15 and SB 32 required CARB to prepare another update to the Scoping Plan to address the 2030 target for the state. On December 14, 2017, CARB adopted the 2017 Climate Change Scoping Plan Update (2017 Scoping Plan) to address the 2030 target for the state. The 2017 Scoping Plan establishes a new emissions limit of 260 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MMTCO2e) for the year 2030, which corresponds to a 40-percent decrease in 1990 levels by 2030. Executive Order B-55-18 In 2018, Governor Brown issued Executive Order B-55-18, which established an additional statewide goal of achieving carbon neutrality (no net GHG emissions) by 2045. Under this goal, any GHGs that are emitted by California must be fully offset by other activities by 2045. While this goal does not yet have the force of law, it does indicate the direction that the state is moving in and may be a reference point for future legislative action. Other state-level climate action measures include Title 24 energy-efficiency standards for new and significantly renovated buildings, the Renewable Portfolio Standards, Clean Car Standards, Low Carbon Fuel Standard, and Innovative Clean Transit Regulations. California Environmental Quality Act CEQA requires that many proposed development projects conduct an environmental review to identify how the project may impact the environment. SB 97 directed the Governor’s Office of Planning and Research to amend the CEQA Guidelines to address GHG emissions, requiring proposed projects to analyze their GHG emissions and contribution to climate change. The 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 22 || Introduction Office of Planning and Research adopted the CEQA Guidelines in December 2009, and they went into effect March 18, 2010. The guidelines include provisions for local governments to use adopted plans for the reduction of GHG emissions to address the cumulative impacts of individual future projects on GHG emissions (see CEQA Guidelines Section 15183.5(b)(1)). Consistent with the CEQA Guidelines, lead agencies may use adopted GHG reduction plans to assess the cumulative impacts of discretionary projects on climate change. In addition, the guidelines provide a mechanism to streamline development review of future projects. Specifically, lead agencies may use adopted plans consistent with CEQA Guidelines Section 15183.5 to analyze and mitigate the significant effects of GHGs under CEQA at a programmatic level by adopting a plan for the reduction of GHG emissions. Later, as individual projects are proposed, project-specific environmental documents may tier from and/or incorporate by reference that existing programmatic review in their cumulative impact analysis. A project-specific environmental document that relies on this 2021 CAP for its cumulative impact analysis must identify specific GHG reduction strategies applicable to the project and demonstrate the project’s incorporation of the strategies. Project applicants and County staff will identify specific strategies applicable to each project during project review. If applicable strategies are not otherwise binding and enforceable, they must be incorporated as mitigation strategies for the project. If substantial evidence indicates that the GHG emissions of a proposed project may be cumulatively considerable, notwithstanding the project’s compliance with specific strategies in this 2021 CAP, an EIR must be prepared for the project. The 2021 CAP meets the requirements of the CEQA Guidelines and commitments through the following:  Quantifies emissions, both existing and projected over a specified time period, resulting from activities within a defined geographic area.  Builds off of the 2014 CAP’s established GHG reduction targets by establishing two new targets.  Identifies and analyzes the emissions resulting from specific actions or categories of actions anticipated within the geographic area.  Specifies strategies or a group of strategies, including performance standards that, if implemented on a project-by-project basis, substantial evidence demonstrates they would collectively achieve the specified emissions level.  Establishes a mechanism to monitor the 2021 CAP’s progress toward achieving specific levels and to require amendments if the 2021 CAP is not achieving those levels.  Includes an environmental review of the 2021 CAP in the form of an Addendum to the General Plan EIR. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 23 Butte County Air Quality Management District The Butte County Air Quality Management District (BCAQMD) is the local air district responsible for local air quality regulation in Butte County. The BCAQMD’s primary responsibility is to regulate stationary sources and develop plans to achieve and maintain air quality standards. CARB and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) have authority over controlling emissions from mobile sources. The BCAQMD has authority over air quality matters in Butte County; it is now an independent special district under California law. BCAQMD’s mission to improve air quality includes adopting and enforcing rules and regulations to attain and maintain air quality standards, issuing permits for and inspecting stationary sources of air pollutants, responding to citizen complaints, monitoring air quality and meteorological conditions, awarding grants to reduce mobile emissions, implementing public outreach campaigns, assisting the County and cities in addressing climate change, and updating and evaluating consistency with the Northern Sacramento Valley Air Quality Attainment Plan. The stationary “direct” sources of air contaminants over which the BCAQMD has permit authority include, but are not limited to, power plants, gasoline stations, dry cleaners, internal combustion engines, agricultural burning, and surface coating operations. BCAQMD does not, however, exercise permit authority over “indirect” emission sources. Indirect sources are contributors to air pollution and include facilities and land uses that may not emit significant amounts of pollution directly themselves, but are responsible for indirect emissions, such as:  Motor vehicle trips attracted to or generated by a land use.  On-site combustion of natural gas and propane for heating.  Architectural coatings (paints, stains) and consumer products.  Landscape maintenance. The BCAQMD works with BCAG to ensure a coordinated approach in the development and implementation of transportation plans throughout the county. This coordination ensures compliance with pertinent provisions of the Clean Air Act and California Clean Air Act, as well as with related transportation legislation. CLIMATE ACTION PLAN PREPARATION The County prepared this 2021 CAP using an iterative five-step process, as illustrated in Figure 5. The County started this process through preparation and implementation of the 2014 CAP, relying on lessons learned and changes in science and best practices to inform the 2021 CAP. Chapters 2, 3, 4, and 5 fulfill steps one through three and provide a structure to complete steps four and five. Step four will occur after adoption of the 2021 CAP. Step five is essential to 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 24 || Introduction ensuring successful implementation of the 2021 CAP to determine if additional strategies are needed. The County initiated this 2021 CAP in 2020 after securing grant funding to cover the majority of the costs. County staff hired the consultant firm PlaceWorks to help complete the 2021 CAP, which included updating past GHG inventories, preparing 2019 GHG inventories, preparing the GHG forecast, and drafting goals, strategies, and actions with County staff. Figure 5. Five-Step Climate Action Planning Process The County led a collaborative process to guide preparation of the 2021 CAP. Opportunities for public participation included a community workshop, stakeholder engagement, and updates to the Planning Commission and Board of Supervisors. These focused efforts built upon a broader-based General Plan 2030 Update outreach process and the outreach process for the Upper Ridge Community Plan and other long-range planning efforts led by the County concurrent with the 2021 CAP update. The County recognizes that ongoing public involvement is critical to develop a plan that responds to community priorities, is responsive to the unincorporated county’s diverse geography and range of communities, and that builds and nurtures partnerships necessary to implement it. 1. Inventory Emissions 2. Establish a Reduction Target 3. Adopt Strategies to Achieve Target 4. Implement Strategies 5. Evaluate and Report Progress 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 25 Community Workshop The County hosted a virtual community workshop on February 18, 2021, to raise awareness and help inform members of the community about the 2021 CAP project, share initial results of the technical analyses completed, review progress in implementing the 2014 CAP, and to begin brainstorming on GHG reduction strategies. The workshop included a presentation and a small group discussion that allowed for an interactive and in-depth exploration of specific sectors, including energy, transportation, waste, agriculture, water, and wastewater. Most workshop participants chose to provide suggestions to the County regarding steps to reduce GHG emissions and most expressed support for the County’s 2021 CAP while providing constructive feedback to increase success of reducing GHGs in the future. Common feedback by workshop participants included mentioning the severity of financial barriers to taking individual climate action, lack of individual and community education, and desires to be proactive and ensure the County is a leader in climate action and sustainability, largely due to the ongoing climate hazards the county has been facing. More detail on input received in the community workshop can be found in Appendix B-1. Stakeholder Outreach The County led two outreach activities targeted to county stakeholders - a virtual workshop and one-on-one meetings with individual stakeholders. The general purpose of the stakeholder outreach was to engage with community groups of different sectors to understand their role, how they may contribute to or alleviate the effects of climate change, and how they can help the County implement the 2021 CAP. Stakeholder Workshop The County hosted one virtual stakeholder workshop on June 9, 2021, to raise awareness and inform community stakeholders about the 2021 CAP, share initial results of the technical analyses, and to begin brainstorming and get feedback on GHG reduction strategies related to specific sectors in the unincorporated county. The County promoted the workshop through targeted outreach to community stakeholders, including those in the environmental field, representatives from utility companies, business representatives, higher education 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 26 || Introduction organizations, the building industry, tribal communities/nations, and various Chambers of Commerce. Approximately 15 stakeholders participated in the workshop, representing various organizations and agencies including the University of California, Davis, Cooperative Extension, Butte County Agricultural Commissioner’s Office, an independent farmer, and the City of Chico, among others. Engagement with stakeholders in the workshop occurred through small group discussions. Participants were organized into one of three breakout rooms depending on their sector of interest they indicated when they registered for the workshop. There were three groups organized into the following sectors: (1) energy, water, and wastewater; (2) transportation, land use, and waste; and (3) agriculture. Each group was given a list of example climate action strategies or ideas related to the sector of the group they were placed into. Stakeholders were then asked to discuss what their organization or business can do to support the strategies, if there are any barriers to supporting those strategies, and if there are any considerations or implementation ideas the County should consider while moving forward to draft the 2021 CAP. Most workshop participants chose to provide suggestions to the County regarding steps to reduce GHG emissions, along with barriers to implementation. Feedback from stakeholders in the workshop largely stressed existing programs that help reduce GHG emissions. Stakeholders also discussed various limitations to implementing GHG reduction strategies, including impacts from past wildfires, limited water sources, and lack of financial incentives. Refer to Appendix B-2 for more information on the stakeholder workshop. Stakeholder One-on-One Discussions Individual one-on-one discussions occurred with several stakeholders in the county, including the Farm bureau, the Butte County Agricultural Commissioner, the Department of Water and Resource Conservation, and the City of Chico. Each stakeholder group had the same pre- determined list of questions; however, during each discussion, stakeholders were able to provide input as they felt comfortable and as they saw necessary. The majority of feedback highlighted the important role that partnerships between the County and local organizations and agencies play. Stakeholders also stressed the significance of the agricultural sector in the county and the limitations that the sector can face when trying to reduce emissions, largely The agricultural community is one of the groups on the front lines of experiencing the effects of climate change and also has the ability to help significantly reduce Butte County’s GHG emissions. During this workshop, agricultural stakeholders shared several climate-positive changes the agricultural community has made, including the carbon sequestration benefits of new orchards, converting rice dryers to more energy-efficient and low- carbon models, the use of composted organic material for mulch, and the installation of solar panels at agricultural facilities. Agriculture Sector Climate Benefits 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Introduction || Page 27 including financial limitations. Refer to Appendix B-2 for more detailed information on the one- on-one stakeholder meetings. Discussions with County Staff Engagement with County staff is integral to the process of developing and vetting climate action strategies because the County is the ultimate implementing agency of the 2021 CAP. Interdepartmental engagement was necessary to ensure that the strategies included in this 2021 CAP are attainable and that the County departments responsible for implementing each strategy are able to do so. Members of the 2021 CAP project team consulted with staff from multiple County departments to discuss past 2014 CAP implementation and barriers to such implementation. The expertise of staff from these departments helped confirm appropriate and feasible strategies and actions. Discussions with Advisory Bodies After community and stakeholder engagement, the County prepared the 2021 CAP Public Review Draft. The County released the Public Review Draft 2021 CAP and the associated Addendum to the General Plan EIR in October 2021. The Butte County Planning Commission held a public hearing of the Public Review Draft 2021 CAP and associated Addendum to the General Plan EIR on November 18, 2021. During the public hearing, the County Planning Commission directed staff to add content to the 2021 CAP to highlight the recent climate disasters in the county, including wildfires and damage to the Oroville Spillway; additional discussion on agriculture and the recent shifts in agricultural practices that benefit the climate; and revisions to better describe the link between the 2021 CAP and other planning documents, specifically regarding climate adaptation and resiliency. Following the Planning Commission’s review and recommendation to the Board of Supervisors, County staff revised the 2021 CAP based on public comment and direction from the Planning Commission. The Board of Supervisors reviewed and adopted the 2021 CAP and the associated Addendum to the General Plan EIR during a public hearing on December 14, 2021. The Board did not have any revisions to the 2021 CAP. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 28 || Introduction WHAT’S NEXT IN THIS CAP The following chapters of the 2021 CAP provide details of the community’s GHG emissions and strategies to increase reduce emissions. The remainder of this 2021 CAP includes the following:  Chapter 2, Butte County GHG Emissions, describes the results of the GHG inventories conducted for Butte County, as well as estimates for the county’s GHG emissions in 2030 and 2050. This work provides a foundation that allows the community to see how its emissions have changed over time and chart progress toward state and local emissions reduction targets, informing emissions reduction strategies.  Chapter 3, GHG Reduction Targets, outlines the GHG emission reduction targets established by the State, by the Scoping Plan, and the ultimate GHG reduction targets chosen by County staff. This chapter sets the foundation to determine where the County is at in their efforts to reduce GHG emissions and how much more the 2021 CAP needs to accommodate.  Chapter 4, Existing GHG Reduction Strategies, outlines the existing and planned local and state initiatives that give the County credit for GHG reductions.  Chapter 5, New GHG Reduction Strategies, outlines the new 2021 strategies that go beyond existing and planned local and state initiatives by which the County can reach their established GHG emission reduction targets. This includes goals, strategies, and actions, their associated GHG emissions, and benefits they provide other than reducing GHG emissions.  Chapter 6, CAP Implementation Strategy, outlines the path the County will take to implement the 2021 CAP, along with prioritization. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 29 BUTTE COUNTY GHG EMISSIONS BACKGROUND AND METHODOLOGY GHG emissions are generated by various activities that are largely commonplace in daily life. Some daily activities release GHG emissions in the location of the activity, such as gases released anytime an internal combustion engine car is driven. On the other hand, some activities cause GHG emissions to be released elsewhere, such as someone using non- renewable or non-carbon-free electricity to power their home, which generates GHG emissions in the location of the power plant that supplies the power, and not in the home itself. Butte County must consider the GHG emissions caused by activities attributed to the community, including GHG emissions generated both inside and in some cases as described herein, outside its jurisdictional boundaries. The County has two types of GHG inventories: (1) community-wide inventories and (2) County operations inventories.  A community-wide GHG inventory identifies GHG emissions that result from activities of unincorporated county residents, employees, visitors, and other community members. Examples include residents driving cars, homes using water, and businesses using electricity.  A County operations GHG inventory summarizes emissions that are a direct result of County government operations. Examples include electricity and water used in County buildings or the fuel used for County vehicles. A series of guidance documents, called protocols, provide recommendations on how to adequately assess GHG emissions. The project team prepared the new GHG inventories and updates to past GHG inventories consistent with the guidance in widely adopted, standard protocol documents. These protocols provide guidance on what activities should be evaluated in the GHG inventories and how emissions from those activities should be assessed. Using standard methods also allows for an easy comparison of GHG emission levels across multiple years and communities.  The community-wide GHG inventory uses the United States Community Protocol for Accounting and Reporting of Greenhouse Gas Emissions (U.S. Community Protocol), which was first developed in 2012 and updated most recently in 2019. The California Governor’s 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 30 || Butte County GHG Emissions Office of Planning and Research encourages cities and counties in California to follow the U.S. Community Protocol for community-wide GHG emissions.  The County operations GHG inventory relies on the Local Government Operations Protocol (LGOP), which was first developed in 2008 and was updated in 2010. The LGOP is a tool for accounting and reporting GHG emissions of local government (municipal) operations and is used throughout California and the United States. The LGOP includes guidance from several existing programs as well as the state’s mandatory GHG reporting regulations. A third protocol, the Global Protocol for Community-Scale Greenhouse Gas Inventories (Global Protocol) was first developed in 2014 and is intended for use in preparing international community-scale GHG inventories. It is largely consistent with the U.S. Community Protocol, although it contains additional guidance and resources to support a wider range of activities that may be found in other countries. GHG inventories are estimates of GHG emissions based on these standard methods and verified datasets. While they are not direct measurements of GHG emissions, the use of the standard methods identified in the protocols, in combination with accurate data from appropriate sources, allows GHG inventories to provide reliable estimates of local emission levels. UNITS OF MEASUREMENT These GHG inventories assess emissions in a unit called carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e), which is a combined unit of all GHGs analyzed in the inventory. As different GHGs have different effects on the processes that drive climate change, CO2e is a weighted unit that reflects the relative potency of the different GHGs. These inventories report amounts of GHGs in metric tons of CO2e (MTCO2e), equal to 1,000 kilograms or approximately 2,205 pounds. EMISSION FACTORS These emissions are calculated by using data on GHG generating activities in combination with emission factors. An emissions factor describes how many MTCO2e are released per unit of an activity. For instance, an emissions factor for electricity describes the MTCO2e produced per kilowatt-hour (kWh) of electricity used, or an emission factor for on-road transportation describes the MTCO2e produced per mile of driving. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 31 Consistent with the protocol guidance, the County calculated GHG emissions using data on GHG generating activities in combination with emission factors. An emissions factor describes how many MTCO2e are released per unit of an activity. For instance, an emissions factor for electricity describes the MTCO2e produced per kWh of electricity used, or an emission factor for on-road transportation describes the MTCO2e produced per mile of driving. Table 3 shows the emissions factors for 2006 and 2019. Some sectors, including agriculture and off-road emissions, are calculated using formulae or models and do not have specific emission factors. Table 3. Change in Emissions Factors between 2006 and 2019 Sector Unit 2006 2019 Percentage Change Source Electricity Per kWh 0.000208 0.000108 -48% PG&E Natural gas Per therm 0.005323 0.005323 0% US Community Protocol Propane Per gallon 0.005844 0.005644 -3% US Community Protocol On-road transportation (light duty) Per mile 0.000661 0.000356 -46% California Air Resources Board On-road transportation (heavy duty) Per mile 0.001562 0.001154 -26% California Air Resources Board On-road transportation (combined) Per mile 0.001202 0.000755 -37% California Air Resources Board Solid waste (municipal solid waste) Per ton 0.293000 0.286000 -2% CalRecycle Solid waste (alternative daily cover) Per ton 0.246000 0.246000 0% CalRecycle 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 32 || Butte County GHG Emissions GHG EMISSIONS INVENTORIES Updates to Existing Inventories As part of the preparation of the 2014 CAP, the County, its regional partners, and technical consultants prepared community-wide and County operations GHG inventories for the calendar year 2006. As part of preparation of the 2014 CAP, the County prepared a GHG inventory for the year 2006 to serve as a baseline year for emission reductions, as this was considered a year with good data availability at the time, consistent with State guidance, and without any unusual factors that might affect GHG emissions. Since the 2006 inventory was prepared, new datasets have become available. These datasets include revised numbers for previous years, including 2006. Recommended analysis methods have also changed, in response to increased scientific awareness and evolving best practices. As part of the 2021 CAP process, the County revised the 2006 community-wide and 2006 County operations GHG inventories to use consistent and current methods and data sources while preserving the 2006 GHG inventory baseline. One major edit to the 2006 GHG inventories was to revise the global warming potentials (GWPs) used in all inventories to account for the relative difference in potencies of different GHGs. These numbers have changed as the science of GHGs have advanced. Butte County’s inventories used GWPs from the IPCC’s Second Assessment Report, released in 1995. At the time the 2006 inventory was initially prepared, the Second Assessment Report values were the most widely used. As part of the preparation of the 2021 CAP, the County and its technical team updated the 2006 inventories to use the GWPs from the most recent IPCC report available at the time, which was the Fifth Assessment Report, released in 2013, and now commonly used to show consistency with the best available science. The Fifth Assessment Report values most accurately show the impacts of methane, which were largely understated in previous studies. Table 4 shows the differences in GWPs by gas.1 1 Note that the inventories included in this 2021 CAP were updated or completed prior to the release of the IPCC Sixth Climate Assessment Report and therefore this 2021 CAP includes GWPs from the IPCC Fifth Climate Assessment Report 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 33 Table 4. Change in Global Warming Protocols by Greenhouse Gas Gas Second Assessment Report GWP Fifth Assessment Report GWP Carbon dioxide (CO2) 1 1 Methane (CH4) 21 28 Nitrous oxide (N2O) 310 265 Because of these changes, the inventory results presented in this 2021 CAP will be different than those cited in the 2014 CAP. These changes resulted in increases in emissions between the original and the updated 2006 inventory in the agriculture, residential energy, nonresidential energy, solid waste, off-road equipment, and water and wastewater sectors, as noted below.  Increases in the agriculture sector are largely due to new methods for quantifying agricultural emissions.  Increases to the solid waste sector are from changes in method and the inclusion of landfill emissions, which were previously treated as an informational item.  Increases to the water and wastewater sector are because of revised datasets that more accurately reflect water use conditions in Butte County.  The change to off-road equipment emissions is from adding in types of off-road equipment that had previously been excluded, although there were no other changes to the method used. The off-road equipment subsectors originally included in the 2006 inventory were only lawn and garden and construction and mining equipment. The revisions to the 2006 inventory added emissions related to equipment used for entertainment, industrial, light commercial, logging, oil drilling, pleasure craft (personal watercraft), recreation, and refrigerated transport.  The changes to emissions from residential and nonresidential energy sectors are the results of PG&E providing updated energy use data, which differed from the original data. In addition to these universal edits, the County made the following changes:  Adjusted the methodology and data used to calculate emissions from the agriculture sector to reflect current practices, primarily for emissions from enteric fermentation associated with livestock, fertilizer, manure, and rice harvesting.  Added emissions associated with land use and sequestration, and with wildfire and controlled burns as informational items.  Revised the data used to calculate water and wastewater emissions, using adjusted datasets built on the 2019 water and wastewater figures, which are more accurate than the 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 34 || Butte County GHG Emissions estimated data used in the 2006 inventory. The 2006 wastewater emission calculations have also been updated to use current recommended methods.  Revised 2006 natural gas and electricity figures following updated data from PG&E. Table 5 compares the original 2006 inventory, excluding informational items, to the updated inventory results. Table 5. Original 2006 and Revised Baseline Inventory Results Sector Original Inventory Results Updated Inventory Results Percentage Change Agriculture 390,400 521,650 34% Transportation 265,450 264,420 Less than -1% Residential 150,630 133,350 -11% Nonresidential 61,450 58,670 -5% Off-road equipment 17,360 56,070 223% Solid waste 13,980 40,830 192% Water and wastewater 12,360 20,190 63% Total Annual MTCO2e 911,630 1,095,190 20% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Community-wide GHG Inventory A community-wide GHG inventory identifies GHG emissions that result from activities of residents, employees, and other community members. An update was prepared to the 2006 community-wide inventory and a new inventory was prepared for the calendar year 2019. The community-wide GHG inventory assessed GHG emissions from the following 10 categories of activities, known as sectors.  Agriculture includes GHG emissions from various agricultural activities, including agricultural equipment, crop cultivation and harvesting, and livestock operations.  Transportation includes GHG emissions created by driving on-road vehicles, including passenger and freight vehicles.  Residential energy includes GHG emissions attributed to the use of electricity, natural gas, and propane in residential buildings. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 35  Nonresidential energy includes GHG emissions attributed to the use of electricity and natural gas in nonresidential buildings, including buildings and facilities at agricultural operations.  Solid Waste includes the GHG emissions released from trash collected in the unincorporated areas of Butte County, as well as collective annual emissions from waste already in place at the Neal Road Landfill.  Off-road equipment includes GHG emissions from equipment that does not provide on- road transportation (excluding agricultural equipment), such as tractors for construction or equipment used for landscape maintenance.  Water and wastewater accounts for the electricity used to transport every gallon of water or wastewater to incorporated county residents and businesses, as well as direct emissions from the processing of waste material.  Land use and sequestration includes GHG emissions absorbed and stored in trees and soils on locally controlled lands as part of healthy ecosystems and released into the atmosphere from development of previously undeveloped land.  Stationary sources are those emitted at large industrial sites, commercial businesses, warehouses, or power plants. This is an informational sector that is not included in the community-wide total.  Wildfire and controlled burns include emissions released as a result of wildfires and controlled burns. This is an informational sector that is not included in the community-wide total. As shown in Table 6, the agriculture sector has remained the largest source of GHG emissions in unincorporated Butte County, increasing slightly from 48 percent of total GHG emissions in 2006 to 50 percent of total GHG emissions in 2019. The transportation sector has remained the second-largest source of GHG emissions between 2006 and 2019 and decreased slightly from 24 percent of total GHG emissions in 2006 to 23 percent of the total share of GHG emissions in 2019. Residential and nonresidential energy made up 12 and 5 percent of total community-wide 2006 GHG emissions, respectively. By 2019, the residential and nonresidential energy sectors both declined in total share of GHG emissions, making up 9 and 4 percent of total community-wide emissions. Rice processing facility 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 36 || Butte County GHG Emissions GHG emissions from off-road equipment and solid waste increased between 2006 and 2019, while GHG emissions from water and wastewater declined slightly. The off-road equipment sector increased from 5 to 6 percent of total community-wide GHG emissions from 2006 to 2019. Similarly, the solid waste sector accounted for 4 percent of total community-wide GHG emissions in 2006, increasing to 6 percent in 2019. The water and wastewater sector remained at 2 percent of the community-wide total. Table 6. Proportions of Annual GHG Emissions by Sector in 2006 and 2019 Sector 2006 MTCO2e 2006 Proportion of Total 2019 MTCO2e 2019 Proportion of Total Agriculture 521,650 48% 501,630 50% Transportation 264,420 24% 229,110 23% Residential energy 133,350 12% 90,730 9% Nonresidential energy 58,670 5% 37,350 4% Off-road equipment 56,070 5% 59,310 6% Solid waste 40,830 4% 61,120 6% Water and wastewater 20,190 2% 16,960 2% Total Annual MTCO2e (not including land use and sequestration) 1,095,190 100% 996,210 100% Land use and sequestration -346,340 — -346,340 — Total Annual MTCO2e (including land use and sequestration) 748,850 649,870 Informational Items Stationary sources* 3,960 <1% — — Wildfire and controlled burns** 8,280 — 15,730 — All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Note: The 2019 proportion of total percentages do not include emissions as a result of the land use and sequestration sector. *Stationary source data for 2019 was not provided at the time the inventory was completed and is therefore not included. **Wildfires in 2006 include the Skyway, Woodleaf, and Philbrook fires. The wildfires counted in 2019 include the Swedes and the Forbestown fires. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 37 As shown in Table 7, the sectors that experienced the largest decrease in annual GHG emissions were residential and nonresidential energy, which reduced by 32 and 36 percent, respectively. The energy sector decreased because of less electricity use in both residential and nonresidential development, a substantial increase in renewable and carbon-free sources of electricity, and a decline in residential natural gas use, as shown by data from PG&E. However, there was an increase in emissions associated with residential propane use and nonresidential natural gas use. The sector to experience the next-largest decrease was transportation, with a 13-percent decline in GHG emissions. Despite VMT increasing 15 percent between 2006 and 2019, emissions decreased largely because of more fuel-efficient vehicles and a wider adoption of electric vehicles, as reported by the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans), and as shown in Table 3. Emissions from the agriculture sector decreased by approximately 4 percent between 2006 and 2019. While most agricultural activities saw some change between 2006 and 2019, the largest changes appear from decreases in rice growing acreage, changes in the amount of soil amendments, decreases in residue burning, and replacing older diesel irrigation pumps. Water and wastewater emissions also declined from 2006 to 2019. Although water use increased during this period, increases in clean electricity supplies resulted in less GHG emissions from the energy needed to move and process water, decreasing the overall emissions from the water and wastewater sector. The off-road equipment and solid waste sectors experienced an increase in GHG emissions. Emissions from off-road activities rose by 6 percent, while emissions associated with the solid waste sector increased by 50 percent. The increase in solid waste is primarily the result of a larger-than-normal amount of waste generated by the community as a result of clean-up activities from the 2018 Camp Fire. The modest increase in off-road equipment is likely because of the purchasing and use of more off-road equipment (such as lawn mowers and other gardening equipment) as the unincorporated county population has grown since the 2006 inventory year. Emissions associated with wildfires increased by 90 percent between 2006 and 2019; however, these emissions are not accounted for in the final total of annual community-wide emissions and are noted for informational purposes only. This change Wildfires are predominately a natural process, as their growth is not a human-caused activity. As a natural process, GHG emissions from wildfires are considered “biogenic”, meaning that they occur naturally, and so are not included in the community total. Why are wildfire emissions not accounted? 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 38 || Butte County GHG Emissions is because of an increase in acreage burned in wildfires, along with an increase in controlled burn activity, which rose substantially from 2006 to 2019 as a wildfire management strategy. Increases in the amount of electricity from renewable or carbon-free sources played a significant role in how Butte County’s GHG emissions changed from 2006 to 2019. Most sectors that involve electricity use experienced a decline in emissions because of this change. PG&E’s sources of electricity released 51 percent fewer GHG emissions per unit of electricity used in 2019 than they did in 2006. Community-wide GHG emissions from each individual sector are described in more detail in the next section. Table 7. Percentage Change in Community GHG Emissions between 2006 and 2019 by Sector Sector 2006 MTCO2e 2019 MTCO2e Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Agriculture 521,650 501,630 -4% Transportation 264,420 229,110 -13% Residential energy 133,350 90,730 -32% Nonresidential energy 58,670 37,350 -36% Off-road equipment 56,070 59,310 6% Solid waste 40,830 61,120 50% Water and wastewater 20,190 16,960 -16% Total Annual MTCO2e (not including land use and sequestration) 1,095,190 996,210 -9% Land use and sequestration -346,340 -346,340 0% Total Annual MTCO2e (including land use and sequestration) 748,850 649,870 -13% Informational Items Stationary sources* 3,960 — — Wildfire and controlled burns** 8,280 15,730 90% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. *Stationary source data for 2019 was not provided at the time the inventory was completed and is therefore not included. **Wildfires in 2006 include the Skyway, Woodleaf, and Philbrook fires. The wildfires counted in 2019 include the Swedes and the Forbestown fires. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 39 Agriculture Emissions As shown in Table 8, GHG emissions associated with the agriculture sector decreased by approximately 4 percent between 2006 and 2019. This overall decrease is the result of several factors, including a decline in the use of agricultural diesel pumps, declines in emissions from manure management, decreases in the amounts of lime and urea applied, and an 8-percent decrease in GHG emissions associated with rice cultivation. Energy use at agricultural buildings and facilities is included in the nonresidential energy sector. As shown in Table 8, GHG emissions in some sub-sectors did increase, including those associated with fertilizer, which increased by 15 percent, likely from changes in the mix of crops kept in the county. Emissions associated with residue burning on agricultural land are because of a change in the method of emissions calculations and a difference in available data. Lundberg Family Farm has a dedicated commitment to working for the environment and reducing GHG emissions through general farming, storage, transport, packaging, processing, retail, and consumption. Lundberg Family Farms has committed to working toward improvement across 11 action categories from land use and organic farming practices to energy generation, focusing on five main sectors: waste, soil, energy, packing, and policy engagement. Every year, progress toward achievement of their environmental goals is summarized in an annual Sustainability Report. Lundberg Family Farm Rice field flooded with water 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 40 || Butte County GHG Emissions Table 8. Community Agriculture Activity Data and GHG Emissions Subsector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Activity Data Diesel pumps (number of pumps) 490 320 -35% Enteric fermentation (number of livestock) 15,790 14,550 -8% Fertilizer (tons) 19,700 22,700 15% Lime (tons) 7,030 750 -89% Manure (number of livestock) 17,620 16,300 -7% Pesticides (pounds) 9,770 1,520 -84% Agriculture residue burning * — — — Rice (acres) 105,670 96,770 -8% Urea (tons) 4,880 2,860 -41% Agricultural equipment* — — — Emissions (MTCO2e) Diesel pumps 28,060 18,810 -33% Enteric fermentation 14,960 14,570 -3% Fertilizer 74,400 85,760 15% Lime 2,920 310 -89% Manure 5,700 4,760 -16% Pesticides 10 Less than 10 -85% Agriculture residue burning 36,440 44,310 22% Rice 281,310 257,620 -8% Urea 3,570 1,900 -47% Agricultural equipment 74,280 73,580 -1% Total Annual MTCO2e 521,650 501,620 -4% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. *Activity data for agricultural residue burning and equipment are not available. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 41 Transportation Emissions Butte County community members drove approximately 464.3 million vehicle miles in 2006, increasing to approximately 533.6 million vehicle miles in 2019. The VMT in 2006 resulted in GHG emissions of approximately 264,420 MTCO2e, which dropped to approximately 229,100 MTCO2e in 2019, a 13-percent decrease. Although vehicle miles increased between 2006 and 2019, total emissions decreased because of increasingly fuel-efficient vehicles, along with a wider adoption of electric vehicles. The average vehicle in Butte County emitted 33 percent fewer GHG emissions in 2019 than in 2006. Table 9 provides a breakdown of the activity data and emissions for on-road transportation by each individual year included in the updated community inventory. Table 9. Community Transportation Activity Data and GHG Emissions Subsector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Activity Data (VMT) On-road transportation 464,302,670 533,626,990 15% Emissions (MTCO2e) On-road transportation 264,420 229,110 -13% Total Annual MTCO2e 264,420 229,110 -13% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Residential Energy Emissions Butte County’s GHG emissions from residential energy totaled approximately 90,720 MTCO2e in 2019, compared to 133,350 MTCO2e in 2006, a decline of 32 percent. Residential electricity and natural gas GHG emissions decreased largely because of a decrease in overall use, while residential electricity also experienced a decline due to cleaner sources of electricity, supported by State programs that require that PG&E source an increased amount of its electricity from renewable sources. Table 10 provides a breakdown of the activity data and GHG emissions for residential energy. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 42 || Butte County GHG Emissions Table 10. Community Residential Energy Activity Data and GHG Emissions Subsector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Activity Data Residential electricity (kWh) 322,460,310 253,167,490 -21% Residential natural gas (therms) 5,887,630 5,140,530 -13% Residential propane (gallons) 5,960,640 6,371,650 7% Emissions (MTCO2e) Residential electricity 67,170 27,390 -59% Residential natural gas 31,340 27,370 -13% Residential propane 34,840 35,960 3% Total Annual MTCO2e 133,350 90,720 -32% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Nonresidential Energy Emissions Butte County’s GHG emissions from nonresidential energy totaled approximately 37,350 MTCO2e in 2019, compared to 58,670 MTCO2e in 2006, a decline of 36 percent. The decrease is primarily driven by a large decline in electricity use, coupled with increasing supplies of cleaner electricity as a result of State programs that create a further reduction in electricity-related emissions. However, using PG&E’s revised energy use numbers for 2006, natural gas use and related emissions increased 33 percent from 2006 to 2019. This may be a result of increased heating demand in nonresidential buildings or increases in industrial activity, although other less-apparent factors may also be involved. Note that agriculture-related energy emissions are included in the nonresidential energy emissions data. Table 11 provides a breakdown of the activity data and GHG emissions for nonresidential energy. The electricity and natural gas energy use figures in the residential and nonresidential energy use sectors are reported by PG&E. These numbers reflect the amount of electricity and natural gas sold by PG&E to residents, businesses, and other energy customers in the unincorporated area. Customers who install solar panels or other renewable energy systems generally purchase less electricity from PG&E, causing a reported reduction in the amount of electricity used in Butte County. This is partly why residential and nonresidential energy use fell from 2006 to 2019. Solar Panels and Energy Use 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 43 Table 11. Community Nonresidential Energy Activity Data and GHG Emissions Subsector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Activity Data Nonresidential electricity (kWh) 203,365,720 153,391,250 -25% Nonresidential natural gas (therms) 2,925,420 3,897,830 33% Emissions (MTCO2e) Nonresidential electricity 43,100 16,600 -61% Nonresidential natural gas 15,570 20,750 33% Total Annual MTCO2e 58,670 37,350 -36% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Solid Waste Energy Emissions Unincorporated countywide GHG emissions associated with solid waste includes municipal solid waste thrown away by community members, alternative daily cover applied at landfills, and emissions associated with all waste in place at the Neal Road Landfill. Note that “waste in place” refers to waste that is accumulated and in a permanent location at the Neal Road Landfill. Alternative daily cover is defined as the cover material other than earthen material (dirt or soil) that is placed on the surface of solid waste in landfills at the end of each operating day to control vectors, fires, odors, blowing litter, and scavenging. Emissions increased by 50 percent from population growth and accumulation of waste in the landfill over time. Debris from the 2018 Camp Fire additionally resulted in a higher proportion of waste in place at the Neal Road Landfill, increasing landfill and solid waste emissions. Table 12 presents solid waste emissions data for each year. Waste Management truck at the Neal Road Landfill 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 44 || Butte County GHG Emissions Table 12. Community Solid Waste Activity Data and GHG Emissions Subsector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Activity Data (Tons) Solid waste 66,530 101,000 52% Waste in place 2,624,150 4,758,220 81% Emissions (MTCO2e) Solid waste 19,500 28,820 48% Waste in place 21,330 32,300 51% Total Annual MTCO2e 40,830 61,120 50% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Off-road Equipment Emissions According to data shown in Table 13, emissions from off-road equipment in the county increased approximately 6 percent between 2006 and 2019, from 56,070 MTCO2e in 2006 to 59,310 MTCO2e in 2019. This increase is likely due to the purchase and use of more off-road equipment (such as lawn mowers and other gardening equipment) as the county’s population has grown since the 2006 inventory year. Table 13. Community Off-road Equipment Activity Data and GHG Emissions Subsector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Emissions (MTCO2e) Off-road equipment 56,070 59,310 6% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 45 Water and Wastewater Emissions Emissions associated with the water and wastewater sector are counted in indirect or direct emissions. Indirect water emissions refer to emissions created by the electricity required to treat and move water to where it is used. Indirect wastewater emissions refer to electricity needed to move wastewater to water treatment facilities, and to process and discharge it. Direct wastewater emissions refer to emissions produced directly by decomposing materials in wastewater. GHG emissions from water and wastewater consumption in the unincorporated county decreased between 2006 and 2019. Indirect water GHG emissions decreased by 44 percent while emissions from wastewater decreased by 3 percent. The emissions data in Table 14 shows an increase in emissions from water use and direct wastewater. This is despite an increase in total water use from 2006 to 2019, likely as a result of a growing population. The decrease in emissions from indirect water use is linked to cleaner sources of energy being used to treat and move water supplies. The slight decline in wastewater-related emissions is a result of a slight estimated decrease in the number of properties using septic tanks. Table 14. Community Water and Wastewater Activity Data and GHG Emissions Subsector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Activity Data (Million Gallons) * Indirect water 18,250 19,850 9% Indirect wastewater 10 10 <1% Emissions (MTCO2e) Indirect water 6,450 3,640 -44% Indirect wastewater 10 10 Less than 1% Direct wastewater 13,730 13,310 -3% Total Annual MTCO2e 20,190 16,960 -16% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. *Activity data for 2006 direct wastewater was not provided. The Farm Bureau tracks annual water use in the county and assesses change over time. In February 2021, the Bureau adopted the 20-Year Land and Water Use Change in Butte County (1999-2019), which found that groundwater used for agriculture in the county has decreased 17 percent since 1999. This is largely due to: Reduction in irrigated acreage. Increase in walnut orchards, which use less water than stone fruit or almond orchards. More water-efficient irrigation systems being installed in new or retrofitting orchards. Butte County Farm Bureau Water Management 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 46 || Butte County GHG Emissions Stationary Sources Emissions Stationary source data in 2006 reflected a total of 3,960 MTCO2e resulting from this sector. Stationary source sector data were not available for 2019 and is therefore not included in this report. Land Use and Sequestration GHG emissions from land use and sequestration can be either positive (a source of emissions) or negative (removing emissions from the atmosphere, creating what is known as an emissions “sink”). Natural lands and street trees absorb carbon, storing it in wood, plants, and soil. As a result, when natural land is preserved or when more street trees are planted, emissions from this sector are negative because GHGs are being removed from the atmosphere. However, developing natural lands or converting them to a different form (for example, replacing forests with crop land) or removing street trees causes carbon to be released, creating GHG emissions. This sector includes emission sources and sinks from three types of activities: sequestration of GHG emissions in locally controlled forested lands, sequestration of GHG emissions in street trees in urbanized unincorporated areas, and emissions caused by permanently removing vegetation from natural lands or farmlands as a part of development. In accordance with the US Community Protocol and associated guidance documents, the sequestration benefits in this sector do not include trees used for agriculture, such as fruit and nut trees, in the total. However, fruit and nut orchards in Butte County do help to sequester carbon. Studies indicate that many trees achieve their highest sequestration potential at around 15 to 20 years of age, although this varies significantly by species and location, and cutting down trees before they achieve this age causes a loss of most or all sequestration benefits. Similarly, very old trees that grow very slowly may absorb less carbon annually than younger species, although these old trees may have a significant amount of carbon stored in their biomass. The sequestration benefits from Butte Carbon sequestration is the process of capturing and storing atmospheric carbon dioxide. Carbon sequestration largely occurs through biological means that absorb carbon such as trees, soil, the ocean, and grasslands. Carbon sequestration in Butte County largely occurs on forested land, through healthy soils, and through orchards of fruit and nut trees. The Healthy Soils Program, run through the California Department of Food and Agriculture, provides financial assistance for the implementation of agricultural management practices that sequester carbon while improving soil health. It offers up to $250,000 for three-year projects. By the end of 2020, the program has provided over $42 million to 640 projects. Butte County community members have received 33 awards (the fifth highest of any county in California), totaling almost $2 million. Carbon Sequestration and Healthy Soils Program 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 47 County’s fruit and nut orchards is an estimated 5,770 MTCO2e annually, with most sequestration potential coming from walnut and almond trees. Emissions and sequestered amounts remained constant in both years for all three activities. Locally controlled forests and street trees have not had their sequestration capabilities changed by human activities during the inventory period. While there was some development activity that caused a loss of sequestered GHG emissions, records of when the development specifically occurred are not available, and so the GHG emissions have been assigned equally to both inventory years, hence the lack of changes. These emissions do not include any changes in sequestration potential as a result of fire activity. Wildfire and Controlled Burns Emissions associated with wildfires and controlled burns in 2006 totaled 3,630 MTCO2e, rising in 2019 to a total of 15,730 MTCO2e. This increase of 11 percent is the result of natural variation in wildfire patterns. Controlled burn activity increased substantively from 2006 to 2019 as a result of increased fuel-control efforts. However, wildfire emissions are not calculated in the totals presented in this 2021 CAP and are for informational purposes only. Wildfires can create emissions that exceed the human-caused sources of GHG emissions that are counted in the community GHG inventory. Although the wildfires in 2006 and 2019 were small, other years have produced much larger wildfires with much greater GHG emissions. CARB researchers estimated that the 2018 Camp Fire produced approximately 3.6 million MTCO2e 15 and the 2020 North Complex Fire generated approximately 10.9 million MTCO2e across all burnt areas,16 some of which include unincorporated Butte County. Although emission estimates are not yet available for the 2021 Dixie Fire, they are likely to be tens of millions of MTCO2e given the size of the fire. Burn area near Central Skyway Orchard trees 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 48 || Butte County GHG Emissions When a forest burns, the carbon stored in the burned biomass is released into the atmosphere, creating emissions. Intense fires that reach very high temperatures, which are expected to become more common as a result of climate change, can burn larger, more mature trees that are relatively unharmed by smaller fires. As a result, these intense fires can release more carbon than a lower-temperature fire that burns the same acreage. Under normal conditions, a forest will regrow after a fire, allowing the young trees and other plants to rapidly sequester carbon as they mature. In the long run, this cycle of fire and regrowth leads to a relatively balanced system. However, the more frequent and intense fire regime that is expected under climate change, particularly in combination with more frequent drought and extreme heat events, can make it harder for forests to regrow. This increases the chance that forested land will convert to grasslands or shrublands, which sequester much less carbon per acre. County Operations GHG Inventory The County operations inventory is treated separately from the community-wide inventory. Some sources of emissions in the County operations inventory are not included in the community-wide inventory. For example, energy use at County facilities in the City of Oroville is included in the County operations inventory, but not in the unincorporated community-wide inventory because that focuses on activities in the unincorporated area. In this example, the energy use at the County facility in Oroville would be included in the nonresidential energy sector of the City of Oroville’s GHG inventory. Other sources of emissions are included in both the community-wide and County operations inventories, such as the decomposition of waste at the Neal Road Landfill facility. However, since the inventories are not combined, these common sources of emissions are not counted twice in any one place. The two inventories are not added together or combined in any way to determine the “total” emissions. The County operations GHG inventory assessed six sectors, as follows:  Energy includes the GHG emissions of electricity and natural gas used to power County buildings, facilities, and operations.  Commute covers GHG emissions that result from the total annual miles that County staff drive to get to and from work.  Fleet includes the GHG emissions released by County vehicles based on the total gallons of fuel used.  Solid Waste accounts for the GHG emissions released from the collection of trash at County buildings and facilities, as well as emissions from waste in place at the County-operated Neal Road facility. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 49  Water and Wastewater accounts for the energy used to transport and process the water used and the wastewater generated at County buildings and facilities.  Refrigerant includes the amounts of refrigerants used to refill air conditioners in County buildings and vehicles. The proportion of each sector’s contribution to annual County operations GHG emissions is not fully consistent between the years 2006 and 2019. As Table 15 illustrates, the highest emitter of GHG emissions by County operations remained solid waste between 2006 and 2019, increasing from 55 percent in 2006 to 71 percent in 2019. The reasons for these shifts are described in more detail in Appendix A, Technical Appendix, of this 2021 CAP. Employee commutes accounted for the second-highest proportion of emissions at 18 percent in 2006, later declining to only 12 percent in 2019. Energy accounted for the third-highest source of emissions in 2006, decreasing from 15 percent in 2006 to 6 percent of emissions in 2019, largely due to more renewable and carbon-free sources of energy. Emissions from the fleet sector decreased slightly, accounting for 12 percent of emissions in 2006 and 11 percent in 2019. Emissions from water and wastewater increased very slightly due to the same factors. Note that no refrigerant data was reported for 2006. Table 15. Proportions of Annual County Operations GHG Emissions by Sector Sector 2006 Proportion of Total 2019 Proportion of Total Energy 15% 6% Commute 18% 12% Fleet 12% 11% Solid Waste 55% 71% Water and wastewater Less than 1% Less than 1% Refrigerant — Less than 1% As shown in Table 16, annual County GHG emissions increased by 17 percent between 2006 and 2019. The largest decrease in emissions came from the energy sector at 55 percent. The decrease in energy is partly due to switching to more efficient appliances, such as LED light bulbs, as well as the use of increasingly more renewable and carbon-free sources of electricity, as previously shown in Table 3. The commute sector also decreased in emissions by 22 percent, largely due to an increase in fuel-efficient vehicles and a decrease in County employees (2,267 in 2006 compared to 2,129 in 2019). Emissions from water and wastewater declined due to a 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 50 || Butte County GHG Emissions decrease in County employees and an increase in the amount of renewable and carbon-free sources of electricity used to move and process water and wastewater. GHG emissions from the fleet sector increased by 13 percent, which could be due to changes in County vehicle fleet mix despite overall increase in vehicle fuel efficiency and may also be linked to changes in fleet vehicle use or policies. Solid waste GHG emissions increased by 51 percent due predominantly to an accumulation of waste in place at the Neal Road Landfill because of cleanup activities from the 2018 Camp Fire. Table 16. Percent Change in Total County Operations GHG Emissions between 2006 and 2019 by Sector Sector 2006 MTCO2e 2019 MTCO2e Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Energy 5,900 2,640 -55% Commute 6,850 5,330 -22% Fleet 4,550 5,140 13% Solid waste 21,340 32,310 51% Water and wastewater 90 60 -33% Refrigerants* — 20 — Total 38,730 45,500 17% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. *Refrigerant activity data for 2006 was not available. County operations GHG emissions from each individual sector are described in more detail in the Appendix A, Technical Appendix, of this 2021 CAP. Energy Emissions As shown in Table 17, GHG emissions from County operations energy use totaled 2,640 MTCO2e in 2019, a decrease of 55 percent from 2006 levels. GHG emissions associated with building and facility electricity use, building and facility natural gas use, and electricity used for public lighting all decreased during this same period, by 62, 48, and 88 percent, respectively. This is primarily due to PG&E increasing its share of renewable sources of electricity along with County energy Solar shade at County facility parking lot 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 51 conservation and efficiency efforts. A decrease in kWh for building and facilities and public lighting (e.g., streetlights, traffic signals, and outdoor lighting at County-owned public facilities) is because of more energy-efficient appliances such as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) and LED lighting. Table 17. County Operations Energy Activity Data and GHG Emissions Subsector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Activity Data Building and facility electricity use (kWh) 13,310,570 9,607,510 -28% Public lighting electricity use (kWh) 329,530 80,580 -76% Building and facility natural gas use (therms) 577,560 298,240 -48% Emissions (MTCO2e) Building and facility electricity use 2,750 1,040 -62% Public lighting electricity use 3,070 1,590 -48% Building and facility natural gas use 80 10 -88% Total Overall Emissions 5,900 2,640 -55% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Employee Commute Emissions Commute GHG emissions are calculated in VMT, representing the annual miles driven by County employees to get to and from work. The data come from surveys of County employees conducted in 2006, which were then aggregated to 2019 based on the change in employees. Employee commutes were aggregated in place of conducting a new employee commute survey because of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. As shown in Table 18, annual GHG emissions from the commute sector decreased from 6,850 MTCO2e in 2006 to 5,330 MTCO2e in 2019, a 22-percent reduction. The drop in GHG emissions is driven by a decline in overall employee commute VMT along with increasingly fuel-efficient vehicles. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 52 || Butte County GHG Emissions Table 18. County Operations Employee Commute Activity Data and GHG Emissions Sector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Activity Data (VMT) Commute trips 15,800,790 14,839,930 -6% Emissions (MTCO2e) Commute trips 6,850 5,330 -22% Total Overall Emissions 6,850 5,330 -22% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Fleet Emissions Fleet data includes the gallons of gasoline and diesel associated with the County’s vehicle fleet. The County does not have any electric vehicles in its fleet; therefore, electric vehicles are not included in Table 19. Overall fleet GHG emissions increased from 4,550 MTCO2e in 2006 to 5,140 MTCO2e in 2019, an increase of 13 percent. This increase is due at least in part to the fact that the 2019 GHG inventory included emissions from County off-road equipment, whereas the 2006 inventory did not. Table 19. County Operations Fleet Activity Data and GHG Emissions Sector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Activity Data (Gallons) Fleet 471,730 566,800 20% Emissions (MTCO2e) Fleet 4,550 5,140 13% Total Overall Emissions 4,550 5,140 13% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 53 Solid Waste Emissions As shown in Table 20 County GHG emissions related to solid waste increased by 51 percent between 2006 and 2019. The primary reason for this increase is an increase in the amount of waste deposited at the Neal Road Landfill due to clean-up activities from the 2018 Camp Fire. As this facility is under County jurisdiction, changes in emissions are part of the County’s government operations emissions profile. There was a slight decline in the amount of waste produced as part of County government activities, which is likely due to a lower number of County employees (2,267 in 2006 compared to 2,129 in 2019). Table 20. County Operations Solid Waste Activity Data and GHG Emissions Subsector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Activity Data (Tons) Solid waste 20 19 -5% Waste in place 2,624,150 4,758,220 81% Emissions (MTCO2e) Alternative daily cover/ Municipal solid waste Less than 10 Less than 10 -9% Waste in place 21,330 32,300 51% Total Overall Emissions 21,340 32,300 51% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. * Activity data for the landfill subsector was not available. Water and Wastewater Emissions Water and wastewater GHG emissions decreased 33 percent from 2006 to 2019, as shown in Table 21. This is partially the result of fewer County employees in 2019 than in 2006, which resulted in reduced water use. Additionally, as sources of electricity became more renewable from 2006 to 2019, this resulted in a decrease in the GHG emissions associated with the energy needed to move and process water and wastewater. Oroville Reservoir 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 54 || Butte County GHG Emissions Table 21. County Operations Water and Wastewater Activity Data and GHG Emissions Subsector 2006 2019 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Activity Data (Million Gallons) Indirect water use 41 39 -5% Indirect wastewater* 16 15 -6% Emissions (MTCO2e) Indirect water use 20 10 -50% Indirect wastewater 10 Less than 10 -61% Direct wastewater 60 50 -17% Total Overall Emissions 90 60 -33% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. *Emissions data for direct wastewater is not available for 2006. Refrigerant Emissions GHG emissions associated with refrigerants were not reported in 2006. In 2019, a total of 30 pounds of refrigerant was used for a total of 20 MTCO2e. GHG EMISSIONS FORECAST The County prepared GHG emissions forecasts for community-wide emissions and County operations emissions for the years 2030, 2040, and 2050. These inventories are built off of the 2019 GHG inventories and serve as the foundation for the identified GHG emissions-reduction targets discussed later in this chapter. These forecasts use demographic projections to predict how an increase in populations and jobs in the county will contribute to an increase in emissions over time. The demographic data used to project emissions are described under the community-wide and County operations GHG forecast sections that follow. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 55 Community-wide GHG Forecast The community-wide forecast includes a projection of emissions from activities engaged in by residents of the community, such as driving a car, using power in their homes, or using water. The community-wide forecast of GHG emissions is based on the results of the 2019 community- wide GHG emissions inventory, combined with Butte County’s 2019 and future demographic projections. Table 22 shows the demographic projections used to prepare the community-wide GHG emissions forecast. These demographic projections are for the unincorporated county, which excludes incorporated areas, such as the cities of Chico, Oroville, Gridley, Biggs, and the Town of Paradise. Note that the existing demographic numbers come from the US Census and California Department of Finance while the demographic projections come from BCAG. These projections were used as the foundation of the forecast because they reflect work done by BCAG to assess how the population of the county has shifted following recent climate disasters such as wildfire. The forecast assumes that each person in the unincorporated county will continue to contribute the same amount of GHG emissions to the community total, so that the amount of GHG emissions changes proportionally to the projected change in community demographics. Table 23 shows forecasted community-wide GHG emissions. Relative to 2006 levels, unincorporated county GHG emissions are expected to increase 10 percent by 2050 when not accounting for emission changes from land use and sequestration. When accounting for land use and sequestration, GHG emissions would increase by 15 percent between 2006 and 2050. However, although GHG emissions when accounting for land use and sequestration would increase 15 percent over this period, these emissions remain below where they would be without the reductions afforded by land use and sequestration. These increases assume that no action is taken at any level, including by state, regional, and local agencies. BCAG is an organization made up of Butte County and the five incorporated communities in the county. It is the organization responsible for projecting population changes in Butte County and fairly allocating the region’s projected housing needs to individual jurisdictions. The population projections used in the 2021 CAP were developed in 2020 and are the same that are used to conduct housing planning in Butte County. In addition to these duties, Butte County is also responsible for planning for and securing funding for transportation projects in Butte County and administering the B-Line public transit service. Butte County Association of Governments 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 56 || Butte County GHG Emissions The solid waste and off-road equipment sectors show a significant increase in GHG emissions from the 2006 levels. This is primarily due to the 2018 Camp Fire. For solid waste-related GHG emissions, the 2018 Camp Fire resulted in a large increase in the tons of solid waste disposed of at the Neal Road Landfill, as a result of fire cleanup activities. This caused a significant increase in landfill-related GHG emissions, which will continue in future years as the debris from the 2018 Camp Fire slowly decomposes. The forecast assumes that the large increase in solid waste tonnage in 2019 was a one-time event rather than a future trend, and the forecast of future emissions in this sector is based on a multi-year average from 2015 to 2018 rather than the 2019 point-in-time data. Additionally, GHG emissions in the off-road equipment sector saw a large increase after 2019 due to the beginning of post-Camp Fire reconstruction efforts. The increased construction activity related to rebuilding is responsible for the large increase in off-road equipment GHG emissions seen in the 2030 forecast, and while the projected emissions decline after 2030, continued population growth is expected to keep off-road equipment GHG emissions well above 2006 levels. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 57 Table 22. Butte County Community-wide Demographic Projections 2006 2019 2030 2040 2050 Percentage Change 2006 to 2019 Relevant Sectors Population 89,410 76,930 85,490 91,460 97,830 9% Off-road equipment Households 34,980 29,510 37,530 40,370 43,410 24% Residential energy, off- road equipment Residents per household 2.56 2.61 2.28 2.27 2.25 -12% None Jobs 7,740 14,050 14,180 15,440 16,820 117% Nonresidential energy, off-road equipment Vehicle miles traveled 464,302,670 533,627,000 613,632,270 705,759,230 811,857,710 75% Transportation Service population* 97,150 90,980 99,670 106,900 114,650 18% Solid waste, water and wastewater, off-road equipment All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Demographic numbers are from US Census, the Department of Finance, and the Butte County Association of Governments, adjusted to account for proposed annexations. Vehicle miles traveled are derived from the Butte County Association of Governments Regional Travel Demand Forecasting Model, adopted in 2020. * Service population is the sum of populations and jobs. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 58 Table 23. Butte County Community-wide GHG Forecasted Emissions 2006 2019 2030 2040 2050 Percentage Change 2006 to 2050 Residential energy 133,350 90,720 119,070 127,760 137,140 3% Nonresidential energy 58,670 37,350 38,180 41,520 45,160 -23% Transportation 264,420 229,110 261,560 298,740 341,330 29% Solid waste 40,830 61,120 65,820 72,580 79,070 94% Water and wastewater 20,190 16,960 19,190 20,540 21,980 9% Agriculture * 521,650 501,620 501,620 501,620 501,620 -4% Off-road equipment 56,070 59,310 118,510 77,290 83,350 49% Total (without land use and sequestration) 1,095,190 996,190 1,123,950 1,140,050 1,209,650 10% Land use and sequestration ** -346,340 -346,330 -346,330 -346,330 -346,330 0% Total (with land use and sequestration) 748,850 649,860 777,620 793,720 863,320 15% Informational Items Stationary sources 3,960 108,259 108,259 108,259 108,259 - Fires *** 8,280 15,730 - - - - All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Note: Data shown for 2006 and 2019 reflect GHG emissions inventories and are provided as a reference to see change over time. The data shown for 2030, 2040, and 2050 are GHG emission forecasts that predict future emissions. The forecast numbers for 2030, 2040, and 2050 are based on projections from the 2019 inventory. * GHG emission projects for the agriculture and for the land use and sequestration sectors remains constant due to the variable nature of each sector and the activities within them. For example, annual amount of agricultural burning is highly variable, impacting overall GHG emissions from the agriculture sector and activities such as restoration efforts. As reliable forecasts of county-specific agricultural activity are not available, these emissions are held constant. ** The forecast assumes that new development in unincorporated areas will take place on infill sites or on previously developed land, such as reconstruction following wildfires, and that development occurring on previously undeveloped land will occur after annexation to an incorporated community. As a result, the forecast does not assume a change in the average annual amount of carbon sequestered by natural lands. *** Due to significant uncertainty about the amount of fire in any given year, emissions from fires are not forecasted. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 59 Annexations If any land currently in the unincorporated county is annexed during the forecast period, GHG emissions associated with the annexed area would be assigned to the jurisdiction that has annexed the land. As a result, annexations would cause a decrease in GHG emissions for unincorporated Butte County. County staff have spoken with individual jurisdictions and identified potential annexations that may occur by 2030. Table 24 shows these annexations, including the potential land acreage and dwelling units in the potential annexation areas. Because of the decrease in dwelling units, jobs, and other land use and demographic indicators, these annexations would cause future GHG emissions to be lower than those reported in Table 23. This includes land that is currently designated as agriculture or open space. As these lands are annexed and move from the unincorporated county to incorporated communities, both the emissions from agriculture and the emission sequestrations from open space decline as a result. However, because of the relatively small size of the areas proposed for annexation, the annexations do not have a substantial impact on total GHG emissions. Assuming all the annexations listed in Table 24 occur by 2030, unincorporated county GHG emissions are projected to increase to approximately 9 percent above 2006 levels by 2050 when not accounting for emission changes from land use and sequestration, and to 13 percent when accounting for these changes. Table 25 shows the results of the inventory with effects of annexation. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 60 Table 24. Potential Annexations in Butte County Community Annexation Existing Dwelling Units Non- residential Acres Existing Jobs * Agricultural Acres Agricultural Jobs ** Open Space Acres Biggs Phased Annexation Plan 28 *** - - 577.6 1 - Chico Island Annexation Plan 535 - - - - - Valley’s Edge - - - - - 1,448 North Chico 630 146 175 1,480 1 13 Gridley No planned annexations Oroville No planned annexations Paradise No planned annexations Total 1,193 146 175 2,057 2 1,461 All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. * Jobs are estimated using the average in the unincorporated county of approximately 1.2 jobs per acre of nonresidential non-agricultural land. ** Agricultural jobs are estimated using estimated average in the unincorporated county of 1 job per 990 agricultural acres. According to data from the Employment Development Department, agricultural jobs make up 3.47% of the region’s jobs, which translates to approximately 490 jobs in unincorporated Butte County in 2019. Geospatial analysis indicates approximately 483,000 acres of agricultural land in unincorporated Butte County, leading to a ratio of 1 agricultural job per 990 acres. Note that this acreage includes pastureland, fallow land, and all other land not designated as residential, commercial, public, resource conservation, or timber. Some agricultural areas will have a significantly higher number of jobs per acre. *** Estimated based on aerial photography of the proposed annexation area. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 61 Table 25. Butte County Community-wide Forecasted GHG Emissions with Annexations Sector 2006 INVENTORY MTCO2e* 2019 INVENTORY MTCO2e* 2030 MTCO2e 2040 MTCO2e 2050 MTCO2e Percentage Change 2006 to 2050 Residential energy 133,350 90,720 115,370 124,100 133,450 0% Nonresidential energy 58,670 37,350 37,820 41,140 44,740 -24% Transportation 170,310 229,110 250,990 269,200 288,720 52% Solid waste 40,840 61,120 64,990 71,750 78,250 92% Water and wastewater 20,190 16,960 18,580 19,930 21,370 6% Agriculture 521,650 501,620 499,560 499,560 499,560 -4% Off-road equipment 56,070 59,310 117,380 76,140 82,250 47% Total (without land use and sequestration) 1,095,190 996,190 1,104,690 1,101,820 1,148,340 9% Land use and sequestration -346,330 -346,330 -345,010 -345,010 -345,010 Less than 1% Total (with land use and sequestration) 748,860 649,860 759,680 756,810 803,330 13% Informational Items Stationary sources** 3,960 - - - - - Fires † 8,280 15,730 - - - - All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. 2006 GHG emissions are provided as a reference to see change over time. The forecast numbers for 2030, 2040, and 2050 are based on projections from the 2019 inventory. * Data shown for 2006 and 2019 reflect GHG emissions inventories and are provided as a reference to see change over time. The data shown for 2030, 2040, and 2050 are GHG emission forecasts that predict future emissions. The forecast numbers for 2030, 2040, and 2050 are based on projections from the 2019 inventory. ** Due to limited data availability, stationary source emissions are not available for 2019. † Due to significant uncertainty about the amount of fire in any given year, emissions from fires are not forecasted. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 62 County Operations Demographic Projections The County operations forecast of GHG emissions is based on the results of the 2019 County operations GHG emissions inventory, combined with Butte County’s 2019 and future demographic projections. While 2019 is the base year for the forecast projections, the 2006 GHG inventory is the baseline inventory for the entire 2021 CAP and its targets. Table 26 shows the number of anticipated employees per year that were used to prepare the County operations GHG emissions forecast. Table 26. County Operations Demographic Projections 2006 2019 2030 2040 2050 Percentage Change 2006 to 2050 County employees 2,270 2,130 2,250 2,350 2,460 8% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. County employee numbers are from County reports. Relative to 2006 levels, the County’s operational GHG emissions are expected to increase 67 percent by 2050. These increases assume that no action is taken at any level, including by state, regional, and local agencies. The forecast assumes that each County employee will continue to contribute the same amount of GHG emissions to the County total, so that the amount of GHG emissions increases proportional to the projected increase in County employees. Table 27 shows forecasted County operations GHG emissions. Butte County government campus 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Butte County GHG Emissions || Page 63 Table 27. Butte County’s County Operations GHG Emissions 2006 INVENTORY MTCO2e* 2019 INVENTORY MTCO2e* 2030 MTCO2e 2040 MTCO2e 2050 MTCO2e Percentage Change 2006 to 2050 Energy 5,900 2,640 2,790 2,910 3,050 -48% Commute 6,850 5,330 5,630 5,880 6,160 -10% Fleet 4,550 5,140 5,430 5,670 5,940 31% Solid waste 21,340 32,310 40,050 44,990 49,550 132% Water and wastewater 90 60 60 70 70 -22% Refrigerants** - 20 20 20 - - Total 38,730 45,500 53,980 59,540 64,770 67% All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. * Data shown for 2006 and 2019 reflect GHG emissions inventories and are provided as a reference to see change over time. The data shown for 2030, 2040, and 2050 are GHG emission forecasts that predict future emissions. The forecast numbers for 2030, 2040, and 2050 are based on projections from the 2019 inventory. ** Due to limited data availability, refrigerant emissions are not available for 2006. Similar to the community-wide forecast, the solid waste sector saw unusually high 2019 activity data because of debris from the 2018 Camp Fire deposited at the Neal Road Landfill facility. This caused a significant increase in landfill-related GHG emissions, which is reflected in the Solid Waste sector for County operations since the County operates this facility. The forecast assumes that the large increase in solid waste tonnage in 2019 was a one-time event rather than a future trend, and the forecast of future emissions in this sector is based on a multi-year average from 2015 to 2018 rather than the 2019 point-in-time data. However, since the waste has already been deposited in the landfill, it continues to result in high GHG emissions through 2050 as it slowly decomposes. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 64 || Butte County GHG Emissions This page intentionally left blank. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 GHG Reduction Targets || Page 65 GHG REDUCTION TARGETS BACKGROUND Establishing GHG emission reduction targets is a key component of each CAP to ensure that a jurisdiction has a number to strive towards as they implement GHG reduction strategies. The strategies and actions adopted as part of a CAP are often written in a manner that is quantifiable, to ensure that each action the jurisdiction takes can be measured for its performance in advancing that jurisdiction to their adopted GHG emission reduction goal. Jurisdictions can choose to adopt GHG emission reduction targets that match state guidance or can elect to increase reduction targets to accelerate action at a local level. 2014 CAP GHG REDUCTION TARGETS Butte County’s 2014 CAP established a GHG emission reduction target of 15 percent below 2006 levels by 2020, consistent with the guidance for local governments in the first Climate Change Scoping Plan. Table 28 shows these targets and their equivalent emissions. The reduction target was also projected to reflect the timeline of the Butte County 2040 General Plan, resulting in an additional reduction target of 42 percent below 2006 levels by 2030, which uses the 15-percent reduction target by 2020 as an interim target. However, the 2014 CAP’s reduction target is less stringent than the updated 2030 reduction target proposed under Executive Order S-03-05. Table 28. Butte County’s Adopted GHG Emission Reduction Targets and Equivalent Emissions Target MTCO2e 2006 levels 748,850 2020 Target: 15% below 2006 levels (equivalent to 1990 levels) 636,520 2030 Target: 42% below 2006 levels (or approximately 32% below 2020 target) 434,330 All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. These targets are based on Butte County’s 2006 community-wide emissions total of 748,850 MTCO2e. These emission totals include the emissions sequestered in natural lands and the reduction in emissions from annexation of unincorporated land. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 66 || GHG Reduction Targets As stated in Chapter 2, the County updated its 2006 community-wide GHG emissions inventory as part of this 2021 CAP, using new datasets and current best practices to ensure the amount of 2006 community-wide emissions were as accurate as possible. This update concluded that unincorporated community-wide GHG emissions in 2006 were 748,850 MTCO2e, as shown in Table 28. As shown in Table 6, community-wide GHG emissions totaled 649,870 MTCO2e in 2019, a 13- percent reduction in GHG emissions between 2006 and 2019. Further, Table 16 indicates that GHG emissions from County operations increased by approximately 17 percent between 2006 and 2019, climbing from 38,730 MTCO2e to 45,500 MTCO2e. The decrease in community-wide emissions was substantial but fell short of the 2014 CAP’s goal of reducing GHG emissions 15 percent below 2006 levels by 2020. Emissions from County operations rose by 17 percent instead of decreasing as targeted by the 2014 CAP. This is largely due to unique circumstances in Butte County that create barriers to achieving GHG reduction targets. For instance, debris from catastrophic wildfires are deposited into the Neal Road Landfill, located in the county, which significantly increases the emissions generated from the solid waste sector, as discussed further in Chapter 2. The 2021 CAP does not contain an inventory for the calendar year 2020 as a way of confirming the County’s progress toward the 2020 target in the 2014 CAP. This is partially due to the timing of the 2021 CAP process, but also because of the COVID-19 pandemic, which significantly altered behavior and GHG emissions starting in March 2020. The impacts of the pandemic mean that 2020 and 2021 GHG inventories are likely not representative of “normal” GHG emissions, and so are less useful in showing long-term reductions. 2021 CAP GHG REDUCTION TARGETS State Targets and Recommendations As stated in the Regulatory Framework in Chapter 1 of this 2021 CAP, the state has set GHG reduction targets to:  Reduce 2030 emissions 40 percent below 1990 levels, codified into law by SB 32 in 2016.  Achieve carbon-neutral emissions by 2045, established (and not yet codified into law) by Executive Order B-55-18.  Reduce 2050 emissions 80 percent below 1990 levels, established (and not yet codified into law) by Executive Order S-03-05. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 GHG Reduction Targets || Page 67 The Scoping Plan, also described in the Regulatory Framework section of Chapter 1, provides recommendations for local plan-level GHG reductions, expressed in per-capita form. Per-capita targets establish a level of GHG emissions by a certain year per person, either for every resident (most common use of per capita) or for every resident plus everyone who works in the community (referred to as service population). These targets are usually expressed as a numeric level of GHG emissions per person (for example, 4 MTCO2e per resident). Unlike absolute targets, the total level of GHG emission reductions specified by per-capita targets varies depending on the level of future demographic change. The Scoping Plan recommends per-capita targets as follows:  Reduce 2030 emissions to 6.0 MTCO2e per capita.  Reduce 2050 emissions to 2.0 MTCO2e per capita. These targets are based on the state targets and goals in SB 32 and Executive Order S-03-05, discussed previously. California’s statewide target of 40 percent below 1990 levels by 2030 translates to 260 million MTCO2e. The state is projected to be home to approximately 44 million residents in 2030, resulting in an average of approximately 6.0 MTCO2e per person. Similarly, the statewide goal of 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050 translates to 86 million MTCO2e. California is projected to have approximately 49 million residents in 2050, resulting in an average of approximately 2.0 MTCO2e per person. Since the statewide per-capita targets are based on the statewide GHG emissions inventory that includes all emissions sectors in the state, the Scoping Plan notes it is appropriate for local jurisdictions to derive evidence-based local per-capita targets based on local emissions sectors and population projections that are consistent with the framework used to develop the statewide per-capita targets. The resulting GHG emissions trajectory should show a downward trend consistent with the statewide objectives. Butte County Targets As shown in the GHG Emissions Forecast section of Chapter 2, GHG emissions from community- wide activities and County operations are anticipated to increase as the county continues to grow. Table 6 shows community-wide emissions forecasted to increase 13 percent by 2050 relative to 2006 levels (when accounting for emission reductions associated with land use and sequestration) while Table 27 shows that GHG emissions from County operations are projected to increase 67 percent. These emissions, which are considered a “business-as-usual” scenario, would not meet the targets set in the 2014 CAP and would not meet current minimum state targets. Further, these forecasted emissions would not meet the established GHG reduction 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 68 || GHG Reduction Targets targets in this 2021 CAP, as shown on Figure 6. Table 29 shows GHG emission reduction targets in other regional communities. Table 29. Regional GHG Emission Reduction Targets Community 2030 Target 2035 Target 2040 Target 2045 Target 2050 Target Chico 45% below 1990 levels (2.76 MTCO2e per resident) - - Net carbon neutral - Davis * - - Net carbon neutral - - Placer County 6.0 MTCO2e per resident - - - 2.0 MTCO2e per resident Sacramento County * 4.8 MTCO2e per resident - - - - Shasta County - 49% below baseline levels - - - Yuba City - 49% below baseline levels - - - * At the time of writing, these targets are part of in-progress climate action planning projects that have not yet been adopted. The per-capita targets discussed previously (6.0 MTCO2e per person by 2030 and 2.0 MTCO2e per person by 2050) are relevant and appropriate for Butte County, and are the targets set forth in this 2021 CAP. The County is also setting forth an interim target of 4.0 MTCO2e per person by 2040. In addition to these targets, the Scoping Plan notes it is appropriate for local jurisdictions to derive evidence-based local per-capita targets based on local emissions sectors and population projections that are consistent with the framework used to develop the statewide per-capita targets. The resulting GHG emissions trajectory should show a downward trend consistent with the statewide objectives. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 GHG Reduction Targets || Page 69 The County established additional per-capita GHG reduction “reach goals” for the target years 2040 and 2050 that are meant to encourage greater reductions. These reach goals follow the process used by the State to calculate its per-person recommended targets. The State calculated these targets by calculating the GHG emission levels of the absolute targets and then dividing these levels by the statewide population projections. The 1990 emissions level, and by extension the per-capita targets that are ultimately derived from them, include all sources of GHG emissions in California. The County intends to continue using the GHG emission reduction targets in the 2021 CAP to streamline the environmental review process for new development projects. However, some of the sources of California’s GHG emissions, such as petroleum refining and oil/gas extraction, do not occur in the county, and therefore not using these GHG emission sources as a foundation for the County’s GHG emission-reduction efforts allow for the preparation of locally appropriate reach goals. Table 30 shows a comparison between the State-recommended targets that serve as Butte County’s minimum reduction targets and the adjusted reach goals. Table 30. Butte County’s Per-Capita GHG Targets and Reach Goals 2006 2019 2030 2040 2050 Community-wide GHG emissions (MTCO2e, absolute) 748,860 649,850 763,830 779,480 848,610 Residents 89,410 76,930 85,490 91,460 97,830 Community-wide GHG emissions (MTCO2e, per-capita) * 8.38 8.45 8.93 8.52 8.67 GHG target (MTCO2e, per-capita) - - 6.0 4.0 2.0 Reach goal (MTCO2e, per-capita) - - 6.0 3.6 1.2 * Although total community-wide emissions decreased 13 percent from 2006 to 2019, the number of residents in the unincorporated area decreased 14 percent due to annexations and migrations from wildfires. As a result, per-capita emissions increased slightly from 2006 to 2019. The County determined appropriate per-capita GHG emission reduction reach goals by taking the State per-capita targets and removing sectors that are not applicable to the community, as shown in Table 31. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 70 || GHG Reduction Targets Table 31. Butte County’s Per-Capita GHG Reach Goal Calculation Approach 2030 2040 2050 Absolute emissions level, applicable sectors only † 268.5 million MTCO2e ‡ 162.75 million MTCO2e 57 million MTCO2e § Statewide population projections 43,939,250 residents 46,508,166 residents 49,077,081 residents Absolute emissions level, applicable sectors only, translated to per- capita levels 6.0 MTCO2e per person ǁ 3.6 MTCO2e per person 1.2 MTCO2e per person State forecasting does not include GHG projections for 2040. The values shown here are linear interpolations between the 2030 and 2050 values. † This excludes the oil and gas refining and petroleum extraction sectors. See Appendix A for details on how these levels are established. ‡ From the Pathways scenario in the Scoping Plan. § Estimated by reducing all sectors of the state’s 1990 GHG emissions inventory by 80 percent. ǁ The calculation yields 6.1 MTCO2e per person, but it is rounded down to 6.0 to maintain consistency with Scoping Plan guidance. This is because the absolute emission level of applicable sectors does not factor in anticipated reductions from the cap-and-trade program. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 GHG Reduction Targets || Page 71 Figure 6. Gap Between Forecasted Emissions and Reduction Targets Figure 6 shows the County’s baseline emissions, forecasted emissions, and emissions target, revealing a reduction gap to be addressed by this 2021 CAP. It is important to note that the County and its community can work to achieve and exceed these GHG reduction targets and that these targets serve as a foundation for emission reductions as mandated by state regulations. The County is committed to pursuing more aggressive GHG emissions reduction opportunities, as feasible, and as they may arise, which may allow for a more rapid decrease in community-wide GHG emissions. Chapters 4 and 5 detail how the County will reduce emissions to achieve its targets. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2006 2019 2030 2040 2050 MT C O 2e p e r c a p i t a Baseline Forecasted emissions Emissions target Emissions to be reduced by existing and new GHG reduction strategies 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 72 || GHG Reduction Targets This page intentionally left blank. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Existing GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 73 EXISTING GHG REDUCTION STRATEGIES There are several ways in which GHG emissions, as discussed in Chapters 1 through 3, can be reduced over time. States, counties, cities, regional agencies, non-profit organizations, businesses, and each individual can work together or separately to run projects and programs that either reduce GHG emissions before they are released, or to work towards sequestering carbon once it is in the atmosphere. This chapter explores initiatives that local and state agencies are undertaking to reduce GHG emissions in and around Butte County. Chapter 5 will discuss new GHG reductions strategies that are specific to Butte County. CALCULATING CREDIT This 2021 CAP uses a process called quantification to determine the amount of GHG emissions reduced by each strategy. The foundation for the quantification calculations is the baseline GHG inventories and forecast. Activity data from the inventory, such as VMT or kWh, are combined with participation rates and data about the reduction in activity data from each action to calculate the GHG reduction benefit of each strategy. This approach ensures that the GHG reductions from the 2021 CAP strategies are tied to current and future activities that are actually occurring in the community. Calculations for reduction in activity data come from tools and reports provided by government agencies; these agencies include the U. S. EPA, the California Energy Commission, CARB, the California Air Pollution Control Officers Association, the United States Department of Energy, and local air districts. If accurate data are not available through these sources, the quantification uses case studies from comparable communities and applicable scholarly research. The project team was able to identify GHG reductions for most of the strategies in this 2021 CAP. However, there are a few that do not have a specific reduction level due to missing data or the lack of a reliable method. These efforts are still expected to reduce GHG emissions, but the level cannot be accurately determined. These strategies are labeled as “supportive.” 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 74 || Existing GHG Emission Strategies Renewable Energy Emissions Reductions in 2050 Strategies that only reduce electricity use or increase renewable electricity supplies will show zero GHG reductions in 2050. This is because all electricity sold in California must be carbon- free by 2045, as required by the state’s Renewables Portfolio Standard (RPS). Since there will already be no emissions from electricity use in 2050, the County cannot count additional reductions associated with electricity in this year. This 2021 CAP already credits reductions from the RPS as an existing state program. Local renewable energy systems and energy-efficiency strategies will continue to provide several co-benefits to the community, including lower electricity bills and increased resiliency against power disruptions, even if there are no measurable additional GHG reductions. PROGRESS TOWARDS 2021 CAP GHG REDUCTION GOALS To understand the level of action necessary to achieve the County’s reduction targets, this 2021 CAP analyzes existing, planned, and future actions. By first looking at past accomplishments, the County can understand progress achieved and outstanding opportunities while looking at state initiatives, which may result in further GHG reductions on a local level. Existing and current efforts provide a foundation for this 2021 CAP. The GHG reductions from past and current activities help inform the creation of new GHG reduction strategies to reduce GHG emissions even further. These new strategies can further close the gap between projected GHG emission levels and the reduction targets, and guide development and implementation of future programs. Together, these efforts serve as the County’s multipronged strategy to achieve reduction targets. State Initiatives to Reduce GHG Emissions California has adopted and committed to implementing policies to decrease GHG emissions statewide, including from several of the major GHG emission sectors present in Butte County. Many of these policies are identified in California’s Climate Change Scoping Plan, which was originally adopted in 2008 in response to the California Global Warming Solutions Act. As mentioned in the Regulatory Framework section in Chapter 1, the Scoping Plan outlines several regulatory and market-based solutions to achieving California’s GHG emission reduction goals. Successive updates to the Scoping Plan in 2014 and 2017 revised these state actions and identified additional opportunities for GHG emission reductions, as applicable.2 2 The California Scoping Plan was undergoing an update at the time of this 2021 CAP publication. Release of the updated Scoping Plan is anticipated to be released in 2022. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Existing GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 75 While the Scoping Plan and related documents lay out several policies to reduce GHG emissions, the 2021 CAP focuses on the strategies that have most direct and apparent benefits to Butte County. This 2021 CAP includes an assessment of the county’s community-wide local GHG emission reduction benefits from these efforts, allowing the community to receive “credit” for the state’s efforts. These efforts are:  The RPS that requires increases in renewable electricity supplies.  The Clean Car Standards that require increased fuel efficiency of on-road vehicles and decreased carbon intensity of vehicle fuels.  The updated Title 24 building energy-efficiency standards that require new buildings to achieve increased energy- efficiency targets.  The Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) that mandates reduced carbon intensity of fuels used in off-road equipment. The Innovative Clean Transit Regulations, or zero-emission bus mandates, requiring public transit buses to reduce and ultimately eliminate tailpipe emissions. Local Initiatives to Reduce GHG Emissions Unincorporated community-wide GHG emissions are further reduced through local initiatives. There are three local efforts that are expected to reduce GHG emissions:  Rooftop solar installations.  Adoption of electric vehicles.  Increased capture of landfill gases at the Neal Road Landfill. As with the state-level policies, the 2021 CAP assesses the strategies that have the most direct and apparent benefit to the county’s GHG emissions. The County and local partners have programs that contribute to reduce GHG emissions but the data to assess these reductions is not available. This includes improvements to agricultural practices, such as the use of more energy-efficient rice dryers, efforts to improve the sequestration potential of soils, and adoption of more fuel-efficient agricultural equipment. The County and local partners have also California updates the statewide Building Standards Code (Title 24), including energy efficiency standards, every three years. This CAP was prepared with the 2019 standards in effect. The next update, the 2022 standards, goes into effect on January 1, 2023. According to the California Energy Commission’s impact analysis of the 2019 standards, a single-family home built to the 2019 standards uses almost 80 percent less electricity and 10 percent less natural gas than one built to the previous 2016 standards. Businesses also see significant savings under these updated standards, including using 11 percent less electricity and saving over $18,000 over the lifetime of the building in lower energy bills. Title 24 Standards 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 76 || Existing GHG Emission Strategies completed other efforts, which are not listed here, that may not directly reduce GHG emissions in a measurable way but still contribute to progress on overall climate action. Wrap Up of Progress Towards GHG Reduction Goals As part of the 2021 CAP, the County updated the 2006 GHG emissions inventory to be consistent with current guidance and best available data, prepared GHG emissions inventories for the year 2019, and forecasted GHG emissions for 2030, 2040, and 2050. Based on the work completed to date, the county’s emissions are expected to change as follows.  Inventoried 2019 GHG emissions were 649,850 MTCO2e, or 8.45 MTCO2e per capita. This is 13 percent below baseline levels, close to the 2020 GHG emission reduction target.  Forecasted GHG emissions, factoring in GHG emissions reductions from existing and planned state, regional, and local efforts, are estimated to be:  10 percent below 2006 baseline levels by 2030, or 8.04 MTCO2e per capita.  16 percent below 2006 baseline levels by 2040, or 7.11 MTCO2e per capita.  14 percent below 2006 baseline levels by 2050, or 6.82 MTCO2e per capita. Table 32 shows unincorporated county historic and projected future GHG emissions, revised as part of this 2021 CAP. Table 32. Butte County Historic and Projected Future Per-Capita GHG Emissions 2006 MTCO2e “Baseline” 2019 MTCO2e 2030 MTCO2e 2040 MTCO2e 2050 MTCO2e Inventoried GHG emissions 8.38 8.45 - - - Forecasted GHG emissions without existing and planned actions - - 8.93 8.52 8.67 Forecasted GHG emissions with existing and planned actions - - 8.04 7.11 6.82 All numbers are rounded to the nearest 10. Totals may not equal the sum of individual rows. Note: Existing and planned actions include anticipated annexations. Although GHG emissions declined from 2006 to 2019, the unincorporated population declined by a greater percentage, hence per-capita emissions increased over this period. Sierra Nevada Brewing campus solar panels 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 New GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 77 NEW GHG REDUCTION STRATEGIES A central goal of the 2021 CAP is to achieve additional GHG reductions to work toward the County’s 2030 and 2050 reduction targets, recognizing that the reduction strategies in the 2014 CAP are insufficient to meet these reductions. To identify these additional reductions, the 2021 CAP project team began with the GHG reduction strategies in the County’s 2014 CAP. Some of these strategies have been fully implemented and do not need to be carried forward into the 2021 CAP. Others are still applicable and can be revised or expanded to achieve additional GHG reductions. There are also opportunities to add entirely new strategies to address new and emerging issues not covered in the 2014 CAP. The project team based the revised and new GHG reduction strategies on several sources, including:  Past and recent GHG inventories and forecast.  The existing and planned state, regional, and local accomplishments.  Discussions with County staff to identify past successes and challenges, plans and opportunities, and goals and priorities related to GHG reduction efforts.  Conversations and feedback from community stakeholders, partner agencies, and local organizations.  Comments and results from various community outreach techniques, including community workshops and online surveys. Based on the results of this process, the project team outlined several goals that guide strategy and action language. A total of 6 sector-specific goals were identified, with a total of 15 strategies split between them. These strategies include a mix of education and outreach programs to encourage GHG reduction activities, financial subsidies, and other enticements to incentivize GHG reductions, and mandates to require GHG efforts. These 15 strategies are organized into 6 sectors (energy, water and wastewater, transportation and land use, solid waste, agriculture, and government operations). Each sector includes one goal, as follows: 1. Energy: Butte County is home to energy-efficient and resilient homes, businesses, and operations that rely on carbon-free electricity or other low-carbon, clean energy sources. 2. Water and wastewater: Homes, businesses, and operations throughout the unincorporated county practice sustainable and efficient indoor and outdoor water use. 3. Transportation and land use: Residents, workers, and visitors rely on a low carbon, connected, and efficient transportation network that provides equitable access to motorized and non-motorized mobility options. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 78 || New GHG Emission Strategies 4. Solid waste: Butte County residents, businesses, and visitors minimize waste sent to the landfill. 5. Agriculture: Butte County is a state leader in maximizing the efficiency and sustainability of natural and working lands countywide. 6. Government operations: Butte County is an established leader in rural climate action and GHG reduction. Each strategy entry includes a description, the anticipated 2030 and 2050 GHG reductions achieved by the strategy at the projected performance level, and the recommended actions necessary to implement it. Note that emission reductions change depending on whether the proposed Butte Choice Energy (BCE) community choice aggregation (CCA) proceeds as planned. For purposes of calculating progress, the County has elected to quantify the strategies both with and without the implementation of BCE, as shown in Strategies 1 through 5, Strategy 8, and Strategy 15 in the following sections. Establishing BCE as the default electricity provider for Butte County would provide an energy portfolio with a greater proportion of renewable and carbon-free electricity for the unincorporated county, which would reduce the emissions generated by energy use. Cleaner energy leads to a lower GHG emissions-reduction potential for the energy strategies in this 2021 CAP. Accordingly, to avoid overcounting GHG reductions from renewable energy and energy-efficiency strategies, GHG reductions for affected strategies are presented both with and without implementation of BCE, recognizing the reduced GHG impact from a cleaner energy source. Each strategy entry also identifies the co-benefits of the strategy, which are advantages provided by the strategy beyond GHG reduction. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 New GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 79 The 14 co-benefits are listed here, along with the number of strategies each co-benefit supports: Expands Alternative Energy Improves Air Quality Improves Habitability Improves Mobility Supports 2 strategies Supports 7 strategies Supports 4 strategies Supports 4 strategies Improves Public Health Preserves Resources Promotes Cost Savings Promotes Equity Supports 4 strategies Supports 12 strategies Supports 11 strategies Supports 3 strategies Provides Educational Opportunities Reduces Water Use Supports Agriculture Supports Business Supports 6 strategies Supports 2 strategies Supports 4 strategies Supports 4 strategies Supports Community Resiliency to Climate Change Supports New Technology Supports 3 strategies Supports 2 strategies 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 80 || New GHG Emission Strategies Energy Sector Butte County is home to energy-efficient and resilient homes, businesses, and operations that rely on carbon-free electricity or other low-carbon, clean energy sources. Strategy 1 Continue efforts to promote energy conservation and efficiency opportunities for all residents, building/property owners, and renters in the unincorporated county, including support and promotion of programs for lower-income and disadvantaged populations. Table 33. Strategy 1 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction without BCE (MTCO2e) 15,420 20,360 15,550 GHG reduction with BCE (MTCO2e) 15,200 20,050 15,550 Strategy 1 Actions 1a. Promote known energy conservation and opportunities on an ongoing basis, including webpages and initiatives from state and regional agencies. 1b. Work with the California Department of Housing and Community Development to provide increased awareness of weatherization, and other energy-efficiency and conservation incentive programs, for those living in low-income housing stock, including mobile home park owners and renting tenants, through direct outreach to property owners, direct mailings to residents, and booths at community events, among other such outreach activities. 1c. Participate in available and future programs to advertise existing low-cost financing and provide additional low-cost financing for energy retrofits in the unincorporated county, including Community Development Block Grants (CDBG) for low-income households, Property Assessed Clean Energy (PACE) financing, and other available resources as applicable, to supplement available rebates from programs such as Energy Upgrade California and the California Home Energy Retrofit Opportunity (HERO) program. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 New GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 81 1d. Work with North Valley Energy Watch to identify ways that the County can help promote ENERGY STAR or energy-efficient appliance upgrades in owner- and renter-occupied units, such as through County outreach materials, including existing home improvement programs, rebate programs, and program monitoring. 1e. Expand the distribution of free or subsidized energy efficiency and conservation toolkits, devices, and services to residents and businesses countywide through existing opportunities, such as the Butte County Library DIY Home Energy Saving Toolkits. 1f. Engage with tenants and owners of multifamily homes through mailers and the County website to promote energy-efficiency upgrades and to discuss available incentives and rebates. 1g. Create an inventory of multifamily buildings in the unincorporated county that were constructed prior to 1980 and engage with the owners of the buildings to promote energy-efficiency upgrades. Improves Habitability Preserves Resources Promotes Cost Savings Promotes Equity Butte Choice Energy (BCE) is a Community Choice Aggregation (CCA), a program that allows governmental agencies to purchase and/or generate electricity for residents and businesses in the service area. Once BCE is formed, it will purchase and/or generate electricity for customers, delivered through existing PG&E transmission lines. The BCE process began in 2019 when the Butte County Board of Supervisors and the Chico City Council entered into a Joint Powers Authority agreement to create the BCE Authority. The goal is to launch BCE service in 2024 to serve the unincorporated county, the City of Chico, and the City of Oroville. Butte Choice Energy 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 82 || New GHG Emission Strategies Strategy 2 Continue efforts to promote energy conservation and efficiency opportunities for all nonresidential uses in the unincorporated county, including County facilities, office space, commercial space, and industrial space. Table 34. Strategy 2 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction without BCE (MTCO2e) 4,100 4,980 940 GHG reduction with BCE (MTCO2e) 3,800 4,530 940 Strategy 2 Actions 2a. Partner with workforce training programs, such as Valley Contractors Exchange, to facilitate training programs to provide expert advice on energy-efficient remodels and additions, and to ensure local contractors are kept up-to-date on local code requirements and energy-efficient appliances and devices. 2b. Develop a voluntary educational program and business inventory webpage to identify energy- and cost-saving opportunities at local businesses, and aid businesses in making retrofits. 2c. Develop a County webpage that highlights local businesses completing retrofits and saving energy. 2d. Support third-party energy-efficiency assessors and contractors to provide free to low- cost equipment to eligible businesses and large energy users. 2e. Increase energy educational resources at school districts by working with the Butte County Office of Education. 2f. Work with large energy users such as industrial complexes to identify the source of energy use and work on ways to reduce energy use or make it more efficient. 2g. Develop a "Butte County Badge" recognition program for participating businesses, homeowners, and property groups. Improves Habitability Preserves Resources Promotes Cost Savings Provides Educational Opportunities 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 New GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 83 Strategy 3 Work with property owners and property management groups to increase overall building electrification and adoption of modern, efficient appliances in residential rental properties. Table 35. Strategy 3 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction without BCE (MTCO2e) 13,570 33,660 60,960 GHG reduction with BCE (MTCO2e) 13,670 33,880 60,960 Strategy 3 Actions 3a. Continue to implement required Building Standards Codes. 3b. Provide incentives for installation of all-electric appliances in new residential construction and remodels through partnerships with existing and future community partners. 3c. Explore and adopt, as feasible, local building code amendments requiring replacement of natural gas space and water heaters with electric models at end of life during the 2022 and successive Buildings Standards Code updates. 3d. Identify and remove existing code, permitting, or other County requirements that provide barriers to all-electric conversions of existing homes and businesses and consider incentives, such as permit streamlining or fee reductions, as feasible. 3f. Promote and support opportunities for residents to test electric equipment, such as portable induction cooktops, to encourage transitioning from gas to electric appliances. Preserves Resources Provides Educational Opportunities Supports New Technology Changes expected to be released as part of the 2022 California Building Code include: -At least one appliance for heating in most new homes and buildings will be powered with electricity. -First in the country to make heat pumps the baseline technology. -Increases ventilation standards for gas stoves. 2022 Building Code 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 84 || New GHG Emission Strategies Strategy 4 Support efforts to increase renewable and carbon-free energy generation, including wind, solar, and biomass, and to ensure customer access to such renewable energy. Table 36. Strategy 4 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction without BCE (MTCO2e) 3,910 5,110 0 GHG reduction with BCE (MTCO2e) 11,460 10,800 0 Strategy 4 Actions 4a. Develop and implement programs that incentivize residents to replace old wood- and propane-burning space heaters with modern, efficient, and low- carbon appliances where feasible, while ensuring that access to alternative heating is maintained. 4b. Promote and incentivize small-scale, on-site renewable energy and storage systems for existing residential units, nonresidential buildings, and in the agricultural sector. 4c. Conduct community outreach and education to increase awareness of the benefits of installing solar, including direct outreach through mailers and electronic communication, or passive outreach such as flyers and billboards. 4d. Engage with stakeholders to confirm the County’s review and permitting process for small-scale on- site residential solar photovoltaic (PV) systems is transparent, predictable, and streamlined and improve the permitting process, as needed. 4e. Continue to implement and periodically update the Butte County Utility-Scale Solar Guide, and work to aid property owners and applicable community and business members in installing and maintaining solar PV. 4f. Require on-site solar PV systems and/or energy storage for nonresidential buildings 10,000 square feet or greater. 4g. Encourage all new discretionary multifamily, mixed-use, and residential projects to achieve zero net energy using on-site renewable energy and high-efficiency construction. The Board of Supervisors adopted the Butte Utility-Scale Solar Guide in 2017 as a valuable resource for location and development of utility-scale solar facilities in the unincorporated county. The guide includes the County’s vision for utility-scale solar facility development, guiding principles, detail on the entitlement process, opportunities and constraints, recommended standards and design guidelines, and mapping tool, and trends and approaches. Butte Utility-Scale Solar Guide 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 New GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 85 4h. Offer expedited processing for developers providing on-site solar, such as participants in the state’s Homebuyer Solar Program, and consider adopting a fast-track permitting process. 4i. Encourage all new discretionary multifamily developments to offer solar options or provide off-site power purchase agreements, following the Homebuyer Solar Program. 4j. Support the introduction and rollout of Butte Choice Energy, the County’s community choice aggregation program. 4k. Research and consider implementing an incentive program to encourage community members to transition to carbon-free energy sources. 4l. Work with PG&E on its efforts to prepare the community for power outages through battery storage programs and incentives, including the Self-Generation Incentive Program and related energy resilience efforts. 4m. Work with community stakeholders and other partners to explore opportunities to provide financial incentives to residents and business owners purchasing small-scale on-site battery energy storage systems for existing development. 4n. Install back-up power sources at key community facilities, prioritizing solar panels, battery storage, and microgrid systems where feasible, with fossil fuel generators being used only as a last resort. 4o. Support efforts to reduce regulatory barriers to microgrids at the state level, such as submitting letters of legislative support, among other tactics. Expands Alternative Energy Preserves Resources Promotes Cost Savings Provides Educational Opportunities Supports Community Resiliency to Climate Change Supports New Technology 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 86 || New GHG Emission Strategies Water and Wastewater Sector Homes, businesses, and operations throughout the unincorporated county practice sustainable and efficient indoor and outdoor water use. Strategy 5 Continue efforts to promote water conservation for all residents, building/property owners, and businesses in the unincorporated county, including support and promotion of programs for lower-income and disadvantaged populations, and large water users. Table 37. Strategy 5 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction without BCE (MTCO2e) 670 1,660 2,510 GHG reduction with BCE (MTCO2e) 650 1,630 2,510 Strategy 5 Actions 5a. In partnership with the water providers and agencies, encourage homeowners and property owners to replace inefficient water fixtures and appliances and fixtures with modern, efficient models. 5b. Publicize available incentives and low-cost solutions to water-efficiency retrofits in existing buildings. 5c. Require new development projects to exceed minimum state water-efficiency requirements, when available, for new water fixtures. 5d. Work with local jurisdictions and water providers to explore the feasibility of grey water and recycled water systems in urban areas within the county and explore opportunities to design and incorporate rainwater catchment and grey water systems and the use of grey water for outdoor irrigation in existing and new development. 5e. Work with operators of county wastewater treatment facilities to provide treated wastewater to homeowners for non-potable water uses such as watering landscaping. 5f. Develop a native, drought-tolerant, and fire-resistant landscaping list and require new development or redevelopment to use this list in landscaping plans. 5g. Encourage all properties to adopt water-efficient landscaping strategies, including more efficient irrigation systems and fire-wise, native, and/or drought-tolerant plants with lower water needs. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 New GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 87 5h. Actively promote water conservation and groundwater recharge techniques outlined in the Sustainable Agricultural Lands Conservation Strategy, including the State Water Efficiency and Enhancement Program. Preserves Resources Promotes Cost Savings Reduces Water Use Supports Community Resiliency to Climate Change Magalia Reservoir 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 88 || New GHG Emission Strategies Transportation and Land Use Sector Residents, workers, and visitors rely on a low carbon, connected, and efficient transportation network that provides equitable access to motorized and non- motorized mobility options. Strategy 6 Pursue Transportation Demand Management (TDM) strategies, implemented through local land use decisions and through partnerships with local employers that reduce VMT countywide. Table 38. Strategy 6 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction (MTCO2e) 360 330 340 Strategy 6 Actions 6a. Continue to work in collaboration with BCAG and local chambers of commerce to promote TDM strategies, including publicizing of available materials, promotion of incentives, and other strategies. 6b. Work with BCAG and local chambers of commerce to develop guidelines for Butte County that recommend appropriate TDM strategies for local businesses. 6c. Develop an informational brochure highlighting employer-based TDM strategies with available programs and provide as outreach to local businesses. 6d. Encourage existing employers to participate in TDM strategies, including creation of an annual survey to track employee commute trends for all participating businesses. 6e. Continually work with regional partners to explore innovative techniques to reduce VMT associated with commuting by agricultural workers and employees of large businesses. 6f. Encourage new development to provide a mix of land uses and infill development, and to be located contiguous to existing developed areas and infrastructure to support connectivity and to reduce trip lengths. 6g. Adopt countywide policies to encourage telecommuting and remote work for large employers, including improved countywide broadband internet infrastructure that supports connectivity and virtual/remote work and services. 6h. Partner with BCAG and Butte Regional Transit to identify and implement needed regional transit improvements to improve connectivity countywide. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 New GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 89 6i. Provide facilities for carpooling and park-and-ride programs and facilities, such as the park-and-ride lot adjacent to the Oroville Veterans Memorial Hall. 6j. Conduct an annual survey to track County employee commute patterns and provide an award to departments with the highest percentage of participation in commuter or public transit programs. 6k. Work with BCAG and the Butte County Air Quality Management District to continually identify available funding sources to subsidize County employee bus passes and incentives for other alternative transportation methods. 6l. Work closely with BCAG to implement needed improvements identified in the 2021 Transit and Non-Motorized Plan to complete needed urban and rural transit service improvements to manage recent population shifts, increased traffic congestion, and service to temporary housing for Camp Fire evacuees. Improves Air Quality Improves Habitability Improves Mobility Improves Public Health Promotes Cost Savings Promotes Equity Butte County Transit bus 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 90 || New GHG Emission Strategies Strategy 7 Prioritize bicycling and walking as safe, practical, and attractive travel options countywide. Table 39. Strategy 7 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction (MTCO2e) 820 770 820 Strategy 7 Actions 7a. Implement the policies in the 2011 Butte County Bicycle Plan. 7b. Partner with incorporated communities and regional agencies to develop bikeways and trails that connect residential and non-residential areas and communities. 7c. Encourage active transportation use through infrastructure improvements and striping of county roads to support safe and shared use by cars and bicyclists, such as striping of county roads, sidewalk connections around frequently used facilities such as schools and businesses, ADA-compliant street corners, pedestrian-controlled crossing signals, speed monitors, and by re-routing crosswalks, as needed. 7d. Increase bike parking in publicly owned places as feasible. 7e. Increase the bicycle parking requirement for commercial projects to promote cyclist safety, security, and convenience. 7f. Require large employers, including the County, to provide facilities that encourage bicycle commuting, including shower facilities, and covered or indoor bicycle parking. 7g. Actively promote walking and biking as safe modes of local travel, particularly for children attending local schools, by partnering with Butte County Safe Routes to Schools, including support of the Bike Rodeo, in-class lessons, National Walk to School Day, and future programs that increase school-age active transportation safety. 7h. Promote incentive programs to fund the purchase of bicycles or electric-assist bicycles for low-income community members. 7i. Make bicycles and electric-assist bicycles available for County employees for use on shorter business trips. 7j. Provide bicycle safety training and materials for drivers, bikers, and pedestrians. 7k. Work closely with BCAG to implement policies in the 2021 Transit and Non-Motorized Plan to complete near- and long-term improvements to increase B-Line ridership and improve operations and access to transit by walking or bicycling. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 New GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 91 Improves Air Quality Improves Habitability Improves Mobility Improves Public Health Promotes Equity Provides Educational Opportunities Butte County Transit bus 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 92 || New GHG Emission Strategies Strategy 8 Reduce carbon emissions from transportation by facilitating a transition to efficient or clean-fuel vehicles. Table 40. Strategy 8 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction without BCE (MTCO2e) 13,210 42,330 108,050 GHG reduction with BCE (MTCO2e) 13,380 42,750 108,050 Strategy 8 Actions 8a. Work with regional partners to advertise available incentives that encourage a switch to plug-in-hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) and electric vehicles (EV), through direct engagement with the community. 8b. Promote transportation electrification by providing funding, as feasible, to aid community partners in promoting a countywide switch to PHEV and EV vehicles. 8c. Facilitate the installation of alternative fueling stations to encourage residents and visitors to transition from high-carbon vehicle fuels, such as diesel or gasoline, to less- carbon-intensive vehicle fuels, such as natural gas, propane, biofuel, or hydrogen. 8d. Require the installation of EV charging stations in new commercial, industrial, and large residential development, including multifamily development. 8e. Work with regional partners to encourage the installation of EV charging stations at existing residential properties, including working with owners of multifamily developments, single-family homes, and mobile homes. 8f. Facilitate the installation of public EV charging stations at existing and new residential and nonresidential uses, including EV parking areas for parks and open spaces. 8g. Support use of neighborhood EVs, such as low-speed golf carts or other personal neighborhood EVs. 8h. Support the implementation of BCAG’s Zero-Emission Bus project to help achieve BCAG’s goal to have a zero-emission fleet by 2040. 8i. Support the implementation of BCAG’s Butte Plug-In Electric Vehicle Readiness Plan. Improves Air Quality Improves Mobility Preserves Resources Promotes Cost Savings 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 New GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 93 Strategy 9 Encourage hybrid and clean-fuel construction and landscaping equipment countywide. Table 41. Strategy 9 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction (MTCO2e) 19,490 9,460 15,160 Strategy 9 Actions 9a. Supply incentives for battery-operated or electric-powered landscaping equipment by working with regional partners such as the BCAQMD. 9b. Continually track technological advances in clean-fuel construction and landscaping equipment. 9c. Require hybrid or clean-fuel construction and landscaping equipment in County contracts when feasible. 9d. Continue to work with the BCAQMD to provide an appliance trade-in program for residential lawn and garden equipment. 9e. Continue to work with the BCAQMD to adopt and implement construction mitigation requirements for all construction projects, including idling time limits, use of clean fuel or alternative fuel equipment, and use of Tier 4 construction equipment, as feasible, and enforce through the discretionary review process. Improves Air Quality Improves Public Health Promotes Cost Savings 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 94 || New GHG Emission Strategies Solid Waste Sector Butte County residents, businesses, and visitors minimize waste sent to the landfill. Strategy 10 Reduce the amount of solid waste sent to local landfills through innovative programs and partnerships. Table 42. Strategy 10 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction (MTCO2e) 2,220 4,430 7,490 Strategy 10 Actions 10a. Require recycling as a condition of approval for public events at County facilities and/or events permitted by the County. 10b. Work with regional partners to establish a source-reduction program that promotes options to rethink, refuse, reduce, reuse, regenerate, recycle, and recover materials, including fix-it clinics, swap events, second-hand markets, promotion of the life cycle emissions of various products, and shop local campaigns. 10c. Develop and adopt an ordinance to prohibit specific types of single-use or disposable plastics, particularly for use by restaurants, caterers, and other commercial kitchens. 10d. Work with regional partners and non-profit organizations to promote the recycling of construction debris by providing education and incentives to construction companies, and by determining how materials may be donated and reused to help those in need. 10e. Improve educational efforts to community members concerning proper waste sorting, including direct outreach through mailers and electronic communication, or passive outreach such as flyers and billboards. 10f. Support development of alternative technologies to derive fuel or energy from waste. 10g. Update land use designations or zoning, as applicable, to allow community gardens, farmers’ markets, community-supported agriculture (CSA), and local farm-to- institution programs throughout the unincorporated county. 10h. Require, as feasible, that new development use sustainable materials to prevent destruction from wildfires, thereby reducing waste sent to landfills from wildfire- related destruction and demolition. 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 New GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 95 10i. Adopt countywide policies for low-carbon concrete in new development. 10j. Explore siting additional transfer stations for solid wastes and recyclables in rural areas without easy access to the Neal Road Landfill facility, include Magalia, Stirling City, and other locations as appropriate, to discourage illegal dumping. Preserves Resources Provides Educational Opportunities Recycling and trash can 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 96 || New GHG Emission Strategies Strategy 11 Reduce emissions from disposal and decomposition of organic waste. Table 43. Strategy 11 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction (MTCO2e) 5,270 8,000 12,870 Strategy 11 Actions 11a. Coordinate the construction and maintenance of a countywide industrial-level composting facility by working with county jurisdictions, regional partners, and local organizations. 11b. Provide composted mulch from the countywide composting facility to farmers and other interested parties to work back into the earth. 11c. Implement and monitor existing methane capture techniques at the countywide composting facilitates to reduce methane emissions from decomposing organic material. 11d. Require composting facilities as a condition of approval for public events at County facilities and/or events permitted by the County. 11e. Implement curbside organic waste collection services to comply with state laws and regulations requiring residents and businesses, including public entities and multifamily complexes of five units or more, to recycle their organic waste. 11f. Actively promote agricultural composting strategies outlined in the Sustainable Agricultural Lands Conservation Strategy, including grassland compost application, among others. 11g. Work with regional partners such as Butte County Fire Safe Council to explore reuse opportunities for cleared forest residue. Preserves Resources Provides Educational Opportunities Supports Agriculture Composting has many benefits to the environment, including creating rich soil for growing and reducing GHG emissions. CalRecycle estimates that 20 percent of California’s methane emissions are from organic waste decomposition in landfills. Composting 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 New GHG Reduction Strategies || Page 97 Agriculture Sector Butte County is a state leader in maximizing the efficiency and sustainability of natural and working lands countywide. Strategy 12 Work to reduce GHG emissions associated with agricultural equipment, in partnership with regional partners, agencies, and members of the agricultural community. Table 44. Strategy 12 GHG Reductions 2030 2040 2050 GHG reduction (MTCO2e) 18,400 25,750 36,790 Strategy 12 Actions 12a. Actively promote the Sustainable Agricultural Lands Conservation Strategy to assist farmers in accessing resources to aid them in replacing agricultural equipment. 12b. Encourage farmers to participate in state and air district-led programs to replace old diesel equipment and vehicles with more fuel-efficient models in advance of their engine emission compliance date. 12c. Coordinate with the BCAQMD, Farm Bureau, and agricultural organizations to replace diesel-fueled irrigation pumps with electrically powered pumps, including promotion of rebate opportunities for solar PV-powered pump equipment. 12d. Continue to work with the BCAQMD to review the success of the countywide pump amnesty program and registering of all agricultural pumps throughout the county. 12e. Support efforts by farmers and ranchers to install renewable energy systems on appropriate agricultural land. 12f. Work with local partners, including Chico State University and the University of California (UC) Cooperative Extension to track and share data on the effects of climate change on local agriculture and support increased coordination among farmers to share best practices and help respond to newly emerging impacts. 12g. Partner with local non-profits and agencies to develop a localized, energy-efficiency outreach effort for agricultural processing industries reflecting characteristics of local operations and available financing. Solar panels on grazing land 2021 Climate Action Plan December 2021 Page 98 || New GHG Emission Strategies 12h. Continue to collaborate with regional partners and agencies to publicize rebates for electric and clean fuel agricultural equipment and consolidated farm equipment. Expands Alternative Energy Improves Air Quality Preserves Resources Promotes Cost Savings Supports Agriculture Supports Business